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Lyon - Union St. Gilloise

Europa League December 10, 2026 21:00
Lyon
#11 · 3 pts
vs
Union St. Gilloise
#5 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.46%
Win
Lyon
23.47%
Draw
47.07%
Win
Union St. Gilloise
1.33
Expected xG
1.96

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.78%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 23%
2 47%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 53%
X2 71%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Union St. Gilloise a 47% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Lyon. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lyon and 2.0 for Union St. Gilloise (total 3.3), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.78% probability.

Season Stats

Lyon
8W 1D 2L
Union St. Gilloise
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
3.0
0.8
Conceded
0.0
5.6
Shots OT
13.0
4.1
Corners
1.0
59%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
82%
O 1.5
100%
36%
O 2.5
100%
36%
BTTS
0%
45%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
20%
BTTS
Lyon
4W 0D 1L · at home
Union St. Gilloise
1W 0D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
3.0
1.0
Conceded
0.0
80%
Win %
100%
80%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
100%
20%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
0%
40%
Clean Sht
100%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lyon Union St. Gilloise →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 7.3% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.0% 9.7% 9.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.5% 6.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Lyon Lyon
W Anderlecht 1–2
L Celta Vigo 0–2
D Celta Vigo 1–1
W PAOK 4–2
W BSC Young Boys 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
W Plzen 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 46%

Playing profile

Lyon Lyon
Attack
48
Defence
66
Form
59
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Attack
69
Defence
70
Form
76
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lyon vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model gives Lyon a 29% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 47% for an Union St. Gilloise win.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Union St. Gilloise?
Expected goals: Lyon 1.3, Union St. Gilloise 2.0 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Lyon vs Union St. Gilloise?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.78%.