Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 22, 2026 04:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Macara a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Alianza Atletico 29%). The final result was Macara 0–0 Alianza Atletico. In 1 previous meetings, Macara have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Atletico.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
1.43
Actual xG
0.36
2
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
R. Suarez
J. Marrufo
44'
T. Espinoza
45'+1
46'
J. C. Villegas
/
J. Lujan
61'
G. Diaz
/
S. Quiroga
62'
J. del Castillo
/
J. Perez
T. Espinoza
/ J. Zambrano
67'
J. Klinger
/ J. Mohor
67'
M. Ayala
72'
F. Posse
/ L. Ferro
82'
M. Miranda
/ T. Chamba
82'
86'
A. Munoz
/
F. Coronel
M. Tello
/ C. Caicedo
90'+1
90'+1
C. Penilla
/
M. Barreda
Pre-match prediction
44.77%
Macara
25.32%
X ←
29.92%
Alianza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
1.43
+0.09
1.14
0.36
-0.78
Macara dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.36).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Rodrigo Rodríguez
G
Rodrigo Rodríguez
G
13
L. Ayala
D
L. Ayala
D
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
José Luis Marrufo
D
21
S. Etchebarne
D
S. Etchebarne
D
25
Denilson Bolaños
D
Denilson Bolaños
D
15
M. Tello
M
M. Tello
M
16
J. Cazares
M
J. Cazares
M
87
Jose Klinger
67'
M
Jose Klinger
67'
M
10
M. Miranda
82'
M
M. Miranda
82'
M
11
Leonar Espinoza
67'
M
Leonar Espinoza
67'
M
9
Franco Posse
82'
F
Franco Posse
82'
F
Bench
50
Carlos Caicedo
4'
M
Carlos Caicedo
4'
M
12
Darwin Cuero
G
Darwin Cuero
G
77
Jeison Chalá
F
Jeison Chalá
F
4
John Jiménez
D
John Jiménez
D
27
Jordán Mohor
28'
M
Jordán Mohor
28'
M
17
Jordano Zambrano
28'
M
Jordano Zambrano
28'
M
3
Juan Espinoza
D
Juan Espinoza
D
22
Luca Ferro
13'
F
Luca Ferro
13'
F
26
Marlon Medranda
D
Marlon Medranda
D
19
Patricio Ramos
F
Patricio Ramos
F
30
Tommy Chamba
13'
M
Tommy Chamba
13'
M
1
Eder Hermoza
G
Eder Hermoza
G
19
J. Mendieta
D
J. Mendieta
D
6
J. Luján
45'
D
J. Luján
45'
D
2
R. Suarez
D
R. Suarez
D
25
W. Guzmán
D
W. Guzmán
D
16
S. Fernández
M
S. Fernández
M
20
Jimmy Pérez
62'
M
Jimmy Pérez
62'
M
15
H. Lupú
M
H. Lupú
M
99
Mariano Barreda
F
Mariano Barreda
F
32
Sergio Quiroga
61'
F
Sergio Quiroga
61'
F
7
Franco Coronel
86'
F
Franco Coronel
86'
F
Bench
29
Alejo Antilef
M
Alejo Antilef
M
23
A. Muñoz
9'
M
A. Muñoz
9'
M
17
C. Penilla
4'
M
C. Penilla
4'
M
77
C. Valladolid
F
C. Valladolid
F
95
D. Prieto
G
D. Prieto
G
10
Germán Díaz
34'
F
Germán Díaz
34'
F
22
J. del Castillo
33'
M
J. del Castillo
33'
M
37
J. Delgado
M
J. Delgado
M
40
Juan Quiñones
D
Juan Quiñones
D
4
J. Villegas
50'
D
J. Villegas
50'
D
9
V. Robaldo
F
V. Robaldo
F
Best on the pitch
José Luis Marrufo
D · Macara
7.70
· 73 pass
Eder Hermoza
G · Alianza
7.50
· 39 pass
M. Miranda
M · Macara
7.30
· 36 pass
J. Mendieta
D · Alianza
7.30
2 shots
· 21 pass
M. Tello
M · Macara
7.20
· 27 pass
L. Ayala
D · Macara
7.00
1 shots
· 43 pass
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Rodríguez | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Ayala | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| José Luis Marrufo | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 73 | 65% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Etchebarne | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Denilson Bolaños | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Tello | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jose Klinger | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Miranda | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonar Espinoza | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Franco Posse | F | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Caicedo | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jordán Mohor | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jordano Zambrano | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luca Ferro | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tommy Chamba | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Hermoza | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Mendieta | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Luján | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| R. Suarez | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Guzmán | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Fernández | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| H. Lupú | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Mariano Barreda | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Quiroga | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Muñoz | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Penilla | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. del Castillo | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Villegas | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
The final score was Macara 0–0 Alianza Atletico.
What did the model predict before Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Macara win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Alianza Atletico win.