Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 22, 2026 04:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Macara a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Alianza Atletico 29%). The final result was Macara 0–0 Alianza Atletico. In 1 previous meetings, Macara have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Atletico.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
1.43
Actual xG
0.36
2
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
R. Suarez
J. Marrufo
44'
T. Espinoza
45'+1
46'
J. C. Villegas
/
J. Lujan
61'
G. Diaz
/
S. Quiroga
62'
J. del Castillo
/
J. Perez
T. Espinoza
/ J. Zambrano
67'
J. Klinger
/ J. Mohor
67'
M. Ayala
72'
F. Posse
/ L. Ferro
82'
M. Miranda
/ T. Chamba
82'
86'
A. Munoz
/
F. Coronel
M. Tello
/ C. Caicedo
90'+1
90'+1
C. Penilla
/
M. Barreda
Pre-match prediction
44.77%
Macara
25.32%
X ←
29.92%
Alianza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
1.43
+0.09
1.14
0.36
-0.78
Macara dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.36).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Rodrigo Rodríguez
G
Rodrigo Rodríguez
G
13
Luis Ayala
D
Luis Ayala
D
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
José Luis Marrufo
D
21
Santiago Etchebarne
D
Santiago Etchebarne
D
25
Denilson Bolaños
D
Denilson Bolaños
D
15
Martin Tello
M
Martin Tello
M
16
Jose Cazares
M
Jose Cazares
M
87
Jose Klinger
67'
M
Jose Klinger
67'
M
10
Matías Miranda
82'
M
Matías Miranda
82'
M
11
Leonar Espinoza
67'
M
Leonar Espinoza
67'
M
9
Franco Posse
82'
F
Franco Posse
82'
F
Bench
50
Carlos Caicedo
4'
M
Carlos Caicedo
4'
M
12
Darwin Cuero
G
Darwin Cuero
G
77
Jeison Chalá
F
Jeison Chalá
F
4
John Jiménez
D
John Jiménez
D
27
Jordán Mohor
28'
M
Jordán Mohor
28'
M
17
Jordano Zambrano
28'
M
Jordano Zambrano
28'
M
3
Juan Espinoza
D
Juan Espinoza
D
22
Luca Ferro
13'
F
Luca Ferro
13'
F
26
Marlon Medranda
D
Marlon Medranda
D
19
Patricio Ramos
F
Patricio Ramos
F
30
Tommy Chamba
13'
M
Tommy Chamba
13'
M
1
Eder Hermoza
G
Eder Hermoza
G
19
Jesus Mendieta
D
Jesus Mendieta
D
6
José Luján
45'
D
José Luján
45'
D
2
Román Suárez
D
Román Suárez
D
25
Williams Guzmán
D
Williams Guzmán
D
16
Stefano Fernández
M
Stefano Fernández
M
20
Jimmy Pérez
62'
M
Jimmy Pérez
62'
M
15
Hernan Lupú
M
Hernan Lupú
M
99
Mariano Barreda
F
Mariano Barreda
F
32
Sergio Quiroga
61'
F
Sergio Quiroga
61'
F
7
Franco Coronel
86'
F
Franco Coronel
86'
F
Bench
29
Alejo Antilef
M
Alejo Antilef
M
23
Ariel Muñoz
9'
M
Ariel Muñoz
9'
M
77
Christian Valladolid
F
Christian Valladolid
F
17
Cristian Penilla
4'
M
Cristian Penilla
4'
M
95
Daniel Prieto
G
Daniel Prieto
G
10
German Diaz
34'
F
German Diaz
34'
F
22
Jorge del Castillo
33'
M
Jorge del Castillo
33'
M
37
Juan Delgado
M
Juan Delgado
M
40
Juan Quiñones
D
Juan Quiñones
D
4
J. Villegas
50'
D
J. Villegas
50'
D
9
Valentín Robaldo
F
Valentín Robaldo
F
Best on the pitch
José Luis Marrufo
D · Macara
7.70
· 73 pass
Eder Hermoza
G · Alianza
7.50
· 39 pass
Matías Miranda
M · Macara
7.30
· 36 pass
Jesus Mendieta
D · Alianza
7.30
2 shots
· 21 pass
Martin Tello
M · Macara
7.20
· 27 pass
Luis Ayala
D · Macara
7.00
1 shots
· 43 pass
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Rodríguez | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Luis Ayala | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| José Luis Marrufo | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 73 | 65% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Etchebarne | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Denilson Bolaños | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Martin Tello | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Jose Cazares | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jose Klinger | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Matías Miranda | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonar Espinoza | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Franco Posse | F | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Caicedo | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jordán Mohor | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jordano Zambrano | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luca Ferro | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tommy Chamba | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Hermoza | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jesus Mendieta | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| José Luján | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Román Suárez | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Williams Guzmán | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Stefano Fernández | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Hernan Lupú | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Mariano Barreda | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Quiroga | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ariel Muñoz | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Penilla | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| German Diaz | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jorge del Castillo | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Villegas | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
The final score was Macara 0–0 Alianza Atletico.
What did the model predict before Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Macara win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Alianza Atletico win.