LigaPro · Regular Season - 19 July 14, 2026 23:30

Macara

#4 · 48 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Mushuc Runa SC

#10 · 38 pts

M. Tello (ast. M. Miranda) 16'

F. Posse (ast. M. Viera) 68'

12' (ast. R. Carrillo) T. Minda

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Macara a 49% win probability (draw 30%, Mushuc Runa SC 19%). The final result was Macara 2–1 Mushuc Runa SC. In 1 previous meetings, Macara have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mushuc Runa SC.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

1.23

Actual xG

1.36

47%

Possession

53%

4

Corners

4

Match Events

12'

ast. R. Carrillo · T. Minda⚽

⚽M. Tello · ast. M. Miranda

16'

M. Ayala

40'

45'+1

↕ J. Klinger / A. I. Campana

46'

S. Etchebarne

53'

56'

E. Davila

66'

J. Caicedo / T. Minda ↕

66'

B. Corozo / E. Davila ↕

↕ M. Miranda / J. Estacio

67'

↕ M. Ayala / J. Mohor

67'

⚽F. Posse · ast. M. Viera

68'

72'

R. Ibarra

77'

E. Caicedo / R. Carrillo ↕

77'

C. Angulo / R. Ibarra ↕

↕ M. Tello / C. Caicedo

79'

↕ F. Posse / L. Ferro

85'

85'

R. Biojo / J. Hernandez ↕

J. Cazares

87'

90'+4

(missed pen.) E. Caicedo⚽

Pre-match prediction

49.75%

Macara ←

30.45%

X

19.8%

Mushuc

we assigned to the actual result (Macara) 49.75% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Macara

1.15

1.23

+0.08

Mushuc

0.56

1.36

+0.8

xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	29	71
2	Aucas	30	50
3	Universidad Catolica	29	48
4	Macara	29	48
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
6	Barcelona SC	29	43
7	Libertad	29	41
8	Leones del Norte	29	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Emelec	29	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
13	Orense SC	29	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	29	29
15	Delfin SC	29	27
16	Manta FC	30	21