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Macara - Santos

Copa Sudamericana August 19, 2026 22:00
Macara
#1 · 10 pts
vs
Santos
#2 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.32%
Win
Macara
20.44%
Draw
30.24%
Win
Santos
2.24
Expected xG
1.76

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.31%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 49%
X 20%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 51%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 74%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Macara a 49% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Santos. Expected goals are 2.2 for Macara and 1.8 for Santos (total 4.0), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.31% probability.

Season Stats

Macara
3W 4D 0L
Santos
3W 4D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.0
0.4
Conceded
1.1
3.0
Shots OT
4.9
6.3
Corners
4.5
49%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
43%
O 1.5
88%
14%
O 2.5
50%
29%
BTTS
75%
71%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
71%
BTTS
Macara
0W 3D 0L · at home
Santos
1W 2D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
67%
O 1.5
75%
33%
O 2.5
25%
33%
O 3.5
25%
67%
BTTS
75%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Macara Santos →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
1 4.1% 7.2% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.0% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.9% 3.4% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Macara Macara
D America de Cali 0–0
D Alianza Atletico 0–0
D Tigre 2–2
W Alianza Atletico 0–2
W Tigre 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Santos Santos
W UCV 4–2
W UCV 1–4
W Deportivo Cuenca 3–0
D San Lorenzo 2–2
D Deportivo Recoleta 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Macara Macara
Attack
47
Defence
79
Form
72
Santos Santos
Attack
67
Defence
62
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Macara vs Santos?
The model gives Macara a 49% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 30% for an Santos win.
How many goals are expected in Macara vs Santos?
Expected goals: Macara 2.2, Santos 1.8 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Macara vs Santos?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.31%.