Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 16
August 21, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Macara a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Santos 29%). The final result was Macara 0–0 Santos. In 1 previous meetings, Macara have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santos.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
0
0.55
Actual xG
0.56
56%
Possession
44%
10
Corners
1
Match Events
11'
Gustavo Henrique
46'
B. Rollheiser
/
Joao Ananias
46'
Rafael Gonzaga
/
D. Fernandes
D. Bolanos
62'
M. Viera
/ J. Klinger
64'
74'
Miguelito
/
Thaciano
J. Estacio
/ M. Tello
74'
83'
S. Pierri
/
C. Oliva
A. I. Campana
/ L. Ferro
85'
90'+1
Rony
90'+2
Pedro Assis
/
G. Caballero
Pre-match prediction
41.89%
Macara
28.47%
X ←
29.64%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.55
-0.74
0.99
0.56
-0.43
xG dominance was balanced (0.55 – 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Rodriguez
G
R. Rodriguez
G
27
J. Mohor
D
J. Mohor
D
14
J. Marrufo
D
J. Marrufo
D
21
S. Etchebarne
D
S. Etchebarne
D
25
J. Bolaños
D
J. Bolaños
D
16
J. Cazares
M
J. Cazares
M
5
J. Estacio
M
J. Estacio
M
20
M. Viera
M
M. Viera
M
10
M. Miranda
M
M. Miranda
M
28
A. Campana
M
A. Campana
M
9
F. Posse
F
F. Posse
F
Bench
50
C. Caicedo
M
C. Caicedo
M
12
D. Cuero
G
D. Cuero
G
77
Jeison Chalá
F
Jeison Chalá
F
4
J. Jiménez
D
J. Jiménez
D
87
J. Klinger
F
J. Klinger
F
3
Juan Espinoza
D
Juan Espinoza
D
22
L. Ferro
F
L. Ferro
F
26
M. Medranda
D
M. Medranda
D
15
M. Tello
M
M. Tello
M
19
P. Ramos
F
P. Ramos
F
30
T. Chamba
M
T. Chamba
M
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
15
Willian Arão
D
Willian Arão
D
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
D
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
D
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
28
C. Oliva
M
C. Oliva
M
11
Rony
M
Rony
M
27
D. Fernandes
M
D. Fernandes
M
17
G. Caballero
M
G. Caballero
M
16
Thaciano
F
Thaciano
F
Bench
32
B. Rollheiser
F
B. Rollheiser
F
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
42
João Alencar
D
João Alencar
D
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
39
Pedro Assis
F
38
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Rafael Gonzaga
D
7
Robinho Júnior
F
81
S. Pierri
M
S. Pierri
M
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rodriguez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mohor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Marrufo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Etchebarne | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bolaños | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Estacio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Viera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Miranda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Campana | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Posse | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Arão | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rony | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Fernandes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Caballero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thaciano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Macara vs Santos?
The final score was Macara 0–0 Santos.
What did the model predict before Macara vs Santos?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Macara win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Santos win.