Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 02:00
F. T. Zenobio
38'
(og)
F. Posse
(ast. J. Estacio)
75'
17'
D. Romero
51'
(ast. E. Cabrera)
D. Romero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Macara a 43% win probability (draw 31%, Tigre 25%). The final result was Macara 2–2 Tigre. In 1 previous meetings, Macara have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tigre.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
6
0.70
Actual xG
0.94
4
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
5
12
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
F. Paz
/ T. Espinoza
9'
17'
D. Romero⚽
S. Etchebarne
35'
36'
F. T. Zenobio
⚽F. T. Zenobio
(og)
38'
41'
E. Cabrera
M. Viera
/ G. Blanc
46'
J. Estacio
48'
51'
ast. E. Cabrera ·
D. Romero⚽
J. Cazares
/ J. Klinger
60'
73'
J. Villalba
/
V. Moreno
M. Tello
/ L. Ferro
73'
M. Ayala
/ J. Mohor
74'
74'
R. Arias
⚽F. Posse
· ast. J. Estacio
75'
82'
S. Lopez
/
E. Cabrera
M. Miranda
83'
J. Estacio
90'+1
J. Estacio
90'+1
90'+2
J. Elias
/
J. Saralegui
90'+2
J. Mosqueira
/
D. Romero
Pre-match prediction
43.37%
Macara
31.04%
X ←
25.6%
Tigre
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
0.70
-0.36
0.73
0.94
+0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.70 – 0.94).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
13
Luis Ayala
74'
D
Luis Ayala
74'
D
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
José Luis Marrufo
D
21
Santiago Etchebarne
D
Santiago Etchebarne
D
5
Jean Carlos Estacio
1 👟
D
Jean Carlos Estacio
1 👟
D
10
Matías Miranda
M
Matías Miranda
M
16
J. Cazares
60'
M
J. Cazares
60'
M
15
Martin Tello
73'
M
Martin Tello
73'
M
7
F. Paz
9'
F
F. Paz
9'
F
9
Franco Posse
1 ⚽
F
Franco Posse
1 ⚽
F
20
Mateo Viera
45'
F
Bench
25
Denilson Bolanos
M
Denilson Bolanos
M
8
Gaston Blanc
49'
M
Gaston Blanc
49'
M
27
Jordán Mohor
20'
M
Jordán Mohor
20'
M
87
Jose Klinger
34'
F
Jose Klinger
34'
F
11
Leonar Espinoza
85'
M
Leonar Espinoza
85'
M
22
Luca Ferro
21'
F
Luca Ferro
21'
F
30
Tommy Chamba
M
Tommy Chamba
M
12
F. T. Zenobio
1 ⚽
G
24
F. Alvarez
D
42
R. Arias
D
20
D
4
Valentín Moreno
73'
D
33
E. Cabrera
1 👟
82'
M
5
B. Leyes
M
10
J. Saralegui
M
8
Martín Garay
M
29
I. Russo
F
I. Russo
F
9
D. Romero
2 ⚽
F
D. Romero
2 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Oviedo
F
17
G. Soto
D
30
Jalil Elias
2'
M
55
J. Mosqueira
2'
M
32
J. Villalba
21'
D
3
N. Banegas
D
22
Santiago López
12'
F
21
S. Medina
M
11
T. Serrago
M
Best on the pitch
D. Romero
F · Tigre
9.00
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 10 pass
Franco Posse
F · Macara
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
G · Macara
7.30
· 25 pass
E. Cabrera
M · Tigre
7.20
1 👟
· 17 pass
Jordán Mohor
M · Macara
7.00
· 10 pass
Luis Ayala
D · Macara
6.90
· 55 pass
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Luis Ayala | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 40% | — | — | — |
| José Luis Marrufo | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Etchebarne | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Estacio | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 51% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Matías Miranda | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Tello | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Paz | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Posse | F | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Viera | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Gaston Blanc | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordán Mohor | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Jose Klinger | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Leonar Espinoza | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Luca Ferro | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. T. Zenobio | G | 94 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 23 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Alvarez | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Arias | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Valentín Moreno | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Cabrera | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Garay | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 92 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 6 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jalil Elias | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Mosqueira | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Villalba | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Santiago López | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Macara vs Tigre?
The final score was Macara 2–2 Tigre.
What did the model predict before Macara vs Tigre?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Macara win, 31% to a draw, and 25% to an Tigre win.