Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 02:00
F. T. Zenobio
38'
(og)
F. Posse
(ast. J. Estacio)
75'
17'
D. Romero
51'
(ast. E. Cabrera)
D. Romero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Macara a 43% win probability (draw 31%, Tigre 25%). The final result was Macara 2–2 Tigre. In 1 previous meetings, Macara have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tigre.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
6
0.70
Actual xG
0.94
4
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
5
12
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
F. Paz
/ T. Espinoza
9'
17'
D. Romero⚽
S. Etchebarne
35'
36'
F. T. Zenobio
⚽F. T. Zenobio
(og)
38'
41'
E. Cabrera
M. Viera
/ G. Blanc
46'
J. Estacio
48'
51'
ast. E. Cabrera ·
D. Romero⚽
J. Cazares
/ J. Klinger
60'
73'
J. Villalba
/
V. Moreno
M. Tello
/ L. Ferro
73'
M. Ayala
/ J. Mohor
74'
74'
R. Arias
⚽F. Posse
· ast. J. Estacio
75'
82'
S. Lopez
/
E. Cabrera
M. Miranda
83'
J. Estacio
90'+1
J. Estacio
90'+1
90'+2
J. Elias
/
J. Saralegui
90'+2
J. Mosqueira
/
D. Romero
Pre-match prediction
43.37%
Macara
31.04%
X ←
25.6%
Tigre
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
0.70
-0.36
0.73
0.94
+0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.70 – 0.94).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
13
L. Ayala
74'
D
L. Ayala
74'
D
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
José Luis Marrufo
D
21
S. Etchebarne
D
S. Etchebarne
D
5
Jean Carlos Estacio
1 👟
D
Jean Carlos Estacio
1 👟
D
10
M. Miranda
M
M. Miranda
M
16
J. Cazares
60'
M
J. Cazares
60'
M
15
M. Tello
73'
M
M. Tello
73'
M
7
F. Paz
9'
F
F. Paz
9'
F
9
Franco Posse
1 ⚽
F
Franco Posse
1 ⚽
F
20
Mateo Viera
45'
F
Mateo Viera
45'
F
Bench
25
Denilson Bolaños
M
Denilson Bolaños
M
8
Gaston Blanc
49'
M
Gaston Blanc
49'
M
27
Jordán Mohor
20'
M
Jordán Mohor
20'
M
87
Jose Klinger
34'
F
Jose Klinger
34'
F
11
Leonar Espinoza
85'
M
Leonar Espinoza
85'
M
22
Luca Ferro
21'
F
Luca Ferro
21'
F
30
Tommy Chamba
M
Tommy Chamba
M
12
F. Zenobio
1 ⚽
G
F. Zenobio
1 ⚽
G
24
F. Álvarez
D
F. Álvarez
D
42
Ramón Arias
D
Ramón Arias
D
20
D
4
V. Moreno
73'
D
V. Moreno
73'
D
33
E. Cabrera
1 👟
82'
M
E. Cabrera
1 👟
82'
M
5
B. Leyes
M
B. Leyes
M
10
J. Saralegui
M
J. Saralegui
M
8
M. Garay
M
M. Garay
M
29
I. Russo
F
I. Russo
F
9
D. Romero
2 ⚽
F
D. Romero
2 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Oviedo
F
A. Oviedo
F
17
G. Soto
D
G. Soto
D
30
J. Elías
2'
M
J. Elías
2'
M
55
J. Mosqueira
2'
M
J. Mosqueira
2'
M
32
J. Villalba
21'
D
J. Villalba
21'
D
3
N. Banegas
D
N. Banegas
D
22
S. López
12'
F
S. López
12'
F
21
S. Medina
M
S. Medina
M
11
T. Serrago
M
T. Serrago
M
Best on the pitch
D. Romero
F · Tigre
9.00
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 10 pass
Franco Posse
F · Macara
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
G · Macara
7.30
· 25 pass
E. Cabrera
M · Tigre
7.20
1 👟
· 17 pass
Jordán Mohor
M · Macara
7.00
· 10 pass
L. Ayala
D · Macara
6.90
· 55 pass
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| L. Ayala | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 40% | — | — | — |
| José Luis Marrufo | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Etchebarne | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Estacio | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 51% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| M. Miranda | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tello | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Paz | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Posse | F | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Viera | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Gaston Blanc | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordán Mohor | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Jose Klinger | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Leonar Espinoza | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Luca Ferro | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 94 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 23 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Álvarez | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 5 | — | — |
| Ramón Arias | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| V. Moreno | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Cabrera | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Garay | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 92 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 6 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Elías | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Mosqueira | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Villalba | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. López | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Macara vs Tigre?
The final score was Macara 2–2 Tigre.
What did the model predict before Macara vs Tigre?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Macara win, 31% to a draw, and 25% to an Tigre win.