Franco Posse
56'
M. Viera
58'
22'
(ast. Daniel Clavijo)
José Fajardo
54'
(ast. Daniel Clavijo)
José Fajardo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Macara a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Universidad Catolica 18%). The final result was Macara 2–2 Universidad Catolica. In 3 previous meetings, Macara have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Universidad Catolica.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
0.96
Actual xG
2.10
3
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
8
12
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
22'
ast. Daniel Clavijo ·
José Fajardo⚽
S. Etchebarne
29'
29'
45'
Eddy Mejia
/
Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
54'
ast. Daniel Clavijo ·
José Fajardo⚽
⚽Franco Posse
56'
⚽M. Viera
58'
Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno
/ Luis Loor
71'
M. Viera
/ J. Klinger
71'
83'
Byron Palacios
/
José Fajardo
83'
Jimmy Evans
/
Jonnathan Mina
87'
Rooney Troya
/
Daniel Clavijo
Denilson Bolanos
/ Juan Espinoza
87'
87'
Gregori Anangonó
/
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
/ Carlos Caicedo
90'
augustin campana
/ Matías Miranda
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.46%
Macara
23.99%
X ←
18.55%
Universidad
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
0.96
-0.67
0.54
2.10
+1.56
Universidad Catolica dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Rodriguez
G
R. Rodriguez
G
27
J. Mohor
71'
D
J. Mohor
71'
D
14
J. Marrufo
D
J. Marrufo
D
21
S. Etchebarne
D
S. Etchebarne
D
25
J. Bolaños
87'
D
J. Bolaños
87'
D
16
J. Cazares
M
J. Cazares
M
20
M. Viera
1 ⚽
71'
M
M. Viera
1 ⚽
71'
M
15
M. Tello
89'
M
M. Tello
89'
M
5
J. Estacio
M
J. Estacio
M
28
A. Campana
89'
M
A. Campana
89'
M
9
F. Posse
1 ⚽
F
F. Posse
1 ⚽
F
Bench
50
C. Caicedo
1'
M
C. Caicedo
1'
M
12
D. Cuero
G
D. Cuero
G
77
J. Chalá
F
J. Chalá
F
4
J. Jiménez
D
J. Jiménez
D
87
J. Klinger
19'
F
J. Klinger
19'
F
3
Juan Espinoza
3'
D
Juan Espinoza
3'
D
13
L. Ayala
19'
D
L. Ayala
19'
D
22
L. Ferro
F
L. Ferro
F
26
M. Medranda
D
M. Medranda
D
10
M. Miranda
1'
M
M. Miranda
1'
M
19
P. Ramos
F
P. Ramos
F
1
Lucas Cueva Gordillo
G
Lucas Cueva Gordillo
G
14
J. Mina
83'
D
J. Mina
83'
D
3
D
33
L. Cangá
D
L. Cangá
D
24
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
87'
D
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
87'
D
15
L. Moreno
M
L. Moreno
M
10
F. Martínez
M
F. Martínez
M
32
M. Alonso
45'
M
M. Alonso
45'
M
8
D. Clavijo
2 👟
87'
M
D. Clavijo
2 👟
87'
M
9
A. Londoño
M
A. Londoño
M
7
J. Fajardo
2 ⚽
83'
F
J. Fajardo
2 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
23
Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
M
Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
M
18
B. Palacios
7'
F
B. Palacios
7'
F
37
C. Medina
D
C. Medina
D
30
E. Mejía
45'
M
E. Mejía
45'
M
44
E. Valencia
D
E. Valencia
D
26
Foad Eid
F
Foad Eid
F
29
G. Anangonó
3'
D
G. Anangonó
3'
D
5
J. Cacciabue
M
J. Cacciabue
M
11
J. Evans
7'
F
J. Evans
7'
F
19
M. Sevillano
M
M. Sevillano
M
17
R. Troya
3'
M
R. Troya
3'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Fajardo
F · Universidad
9.07
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 21 pass
D. Clavijo
M · Universidad
7.92
2 👟
· 41 pass
F. Posse
F · Macara
7.91
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
M. Viera
M · Macara
7.35
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
J. Mina
D · Universidad
6.84
· 36 pass
B. Palacios
F · Universidad
6.70
1 shots
· 3 pass
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rodriguez | G | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mohor | D | 71 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Marrufo | D | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Etchebarne | D | 90 | 5.64 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Bolaños | D | 87 | 5.83 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Viera | M | 71 | 7.35 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tello | M | 89 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Estacio | M | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Campana | M | 89 | 6.46 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Posse | F | 90 | 7.91 | 1 | — | 5 | 21 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Caicedo | M | 1 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Klinger | F | 19 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Espinoza | D | 3 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ayala | D | 19 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Miranda | M | 1 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Universidad Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Cueva Gordillo | G | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mina | D | 83 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| L. Cangá | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo | D | 87 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Moreno | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Martínez | M | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Alonso | M | 45 | 5.61 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Clavijo | M | 87 | 7.92 | — | 2 | 0 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Londoño | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fajardo | F | 83 | 9.07 | 2 | — | 4 | 21 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Palacios | F | 7 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mejía | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Anangonó | D | 3 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Evans | F | 7 | 6.69 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Troya | M | 3 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
The final score was Macara 2–2 Universidad Catolica.
What did the model predict before Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Macara win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Universidad Catolica win.