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J1 League · Regular Season - 10 October 18, 2026 09:00 Machida GION Stadium, Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
#1 · 27 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Avispa Fukuoka
#19 · 7 pts
Tete Yengi (ast. Henry Heroki Mochizuki) 22'
Hiroyuki Mae 73'
Henry Heroki Mochizuki (ast. Takahiro Akimoto) 76'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Machida Zelvia a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Avispa Fukuoka 27%). The final result was Machida Zelvia 3–0 Avispa Fukuoka.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
1
1.72
Actual xG
0.76
1
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
5
15
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Tete Yengi · ast. Henry Heroki Mochizuki
22'
45'
Yuji Kitajima / Werik Popo ↕
Daihachi Okamura
54'
Gen Shoji
60'
↕ Tete Yengi / Takuma Nishimura
65'
68'
Kokoro Maeda / Keiya Shiihashi ↕
68'
Yu Hashimoto / Masato Yuzawa ↕
⚽Hiroyuki Mae
73'
⚽Henry Heroki Mochizuki · ast. Takahiro Akimoto
76'
↕ Koki Ogawa / Mitchell Duke
77'
↕ Neta Lavi / Ryohei Shirasaki
77'
79'
Shohei Takemoto / Masato Shigemi ↕
86'
Abdul Hanan Sani Brown / Shu Morooka ↕
↕ Yuki Soma / Keiya Sento
86'
↕ Daihachi Okamura / Ibrahim Drešević
86'
Pre-match prediction
40.88%
Machida ←
31.29%
X
27.83%
Avispa
we assigned to the actual result (Machida Zelvia) 40.88% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Machida
1.09
1.72
+0.63
Avispa
0.75
0.76
+0.01
Machida Zelvia dominated by xG (1.72 vs 0.76). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1 K. Tani K. Tani G 6.94
2 T. Ouwejan T. Ouwejan D 7.04
50 D. Okamura D. Okamura 86' D 7.11
3 G. Shōji G. Shōji D 7.18
33 T. Akimoto T. Akimoto 1 👟 M 7.70
31 N. Lavi N. Lavi 77' M 6.73
16 H. Mae H. Mae 1 ⚽ M 8.20
6 H. Mochizuki H. Mochizuki 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.42
7 Y. Soma Y. Soma 86' M 6.25
9 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa 77' M 6.55
99 T. Yengi T. Yengi 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.89
Bench
66 Aki Koch Aki Koch G 0.00
34 Futa Tokumura Futa Tokumura F 0.00
18 H. Shimoda H. Shimoda M
5 I. Drešević I. Drešević 4' D 7.01
8 K. Sento K. Sento 4' M 6.79
15 M. Duke M. Duke 13' F 6.48
23 R. Shirasaki R. Shirasaki 13' M 6.77
13 T. Morita T. Morita G 0.00
20 T. Nishimura T. Nishimura 25' F 6.44
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
24 Y. Obata Y. Obata G 6.07
15 Y. Tsujioka Y. Tsujioka D 5.84
37 M. Tashiro M. Tashiro D 6.45
16 T. Oka T. Oka D 6.04
29 Y. Maejima Y. Maejima M 6.03
11 T. Miki T. Miki M 6.32
34 K. Shiihashi K. Shiihashi 68' M 5.40
2 M. Yuzawa M. Yuzawa 68' M 5.80
13 S. Morooka S. Morooka 86' M 5.54
6 M. Shigemi M. Shigemi 79' M 5.69
9 Werik Popó Werik Popó 45' F 6.63
Bench
32 A. Sani Brown A. Sani Brown 4' F 6.24
38 D. Miya D. Miya D 0.00
55 K. Maeda K. Maeda 22' M 6.08
20 K. Mikuni K. Mikuni D 0.00
33 K. Yamawaki K. Yamawaki D 0.00
52 Shohei Takemoto Shohei Takemoto 11' M 5.94
5 T. Kamijima T. Kamijima D
1 T. Nagaishi T. Nagaishi G 0.00
47 Y. Hashimoto Y. Hashimoto 22' D 5.95
25 Y. Kitajima Y. Kitajima 45' M 5.62
Best on the pitch
H. Mochizuki
H. Mochizuki
M · Machida
8.42
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 33 pass
H. Mae
H. Mae
M · Machida
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 56 pass
T. Yengi
T. Yengi
F · Machida
7.89
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
T. Akimoto
T. Akimoto
M · Machida
7.70
1 👟
· 51 pass
G. Shōji
G. Shōji
D · Machida
7.18
· 36 pass
D. Okamura
D. Okamura
D · Machida
7.11
· 48 pass
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tani G 90 6.94 — — 0 33 18% 0 — —
T. Ouwejan D 90 7.04 — — 0 69 60% 2 — —
D. Okamura D 86 7.11 — — 0 48 44% 3 1 —
G. Shōji D 90 7.18 — — 0 36 29% 4 1 —
T. Akimoto M 90 7.70 — 1 0 51 43% 1 — —
N. Lavi M 77 6.73 — — 0 66 58% 1 — —
H. Mae M 90 8.20 1 — 1 56 53% 0 — —
H. Mochizuki M 90 8.42 1 1 1 33 23% 3 — —
Y. Soma M 86 6.25 — — 2 32 26% 0 — —
Koki Ogawa M 77 6.55 — — 2 15 12% 0 — —
T. Yengi F 65 7.89 1 — 2 13 8% 0 — —
I. Drešević D 4 7.01 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
K. Sento M 4 6.79 — — 0 6 5% 1 — —
M. Duke F 13 6.48 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
R. Shirasaki M 13 6.77 — — 0 10 8% 0 — —
T. Nishimura F 25 6.44 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Obata G 90 6.07 — — 0 26 14% 0 — —
Y. Tsujioka D 90 5.84 — — 0 82 61% 1 — —
M. Tashiro D 90 6.45 — — 3 44 36% 1 — —
T. Oka D 90 6.04 — — 2 33 27% 1 — —
Y. Maejima M 90 6.03 — — 0 34 30% 3 — —
T. Miki M 90 6.32 — — 0 58 50% 3 — —
K. Shiihashi M 68 5.40 — — 1 36 27% 0 — —
M. Yuzawa M 68 5.80 — — 0 13 8% 1 — —
S. Morooka M 86 5.54 — — 2 18 16% 1 — —
M. Shigemi M 79 5.69 — — 0 18 14% 1 — —
Werik Popó F 45 6.63 — — 1 8 4% 2 — —
A. Sani Brown F 4 6.24 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
K. Maeda M 22 6.08 — — 0 21 16% 1 — —
Shohei Takemoto M 11 5.94 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Y. Hashimoto D 22 5.95 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
Y. Kitajima M 45 5.62 — — 0 24 17% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?
The final score was Machida Zelvia 3–0 Avispa Fukuoka.
What did the model predict before Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Machida Zelvia win, 31% to a draw, and 27% to an Avispa Fukuoka win.