Madagascar - Tanzania
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.48%
Win
Madagascar
30.32%
Draw
35.19%
Win
Tanzania
1.59
1.65
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.28%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
30%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
66%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tanzania a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Madagascar. Expected goals are 1.6 for Madagascar and 1.6 for Tanzania (total 3.2), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.28% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Madagascar
Tanzania →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
Madagascar
Attack
38
Defence
38
Form
45
Tanzania
Attack
34
Defence
78
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Madagascar vs Tanzania?
The model gives Madagascar a 34% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 35% for an Tanzania win.
How many goals are expected in Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Expected goals: Madagascar 1.6, Tanzania 1.6 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Madagascar vs Tanzania?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.28%.