Madalena - Lusitânia Lourosa
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.03%
Win
Madalena
32.08%
Draw
32.89%
Win
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
3.19
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.38%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Madalena a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Lusitânia Lourosa. Expected goals are 4.5 for Madalena and 3.2 for Lusitânia Lourosa (total 7.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.38% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
5.0
Goals
2.3
2.0
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Madalena
Lusitânia Lourosa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
Playing profile
Madalena
Attack
100
Defence
50
Form
75
Lusitânia Lourosa
Attack
38
Defence
69
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Madalena vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
The model gives Madalena a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Lusitânia Lourosa win.
How many goals are expected in Madalena vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Expected goals: Madalena 4.5, Lusitânia Lourosa 3.2 (total 7.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Madalena vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.38%.