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Mafra - Santa Clara

⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.51%
Win
Mafra
24.86%
Draw
35.63%
Win
Santa Clara
1.93
Expected xG
1.82

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.45%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 25%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 61%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 68%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mafra a 39% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Santa Clara. Expected goals are 1.9 for Mafra and 1.8 for Santa Clara (total 3.7), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.45% probability.

Season Stats

Mafra
1W 1D 1L
Santa Clara
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.7
1.7
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Mafra Santa Clara →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 4.3% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.5% 8.3% 7.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.4% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.8% 5.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.3% 2.5% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

D Tirsense 2–2
W Atlético Malveira 2–3
L Celoricense 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 46%
L Sporting CP 2–3
W Comércio Indústria 3–0
D Espinho 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Mafra Mafra
Attack
43
Defence
70
Form
62
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Attack
42
Defence
82
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mafra vs Santa Clara?
The model gives Mafra a 39% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 35% for an Santa Clara win.
How many goals are expected in Mafra vs Santa Clara?
Expected goals: Mafra 1.9, Santa Clara 1.8 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Mafra vs Santa Clara?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.45%.