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Mafra - Tirsense

Taça de Portugal September 19, 2026 19:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.94%
Win
Mafra
31.7%
Draw
31.36%
Win
Tirsense
3.01
Expected xG
0.45

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.59%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mafra a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Tirsense. Expected goals are 3.0 for Mafra and 0.5 for Tirsense (total 3.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.59% probability.

Season Stats

Mafra
1W 0D 1L
Tirsense
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Mafra Tirsense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1%
2 14.2% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2%
3 14.2% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2%
4 10.7% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2%
5 6.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%

Recent form

W Atlético Malveira 2–3
L Celoricense 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
L Amarante 1–2

Playing profile

Mafra Mafra
Attack
47
Defence
75
Form
69
Tirsense Tirsense
Attack
3
Defence
72
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mafra vs Tirsense?
The model gives Mafra a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Tirsense win.
How many goals are expected in Mafra vs Tirsense?
Expected goals: Mafra 3.0, Tirsense 0.5 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Mafra vs Tirsense?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.59%.