Taça de Portugal
· Round of 128
September 19, 2026 19:00
M. Niang
16'
92'
120'+1
(pen.)
120'+2
(pen.)
120'+4
(pen.)
120'+5
(pen.)
3'
C. Sousa
105'
(pen.)
120'+1
(pen.)
120'+3
(pen.)
120'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mafra a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Tirsense 30%). The final result was Mafra 2–2 Tirsense.
Match statistics
Match Events
3'
C. Sousa⚽
⚽M. Niang
16'
⚽
92'
105'
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(missed pen.)
⚽
⚽
(missed pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+5
120'+5
(missed pen.)
⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.4%
Mafra
31.2%
X ←
30.4%
Tirsense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.75
—
—
0.45
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mafra vs Tirsense?
The final score was Mafra 2–2 Tirsense.
What did the model predict before Mafra vs Tirsense?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Mafra win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Tirsense win.