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← Primera B

Magallanes - Curico Unido

Primera B October 03, 2026 17:30
Magallanes
#4 · 40 pts
vs
Curico Unido
#13 · 27 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.2%
Win
Magallanes
26.34%
Draw
20.46%
Win
Curico Unido
1.8
Expected xG
1.01

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.58%)
1X2 Result
1 53%
X 26%
2 20%
Double Chance ✓ 92.9% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 80%
X2 47%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 49%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Magallanes a 53% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Curico Unido. Expected goals are 1.8 for Magallanes and 1.0 for Curico Unido (total 2.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.58% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Magallanes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Curico Unido.

Season Stats

Magallanes
7W 4D 4L
Curico Unido
4W 5D 6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.7
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
47%
60%
BTTS
33%
27%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Magallanes
6W 2D 2L · at home
Curico Unido
1W 4D 5L · away
2.2
gls/g
0.6
1.7
Conceded
1.8
60%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
70%
70%
O 2.5
40%
70%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Magallanes Curico Unido →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 10.9% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Magallanes Magallanes
W D. Puerto Montt 2–0
D Deportes Copiapo 1–1
D Union San Felipe 0–0
L Santiago Wanderers 2–1
W Deportes Santa Cruz 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Curico Unido Curico Unido
L San Marcos de Arica 3–0
W Union Espanola 2–1
L D. Puerto Montt 2–0
D Recoleta 0–0
W Union San Felipe 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Magallanes Magallanes
Attack
45
Defence
64
Form
55
Curico Unido Curico Unido
Attack
16
Defence
72
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Magallanes
0
Draw
0
Curico Unido
24 Feb 2026 Primera B 2–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 24 44
2 Cobreloa Cobreloa 24 42
3 San Luis San Luis 24 41
4 Magallanes Magallanes 25 40
5 Antofagasta Antofagasta 25 38
6 Recoleta Recoleta 25 38
7 San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 25 36
8 Union Espanola Union Espanola 25 36
9 D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 25 34
10 Deportes Temuco Deportes Temuco 25 32
11 Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo 24 31
12 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 25 28
13 Curico Unido Curico Unido 25 27
14 Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 25 22
15 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 23 22
16 Rangers de Talca Rangers de Talca 25 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
The model gives Magallanes a 53% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 20% for an Curico Unido win.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
Expected goals: Magallanes 1.8, Curico Unido 1.0 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.58%.