Maidenhead - Ebbsfleet United
FA Cup
September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.49%
Win
Maidenhead
29.25%
Draw
40.26%
Win
Ebbsfleet United
0.92
1.28
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.33%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
29%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
60%
X2
70%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ebbsfleet United a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Maidenhead. Expected goals are 0.9 for Maidenhead and 1.3 for Ebbsfleet United (total 2.2), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.33% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Maidenhead have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Ebbsfleet United.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
3W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
2.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
75%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Maidenhead
Ebbsfleet United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Maidenhead
Attack
19
Defence
71
Form
46
Ebbsfleet United
Attack
36
Defence
66
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
The model gives Maidenhead a 30% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 40% for an Ebbsfleet United win.
How many goals are expected in Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
Expected goals: Maidenhead 0.9, Ebbsfleet United 1.3 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.33%.