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Malacateco - Xelajú

Liga Nacional August 08, 2026 04:00
Malacateco
vs
Xelajú
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.55%
Win
Malacateco
31.42%
Draw
30.03%
Win
Xelajú
1.79
Expected xG
0.56

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (18.28%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 62%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Malacateco a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Xelajú. Expected goals are 1.8 for Malacateco and 0.6 for Xelajú (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.28% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Malacateco have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Xelajú.

Season Stats

Malacateco
3W 3D 9L
Xelajú
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
80%
33%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Malacateco
4W 4D 2L · at home
Xelajú
2W 4D 4L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.6
40%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Malacateco Xelajú →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% — —
1 17.0% 9.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 15.2% 8.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 9.1% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% — —
4 4.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Malacateco Malacateco
L Guastatoya 4–0
D Cobán Imperial 1–1
W Comunicaciones 1–0
L Antigua GFC 2–1
W Cobán Imperial 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Xelajú Xelajú
W Aurora 3–1
L Deportivo San Pedro 1–0
L Municipal 1–2
L Municipal 4–1
W Comunicaciones 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Malacateco Malacateco
Attack
18
Defence
65
Form
51
Xelajú Xelajú
Attack
28
Defence
42
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Malacateco
0
Draw
3
Xelajú
6 Apr 2026 Liga Nacional 0–1
19 Feb 2026 Liga Nacional 1–0
29 Sep 2025 Liga Nacional 0–3
20 Jul 2025 Liga Nacional 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Malacateco vs Xelajú?
The model gives Malacateco a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an Xelajú win.
How many goals are expected in Malacateco vs Xelajú?
Expected goals: Malacateco 1.8, Xelajú 0.6 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Malacateco vs Xelajú?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.28%.