✗Model wrong — prediction Malaga, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Malaga a 54% win probability (draw 22%, Almeria 23%). The final result was Malaga 0–0 Almeria. In 3 previous meetings, Malaga have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Almeria.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
54.2%
Malaga
22.65%
X ←
23.15%
Almeria
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
—
—
1.13
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Malaga vs Almeria?
The final score was Malaga 0–0 Almeria.
What did the model predict before Malaga vs Almeria?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Malaga win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Almeria win.