Adrian Nino
(ast. Rafael Garrido Hierro)
90'+3
13'
(ast. Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa)
Bryan Zaragoza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Espanyol a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Malaga 31%). The final result was Malaga 1–1 Espanyol.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
4
0.67
Actual xG
1.05
2
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
2
15
Tackles
26
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
13'
ast. Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa ·
Bryan Zaragoza⚽
24'
Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
28'
Bryan Zaragoza
Carlos Puga
28'
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
41'
57'
Urko Gonzalez
/
Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
60'
Omar El Hilali
Carlos Puga
/ Adam Aznou
62'
Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz
/ Adrian Nino
62'
Joaquín Muñoz
/ Carlos Dotor
62'
Carlos Dotor
66'
73'
Álex Calatrava Torrado
/
Bryan Zaragoza
Fernando Calero
/ Izan Merino
74'
82'
Roger Hinojo
/
Roberto Fernández Jaén
82'
Pere Milla
/
Eduardo Expósito Jaén
82'
Marcos Fernández
/
Tyrhys Dolan
Pablo Martínez Andrés
/ Haitam Abaida
82'
84'
Clemens Riedel
87'
Roger Hinojo
Adam Aznou
89'
⚽Adrian Nino
· ast. Rafael Garrido Hierro
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
31.82%
Malaga
28.57%
X ←
39.6%
Espanyol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
0.67
-0.45
1.72
1.05
-0.67
Espanyol dominated by xG (1.05 vs 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Alfonso Herrero
G
Alfonso Herrero
G
31
Rafita
1 👟
D
Rafita
1 👟
D
15
Ángel Recio
D
Ángel Recio
D
20
Fernando Calero
74'
D
Fernando Calero
74'
D
3
Puga
62'
D
Puga
62'
D
14
Rafa Rodríguez
62'
M
Rafa Rodríguez
62'
M
11
Joaquín Muñoz
62'
M
Joaquín Muñoz
62'
M
18
Pablo Martínez
82'
M
Pablo Martínez
82'
M
22
Dani Lorenzo
M
Dani Lorenzo
M
10
David Larrubia
M
David Larrubia
M
9
Chupe
F
Chupe
F
Bench
39
Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh
28'
D
Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh
28'
D
21
Adrián Niño Heredia
1 ⚽
28'
F
Adrián Niño Heredia
1 ⚽
28'
F
5
Álex Pastor
D
Álex Pastor
D
30
Andrés Céspedes
G
Andrés Céspedes
G
8
Carlos Dotor
28'
M
Carlos Dotor
28'
M
13
Carlos López
G
Carlos López
G
4
Einar Galilea
D
Einar Galilea
D
17
Eneko Jauregi
F
Eneko Jauregi
F
7
H. Abaida
8'
F
H. Abaida
8'
F
23
Izan Merino
16'
M
Izan Merino
16'
M
25
Juan Berrocal
D
Juan Berrocal
D
6
Ramón Enríquez
M
Ramón Enríquez
M
1
Ángel Fortuño
G
Ángel Fortuño
G
3
Quilindschy Hartman
D
Quilindschy Hartman
D
6
Leandro Cabrera
D
Leandro Cabrera
D
5
Clemens Riedel
D
Clemens Riedel
D
23
Omar El Hilali
D
Omar El Hilali
D
10
Pol Lozano
M
Pol Lozano
M
8
Edu Expósito
82'
M
Edu Expósito
82'
M
15
Bryan Zaragoza
1 ⚽
73'
M
Bryan Zaragoza
1 ⚽
73'
M
28
Javier Hernández
1 👟
57'
M
Javier Hernández
1 👟
57'
M
24
Tyrhys Dolan
82'
M
Tyrhys Dolan
82'
M
9
Roberto Fernández
82'
F
Roberto Fernández
82'
F
Bench
22
Álex Calatrava
17'
M
Álex Calatrava
17'
M
20
Gabriel Moscardo
M
Gabriel Moscardo
M
7
Javi Puado
F
Javi Puado
F
31
Llorenç Serred
G
Llorenç Serred
G
18
Marcos Fernández
8'
F
Marcos Fernández
8'
F
13
Marko Dmitrović
G
Marko Dmitrović
G
11
Pere Milla
8'
M
Pere Milla
8'
M
26
Rafael Bauzà
M
Rafael Bauzà
M
21
Roger Hinojo
8'
D
Roger Hinojo
8'
D
14
Unai Núñez
D
Unai Núñez
D
4
Urko González
33'
M
Urko González
33'
M
16
Vanja Drkušić
D
Vanja Drkušić
D
Best on the pitch
Bryan Zaragoza
M · Espanyol
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Adrián Niño Heredia
F · Malaga
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Ángel Fortuño
G · Espanyol
7.50
· 29 pass
Rafita
D · Malaga
7.11
1 👟
· 43 pass
Pablo Martínez
M · Malaga
7.03
3 shots
· 26 pass
Ángel Recio
D · Malaga
7.02
2 shots
· 67 pass
Malaga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero | G | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Rafita | D | 90 | 7.11 | — | 1 | 0 | 43 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Ángel Recio | D | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 60% | 0 | — | — |
| Fernando Calero | D | 74 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| Puga | D | 62 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafa Rodríguez | M | 62 | 6.74 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| Joaquín Muñoz | M | 62 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Pablo Martínez | M | 82 | 7.03 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Dani Lorenzo | M | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| David Larrubia | M | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Chupe | F | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh | D | 28 | 5.85 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Niño Heredia | F | 28 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Dotor | M | 28 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 23% | 0 | 1 | — |
| H. Abaida | F | 8 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Izan Merino | M | 16 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
Espanyol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ángel Fortuño | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Quilindschy Hartman | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Cabrera | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Clemens Riedel | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Omar El Hilali | D | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 20% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Pol Lozano | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Edu Expósito | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Bryan Zaragoza | M | 73 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Javier Hernández | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tyrhys Dolan | M | 82 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 82 | 6.12 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Álex Calatrava | M | 17 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcos Fernández | F | 8 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Pere Milla | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Roger Hinojo | D | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Urko González | M | 33 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Malaga vs Espanyol?
The final score was Malaga 1–1 Espanyol.
What did the model predict before Malaga vs Espanyol?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Malaga win, 28% to a draw, and 39% to an Espanyol win.