✓Model correct — prediction Malaga
A. Nino
(ast. A. Ochoa)
58'
J. Munoz
68'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Malaga a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Las Palmas 24%). The final result was Malaga 2–0 Las Palmas. In 3 previous meetings, Malaga have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Las Palmas.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
5
19
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Juanpe
/ R. Rodriguez
48'
49'
J. Viera
/
T. Miyashiro
⚽A. Nino
· ast. A. Ochoa
58'
A. Ochoa
/ J. Dorrio
64'
A. Nino
/ R. Enriquez
64'
65'
E. Pedrola
/
Jese
65'
I. Gil
/
K. Rodriguez
65'
Marvin
/
Viti
⚽J. Munoz
68'
R. Rodriguez
71'
75'
M. Marmol
82'
I. Bravo
/
A. Garcia
J. Munoz
/ D. Brasanac
88'
C. Dotor
/ J. Lobete
88'
Pre-match prediction
53.33%
Malaga ←
22.2%
X
24.47%
Las
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Malaga)
53.33%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
—
—
1.38
—
—
Lineups
1
G
31
Rafita
D
Rafita
D
20
J. Montero
D
16
Diego Murillo
D
Diego Murillo
D
3
Puga
D
Puga
D
35
A. Ochoa
1 👟
64'
M
8
Juanpe
48'
M
Juanpe
48'
M
12
Carlos Dotor
88'
M
Carlos Dotor
88'
M
11
Joaquín Muñoz
1 ⚽
88'
M
Joaquín Muñoz
1 ⚽
88'
M
21
Adrián Niño Heredia
1 ⚽
65'
F
Adrián Niño Heredia
1 ⚽
65'
F
9
F
Bench
17
Eneko Jauregi
F
Eneko Jauregi
F
25
J. Dorrio
29'
F
2
Jokin Gabilondo
D
24
Julen Lobete
5'
F
Julen Lobete
5'
F
37
Rafa Rodríguez
45'
M
Rafa Rodríguez
45'
M
6
Ramón Enríquez
28'
M
Ramón Enríquez
28'
M
1
D. Horkaš
G
D. Horkaš
G
5
Enrique Clemente
D
3
Mika Màrmol
D
Mika Màrmol
D
6
Sergio Barcia
D
Sergio Barcia
D
17
Viti
65'
D
22
A. Garcia
82'
M
20
K. Rodriguez
65'
M
16
M
14
Manu Fuster
M
Manu Fuster
M
10
Jesé
65'
F
Jesé
65'
F
18
T. Miyashiro
49'
F
T. Miyashiro
49'
F
Bench
4
Alex Suarez
D
23
C. Gutierrez
D
39
E. Pedrola
28'
F
49
Iker Bravo
11'
F
Iker Bravo
11'
F
26
Iñaki González Zambrano
M
Iñaki González Zambrano
M
21
Jonathan Viera
44'
M
Jonathan Viera
44'
M
2
Marvin
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Diego Murillo
D · Malaga
8.70
1 shots
· 74 pass
Sergio Barcia
D · Las
7.90
1 shots
· 97 pass
Joaquín Muñoz
M · Malaga
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Rafita
D · Malaga
7.30
· 35 pass
Puga
D · Malaga
7.30
· 35 pass
M · Las
7.20
· 79 pass
Malaga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Rafita | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Montero | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Diego Murillo | D | 93 | 8.70 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| Puga | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ochoa | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Juanpe | M | 48 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Dotor | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Muñoz | M | 88 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Niño Heredia | F | 65 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Dorrio | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Julen Lobete | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Rodríguez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ramón Enríquez | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
Las Palmas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Horkaš | G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Enrique Clemente | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Mika Màrmol | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Sergio Barcia | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 89% | 2 | — | — |
| Viti | D | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Garcia | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Rodriguez | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 73% | 3 | — | — | |
| Manu Fuster | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Jesé | F | 65 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Miyashiro | F | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Pedrola | F | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Iker Bravo | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Viera | M | 44 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Marvin | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Malaga vs Las Palmas?
The final score was Malaga 2–0 Las Palmas.
What did the model predict before Malaga vs Las Palmas?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Malaga win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Las Palmas win.