✓Model correct — prediction Malaga
A. Nino
(ast. A. Ochoa)
58'
J. Munoz
68'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Malaga a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Las Palmas 24%). The final result was Malaga 2–0 Las Palmas. In 3 previous meetings, Malaga have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Las Palmas.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
5
19
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Juanpe
/ R. Rodriguez
48'
49'
J. Viera
/
T. Miyashiro
⚽A. Nino
· ast. A. Ochoa
58'
A. Ochoa
/ J. Dorrio
64'
A. Nino
/ R. Enriquez
64'
65'
E. Pedrola
/
Jese
65'
I. Gil
/
K. Rodriguez
65'
Marvin
/
Viti
⚽J. Munoz
68'
R. Rodriguez
71'
75'
M. Marmol
82'
I. Bravo
/
A. Garcia
J. Munoz
/ D. Brasanac
88'
C. Dotor
/ J. Lobete
88'
Pre-match prediction
53.33%
Malaga ←
22.2%
X
24.47%
Las
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Malaga)
53.33%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
—
—
1.38
—
—
Lineups
1
G
31
Rafita
D
20
J. Montero
D
16
Diego Murillo
D
Diego Murillo
D
3
Carlos Puga
D
35
A. Ochoa
1 👟
64'
M
8
Juanpe
48'
M
12
C. Dotor
88'
M
11
Joaquín Muñoz
1 ⚽
88'
M
Joaquín Muñoz
1 ⚽
88'
M
21
Adrián Niño Heredia
1 ⚽
65'
F
Adrián Niño Heredia
1 ⚽
65'
F
9
F
Bench
17
E. Jauregi
F
25
J. Dorrio
29'
F
24
J. Lobete
5'
F
2
Jokin Gabilondo
D
6
R. Enriquez
28'
M
37
R. Rodriguez
45'
M
1
Dinko Horkaš
G
5
Enrique Clemente
D
3
M. Marmol
D
6
Sergio Barcia
D
17
Viti
65'
D
22
A. Garcia
82'
M
20
K. Rodriguez
65'
M
16
M
14
Manu Fuster
M
Manu Fuster
M
10
Jesé
65'
F
Jesé
65'
F
18
T. Miyashiro
49'
F
Bench
4
Alex Suarez
D
23
C. Gutierrez
D
39
E. Pedrola
28'
F
49
I. Bravo
11'
F
26
I. Gonzalez
M
21
J. Viera
44'
M
2
Marvin
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Diego Murillo
D · Malaga
8.70
1 shots
· 74 pass
Sergio Barcia
D · Las
7.90
1 shots
· 97 pass
Joaquín Muñoz
M · Malaga
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Rafita
D · Malaga
7.30
· 35 pass
Carlos Puga
D · Malaga
7.30
· 35 pass
M · Las
7.20
· 79 pass
Malaga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Rafita | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Montero | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Diego Murillo | D | 93 | 8.70 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| Carlos Puga | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ochoa | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Juanpe | M | 48 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Dotor | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Muñoz | M | 88 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Niño Heredia | F | 65 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Dorrio | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Lobete | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Enriquez | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| R. Rodriguez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
Las Palmas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinko Horkaš | G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Enrique Clemente | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Marmol | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Sergio Barcia | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 89% | 2 | — | — |
| Viti | D | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Garcia | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Rodriguez | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 73% | 3 | — | — | |
| Manu Fuster | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Jesé | F | 65 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Miyashiro | F | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Pedrola | F | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| I. Bravo | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Viera | M | 44 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Marvin | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Malaga vs Las Palmas?
The final score was Malaga 2–0 Las Palmas.
What did the model predict before Malaga vs Las Palmas?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Malaga win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Las Palmas win.