Malawi - Egypt
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.41%
Win
Malawi
34.91%
Draw
39.68%
Win
Egypt
0.56
0.9
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(16.69%)
1X2 Result
1
25%
X
35%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
60%
X2
75%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Egypt a 39% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Malawi. Expected goals are 0.6 for Malawi and 0.9 for Egypt (total 1.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.69% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.5
2.0
Conceded
0.0
2.5
Shots OT
6.0
2.0
Corners
7.0
43%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Malawi
Egypt →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23.4% | 21.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Malawi
Attack
20
Defence
64
Form
31
Egypt
Attack
43
Defence
73
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Egypt
|
2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Angola
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Malawi
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
South Sudan
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Malawi | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Egypt | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Malawi vs Egypt?
The model gives Malawi a 25% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 39% for an Egypt win.
How many goals are expected in Malawi vs Egypt?
Expected goals: Malawi 0.6, Egypt 0.9 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Malawi vs Egypt?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.69%.