Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 25, 2026 18:00
Adepoju adebare babatunde
20'
lloyd njaliwa
64'
48'
joseph stephen dhata
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Malawi a 35% win probability (draw 30%, South Sudan 33%). The final result was Malawi 2–1 South Sudan.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
0
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
0
Match Events
⚽Adepoju adebare babatunde
20'
28'
M. Albano
chifundo mphasi
/ Wisdom Mpinganjira
45'
48'
joseph stephen dhata⚽
54'
Valentino Kuach Yuel
/
Jamu Akou Arum Iluya
54'
Keer Mangar Majak
/
Paul Jawa
⚽lloyd njaliwa
64'
Patrick Mwaungulu
/ Francisco Madinga
74'
Francisco Madinga
76'
Adepoju adebare babatunde
/ E. Kondowe
77'
80'
Jackson Dwang
/
M. Albano
81'
J. Malish
/
Peter Chan
84'
R. Angier
B. Singini
/ Yankho Singo
87'
Gaddie Chirwa
/ Adielo Kaduya
87'
90'+1
joseph stephen dhata
Pre-match prediction
35.68%
Malawi ←
30.77%
X
33.55%
South
we assigned to the actual result (Malawi)
35.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
—
—
1.78
—
—
Lineups
23
G
13
D
2
D
14
D
3
D
17
M
8
M
5
M
20
M
15
F
12
F
Bench
11
C. Yelchan
F
C. Yelchan
F
10
J. Dwang
10'
M
J. Dwang
10'
M
7
Valentino Kuach Yuel
36'
F
Valentino Kuach Yuel
36'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Petro
D · Malawi
6.50
Valentino Kuach Yuel
F · South
6.30
J. Dwang
M · South
5.70
Malawi — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| C. Petro | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
South Sudan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| J. Dwang | M | 10 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Valentino Kuach Yuel | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Malawi vs South Sudan?
The final score was Malawi 2–1 South Sudan.
What did the model predict before Malawi vs South Sudan?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Malawi win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an South Sudan win.