Mali - Cape Verde Islands
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 25, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
19.84%
Win
Mali
33.14%
Draw
47.02%
Win
Cape Verde Islands
0.59
1.2
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(15.69%)
1X2 Result
1
20%
X
33%
2
47%
Double Chance
1X
53%
X2
80%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
48%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cape Verde Islands a 47% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 19% for Mali. Expected goals are 0.6 for Mali and 1.2 for Cape Verde Islands (total 1.8), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.69% probability.
Season Stats
0W
4D
1L
0W
4D
2L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.2
0.8
Conceded
1.7
—
Shots OT
2.5
—
Corners
4.0
—
Poss.
37%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
71%
BTTS
0W
2D
1L
· at home
0W
2D
2L
· away
0.7
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
2.2
0%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
75%
67%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
33%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Mali
Cape Verde Islands →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Mali
Attack
10
Defence
68
Form
38
Cape Verde Islands
Attack
39
Defence
62
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
The model gives Mali a 19% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 47% for an Cape Verde Islands win.
How many goals are expected in Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
Expected goals: Mali 0.6, Cape Verde Islands 1.2 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.69%.