Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 25, 2026 21:00
Ange Martial Tia
(ast. Lassine Sinayoko)
5'
Nene Dorgeles
(ast. Amadou Haidara)
39'
Nene Dorgeles
(ast. Kamory Doumbia)
51'
10'
Sidny Lopes Cabral
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cape Verde Islands a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Mali 23%). The final result was Mali 3–1 Cape Verde Islands.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
4
Corners
1
23
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Ange Martial Tia
· ast. Lassine Sinayoko
5'
10'
Sidny Lopes Cabral⚽
⚽Nene Dorgeles
· ast. Amadou Haidara
39'
47'
Roberto Lopes
⚽Nene Dorgeles
· ast. Kamory Doumbia
51'
58'
Kevin Pina
Amadou Haidara
/ Aliou Dieng
61'
Hamari Traore
/ Daouda Guindo
61'
67'
Telmo Arcanjo
/
Jamiro Monteiro
67'
Jovane Cabral
/
Garry Rodrigues
67'
Nuno Da Costa
/
Gilson Benchimol
Nene Dorgeles
/ Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
71'
Kamory Doumbia
/ Lassana Coulibaly
71'
Aliou Dieng
82'
84'
José Tavares
/
Deroy Duarte
Lassine Sinayoko
/ Sekou Koita
85'
86'
Ayoni Santos
/
Ryan Mendes
Pre-match prediction
23.24%
Mali ←
23.37%
X
53.39%
Cape
we assigned to the actual result (Mali)
23.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
—
—
2.41
—
—
Lineups
16
D. Diarra
G
D. Diarra
G
2
H. Traoré
61'
D
H. Traoré
61'
D
14
N. Gassama
D
N. Gassama
D
25
O. Camara
D
O. Camara
D
19
A. Camara
D
A. Camara
D
4
A. Haidara
1 👟
61'
M
A. Haidara
1 👟
61'
M
8
M. Sangaré
M
M. Sangaré
M
7
N. Dorgeles
2 ⚽
71'
M
N. Dorgeles
2 ⚽
71'
M
10
K. Doumbia
1 👟
71'
M
K. Doumbia
1 👟
71'
M
12
A. Tia
1 ⚽
M
A. Tia
1 ⚽
M
17
L. Sinayoko
1 👟
85'
F
L. Sinayoko
1 👟
85'
F
Bench
23
A. Dieng
29'
M
A. Dieng
29'
M
5
Cheick Keita
D
Cheick Keita
D
15
D. Guindo
29'
D
D. Guindo
29'
D
1
E. Doucoure
G
E. Doucoure
G
21
G. Diarra
19'
F
G. Diarra
19'
F
11
L. Coulibaly
19'
M
L. Coulibaly
19'
M
18
M. Doumbia
F
M. Doumbia
F
13
M. Sagnan
D
M. Sagnan
D
22
M. Samassa
G
M. Samassa
G
6
O. Diakité
M
O. Diakité
M
20
Sekou Koita
5'
F
Sekou Koita
5'
F
1
Vózinha
G
Vózinha
G
13
S. Lopes Cabral
1 ⚽
D
S. Lopes Cabral
1 ⚽
D
3
Diney Borges
D
Diney Borges
D
4
Pico
D
Pico
D
2
Wagner Pina
D
Wagner Pina
D
6
Kevin Pina
M
Kevin Pina
M
20
Ryan Mendes
86'
M
10
Jamiro Monteiro
67'
M
Jamiro Monteiro
67'
M
14
Deroy Duarte
84'
M
11
Garry Rodrigues
67'
M
9
Gilson Benchimol
67'
F
Gilson Benchimol
67'
F
Bench
25
A. Santos
4'
M
A. Santos
4'
M
23
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
19
D. Livramento
F
D. Livramento
F
8
João Paulo
M
João Paulo
M
22
Jójó
D
Jójó
D
16
José Luís Rocha Tavares
6'
M
José Luís Rocha Tavares
6'
M
7
Jovane Cabral
23'
F
Jovane Cabral
23'
F
24
Kelvin Pires
D
Kelvin Pires
D
5
Logan Costa
D
Logan Costa
D
12
Márcio Rosa
G
Márcio Rosa
G
21
Nuno da Costa
23'
F
Nuno da Costa
23'
F
18
Telmo Arcanjo
23'
M
Telmo Arcanjo
23'
M
Best on the pitch
N. Dorgeles
M · Mali
9.20
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 26 pass
L. Sinayoko
F · Mali
7.57
1 👟
1 shots
· 13 pass
K. Doumbia
M · Mali
7.49
1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
A. Tia
M · Mali
7.47
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
A. Haidara
M · Mali
7.33
1 👟
· 41 pass
M. Sangaré
M · Mali
7.13
2 shots
· 79 pass
Mali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Diarra | G | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Traoré | D | 61 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Gassama | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Camara | D | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 55% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Camara | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Haidara | M | 61 | 7.33 | — | 1 | 0 | 41 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 69% | 6 | — | — |
| N. Dorgeles | M | 71 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 5 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Doumbia | M | 71 | 7.49 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Tia | M | 90 | 7.47 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | F | 85 | 7.57 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Dieng | M | 29 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Guindo | D | 29 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Diarra | F | 19 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Coulibaly | M | 19 | 6.36 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Sekou Koita | F | 5 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Cape Verde Islands — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vózinha | G | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Lopes Cabral | D | 90 | 6.84 | 1 | — | 2 | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Diney Borges | D | 90 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Pico | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Wagner Pina | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Pina | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ryan Mendes | M | 86 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 67 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Deroy Duarte | M | 84 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Garry Rodrigues | M | 67 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Gilson Benchimol | F | 67 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Santos | M | 4 | 5.69 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 6 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 23 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Nuno da Costa | F | 23 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 23 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
The final score was Mali 3–1 Cape Verde Islands.
What did the model predict before Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Mali win, 23% to a draw, and 53% to an Cape Verde Islands win.