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La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 23, 2026 21:00 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Mallorca
#18 · 42 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Oviedo
#20 · 29 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Mallorca
P. Torre (ast. P. Maffeo) 42'
M. Morlanes 83'
V. Muriqi 88'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mallorca a 53% win probability (draw 27%, Oviedo 18%). The final result was Mallorca 3–0 Oviedo. In 1 previous meetings, Mallorca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Oviedo.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
2.52
Actual xG
0.29
0
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
5
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
38'
S. Cazorla
⚽P. Torre · ast. P. Maffeo
42'
46'
H. Hassan / A. Fores ↕
M. Morlanes
48'
↕ O. Mascarell / A. Raillo
54'
Samu Costa
58'
↕ T. Asano / J. Virgili
61'
↕ Samu Costa / A. Sanchez
61'
63'
T. Borbas / S. Cazorla ↕
63'
L. Ilic / S. Colombatto ↕
77'
J. Lopez / R. Alhassane ↕
77'
L. Ahijado / N. Vidal ↕
⚽M. Morlanes
83'
↕ P. Torre / A. Prats
85'
↕ T. Lato / J. Olaizola
85'
⚽V. Muriqi
88'
Pre-match prediction
53.71%
Mallorca ←
27.93%
X
18.36%
Oviedo
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mallorca) 53.71% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mallorca
1.19
2.52
+1.33
Oviedo
0.62
0.29
-0.33
Mallorca dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.29). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal Villarreal 38 72
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Real Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe Getafe 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia Valencia 38 49
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol Espanyol 38 46
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 38 45
13 Sevilla Sevilla 38 43
14 Alaves Alaves 38 43
15 Elche Elche 38 43
16 Levante Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna Osasuna 38 42
18 Mallorca Mallorca 38 42
19 Girona Girona 38 41
20 Oviedo Oviedo 38 29
Lineups
Mallorca Mallorca 4-3-1-2
1 Leo Román Leo Román G 6.90
3 Toni Lato Toni Lato 85' D 7.00
5 Omar Mascarell Omar Mascarell 53' D 6.60
24
Martin Valjent D 7.20
23 Pablo Maffeo Pablo Maffeo 1 👟 D 6.90
8 Manu Morlanes Manu Morlanes 1 ⚽ M 8.50
10 Sergi Darder Sergi Darder M 7.60
12 Samú Costa Samú Costa 62' M 6.90
20 Pablo Torre Pablo Torre 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.60
7 V. Muriqi V. Muriqi 1 ⚽ F 8.20
11 Takuma Asano Takuma Asano 61' F 6.50
Bench
9 Abdón Prats Abdón Prats 7' F
21 Antonio Raíllo Antonio Raíllo 39' D 6.90
6 Antonio Sánchez Antonio Sánchez 30' M 6.50
27 David López David López D
25 Iván Cuéllar Iván Cuéllar G
17 Jan Virgili Jan Virgili 31' F 7.20
34 Javier Olaizola Javier Olaizola 7' D
19 Javi Llabrés Javi Llabrés F
29 Luis Orejuela Luis Orejuela D
2 Mateu Morey Mateu Morey D
44 Miguel Calatayud Miguel Calatayud D
15 Zito Luvumbo Zito Luvumbo F
Oviedo Oviedo 4-2-3-1
1 Horațiu Moldovan Horațiu Moldovan G 6.20
3
Abdel Rahim 77' D 6.60
12 Dani Calvo Dani Calvo D 7.90
2 Eric Bailly Eric Bailly D 6.50
22 Nacho Vidal Nacho Vidal 77' D 5.90
23 Nicolas Fonseca Nicolas Fonseca M 6.30
11 Santiago Colombatto Santiago Colombatto 63' M 6.90
5 Alberto Reina Alberto Reina M 6.50
8 Santi Cazorla Santi Cazorla 63' M 6.00
7 Ilyas Chaira Ilyas Chaira M 6.20
19 Álex Forés Álex Forés 45' F 6.70
Bench
13 Aarón Escandell Aarón Escandell G
16
David Carmo D
4 David Costas David Costas D
10 Haissem Hassan Haissem Hassan 47' F 6.70
25 Javi López Javi López 15' D 6.00
6 Kwasi Sibo Kwasi Sibo M
24 Lucas Ahijado Lucas Ahijado 15' D 6.00
21 Luka Ilić Luka Ilić 29' M 6.70
17 Thiago Borbas Thiago Borbas 29' F 6.50
15 Thiago Fernández Thiago Fernández F
Best on the pitch
Pablo Torre
Pablo Torre
M · Mallorca
8.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 43 pass
Manu Morlanes
Manu Morlanes
M · Mallorca
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
V. Muriqi
V. Muriqi
F · Mallorca
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 27 pass
Dani Calvo
Dani Calvo
D · Oviedo
7.90
1 shots · 19 pass
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder
M · Mallorca
7.60
· 53 pass
Martin Valjent
D · Mallorca
7.20
· 51 pass
Mallorca Mallorca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leo Román G 92 6.90 — — — 38 29% — — —
Toni Lato D 85 7.00 — — — 44 37% 1 — —
Omar Mascarell D 53 6.60 — — — 35 33% 1 — —
Martin Valjent D 92 7.20 — — — 51 42% 1 — —
Pablo Maffeo D 92 6.90 — 1 — 39 32% — — —
Manu Morlanes M 92 8.50 1 — 1 45 42% 4 1 —
Sergi Darder M 92 7.60 — — — 53 47% 3 — —
Samú Costa M 62 6.90 — — — 43 34% — 1 —
Pablo Torre M 85 8.60 1 — 2 43 39% 2 — —
V. Muriqi F 92 8.20 1 — 4 27 22% — — —
Takuma Asano F 61 6.50 — — 4 14 11% 1 — —
Abdón Prats F 7 — — — 1 2 1% — — —
Antonio Raíllo D 39 6.90 — — — 15 15% — — —
Antonio Sánchez M 30 6.50 — — — 13 9% 1 — —
Jan Virgili F 31 7.20 — — — 12 9% — — —
Javier Olaizola D 7 — — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Oviedo Oviedo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Horațiu Moldovan G 92 6.20 — — — 44 23% — — —
Abdel Rahim D 77 6.60 — — — 34 22% 1 — —
Dani Calvo D 92 7.90 — — 1 19 18% 2 — —
Eric Bailly D 92 6.50 — — 1 33 27% 1 — —
Nacho Vidal D 77 5.90 — — — 27 18% — — —
Nicolas Fonseca M 92 6.30 — — 1 41 35% 2 — —
Santiago Colombatto M 63 6.90 — — — 26 21% — — —
Alberto Reina M 92 6.50 — — 1 37 34% 1 — —
Santi Cazorla M 63 6.00 — — — 31 21% 1 1 —
Ilyas Chaira M 92 6.20 — — 1 19 15% — — —
Álex Forés F 45 6.70 — — — 7 4% — — —
Haissem Hassan F 47 6.70 — — 1 11 11% 1 — —
Javi López D 15 6.00 — — — 8 5% — — —
Lucas Ahijado D 15 6.00 — — — 5 4% — — —
Luka Ilić M 29 6.70 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Thiago Borbas F 29 6.50 — — — 3 3% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Oviedo?
The final score was Mallorca 3–0 Oviedo.
What did the model predict before Mallorca vs Oviedo?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Mallorca win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Oviedo win.