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La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 23, 2026 21:00 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Mallorca
3 – 0
Final score
Oviedo
✓Model correct — prediction Mallorca
P. Torre (ast. P. Maffeo) 42'
M. Morlanes 83'
V. Muriqi 88'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mallorca a 53% win probability (draw 27%, Oviedo 18%). The final result was Mallorca 3–0 Oviedo. In 1 previous meetings, Mallorca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Oviedo.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
2.52
Actual xG
0.29
0
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
5
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
38'
S. Cazorla
⚽P. Torre · ast. P. Maffeo
42'
46'
H. Hassan / A. Fores ↕
M. Morlanes
48'
↕ O. Mascarell / A. Raillo
54'
Samu Costa
58'
↕ T. Asano / J. Virgili
61'
↕ Samu Costa / A. Sanchez
61'
63'
T. Borbas / S. Cazorla ↕
63'
L. Ilic / S. Colombatto ↕
77'
J. Lopez / R. Alhassane ↕
77'
L. Ahijado / N. Vidal ↕
⚽M. Morlanes
83'
↕ P. Torre / A. Prats
85'
↕ T. Lato / J. Olaizola
85'
⚽V. Muriqi
88'
Pre-match prediction
53.71%
Mallorca ←
27.93%
X
18.36%
Oviedo
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mallorca) 53.71% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mallorca
1.19
2.52
+1.33
Oviedo
0.62
0.29
-0.33
Mallorca dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.29). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Mallorca Mallorca 4-3-1-2
1 Leo Román Leo Román G 6.90
3 Toni Lato Toni Lato 85' D 7.00
5 Omar Mascarell Omar Mascarell 53' D 6.60
24
Martin Valjent D 7.20
23 Pablo Maffeo Pablo Maffeo 1 👟 D 6.90
8 Manu Morlanes Manu Morlanes 1 ⚽ M 8.50
10 Darder Darder M 7.60
12 Samú Costa Samú Costa 62' M 6.90
20 Pablo Torre Pablo Torre 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.60
7 V. Muriqi V. Muriqi 1 ⚽ F 8.20
11 Takuma Asano Takuma Asano 61' F 6.50
Bench
9 Abdón Prats Abdón Prats 7' F
6 Antonio Sánchez Antonio Sánchez 30' M 6.50
27 David López David López D
25 Iván Cuéllar Iván Cuéllar G
17 Jan Virgili Jan Virgili 31' F 7.20
34 Javier Olaizola Javier Olaizola 7' D
19 Javi Llabrés Javi Llabrés F
29 Luis Orejuela Luis Orejuela D
2 Mateu Morey Mateu Morey D
44 Miguel Calatayud Miguel Calatayud D
21 Raíllo Raíllo 39' D 6.90
15 Zito Luvumbo Zito Luvumbo F
Oviedo Oviedo 4-2-3-1
1 Horațiu Moldovan Horațiu Moldovan G 6.20
3 R. Alhassane R. Alhassane 77' D 6.60
12 Dani Calvo Dani Calvo D 7.90
2 E. Bailly E. Bailly D 6.50
22 Nacho Vidal Nacho Vidal 77' D 5.90
23 Nicolas Fonseca Nicolas Fonseca M 6.30
11 Santiago Colombatto Santiago Colombatto 63' M 6.90
5 Alberto Reina Alberto Reina M 6.50
8 Santi Cazorla Santi Cazorla 63' M 6.00
7 Ilyas Chaira Ilyas Chaira M 6.20
19 Álex Forés Álex Forés 45' F 6.70
Bench
13 Aarón Escandell Aarón Escandell G
16 David Carmo David Carmo D
4 David Costas David Costas D
10 H. Hassan H. Hassan 47' F 6.70
25 Javi López Javi López 15' D 6.00
6 Kwasi Sibo Kwasi Sibo M
24 Lucas Ahijado Lucas Ahijado 15' D 6.00
21 Luka Ilić Luka Ilić 29' M 6.70
15 T. Fernández T. Fernández F
17 Thiago Borbas Thiago Borbas 29' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
Pablo Torre
Pablo Torre
M · Mallorca
8.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 43 pass
Manu Morlanes
Manu Morlanes
M · Mallorca
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
V. Muriqi
V. Muriqi
F · Mallorca
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 27 pass
Dani Calvo
Dani Calvo
D · Oviedo
7.90
1 shots · 19 pass
Darder
Darder
M · Mallorca
7.60
· 53 pass
Martin Valjent
D · Mallorca
7.20
· 51 pass
Mallorca Mallorca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leo Román G 92 6.90 — — — 38 29% — — —
Toni Lato D 85 7.00 — — — 44 37% 1 — —
Omar Mascarell D 53 6.60 — — — 35 33% 1 — —
Martin Valjent D 92 7.20 — — — 51 42% 1 — —
Pablo Maffeo D 92 6.90 — 1 — 39 32% — — —
Manu Morlanes M 92 8.50 1 — 1 45 42% 4 1 —
Darder M 92 7.60 — — — 53 47% 3 — —
Samú Costa M 62 6.90 — — — 43 34% — 1 —
Pablo Torre M 85 8.60 1 — 2 43 39% 2 — —
V. Muriqi F 92 8.20 1 — 4 27 22% — — —
Takuma Asano F 61 6.50 — — 4 14 11% 1 — —
Abdón Prats F 7 — — — 1 2 1% — — —
Antonio Sánchez M 30 6.50 — — — 13 9% 1 — —
Jan Virgili F 31 7.20 — — — 12 9% — — —
Javier Olaizola D 7 — — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Raíllo D 39 6.90 — — — 15 15% — — —
Oviedo Oviedo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Horațiu Moldovan G 92 6.20 — — — 44 23% — — —
R. Alhassane D 77 6.60 — — — 34 22% 1 — —
Dani Calvo D 92 7.90 — — 1 19 18% 2 — —
E. Bailly D 92 6.50 — — 1 33 27% 1 — —
Nacho Vidal D 77 5.90 — — — 27 18% — — —
Nicolas Fonseca M 92 6.30 — — 1 41 35% 2 — —
Santiago Colombatto M 63 6.90 — — — 26 21% — — —
Alberto Reina M 92 6.50 — — 1 37 34% 1 — —
Santi Cazorla M 63 6.00 — — — 31 21% 1 1 —
Ilyas Chaira M 92 6.20 — — 1 19 15% — — —
Álex Forés F 45 6.70 — — — 7 4% — — —
H. Hassan F 47 6.70 — — 1 11 11% 1 — —
Javi López D 15 6.00 — — — 8 5% — — —
Lucas Ahijado D 15 6.00 — — — 5 4% — — —
Luka Ilić M 29 6.70 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Thiago Borbas F 29 6.50 — — — 3 3% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Oviedo?
The final score was Mallorca 3–0 Oviedo.
What did the model predict before Mallorca vs Oviedo?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Mallorca win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Oviedo win.