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#18 · 42 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#8 · 50 pts
V. Muriqi (ast. Samu Costa) 36'
V. Muriqi (ast. Z. Luvumbo) 40'
J. Virgili (ast. P. Torre) 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Mallorca 33%). The final result was Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano. In 1 previous meetings, Mallorca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rayo Vallecano.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
3
1.68
Actual xG
1.43
3
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
7
14
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
23'
Nobel Mendy
32'
Florian Lejeune
V. Muriqi · ast. Samu Costa
36'
V. Muriqi · ast. Z. Luvumbo
40'
46'
J. de Frutos / N. Mendy
46'
P. Ciss / O. Valentin
53'
Randy Nteka
Z. Luvumbo / J. Virgili
62'
65'
Andrei Rațiu
J. Virgili · ast. P. Torre
65'
67'
P. Chavarria / I. Akhomach
P. Torre / T. Asano
72'
Samu Costa / M. Kumbulla
72'
77'
S. Camello / A. Garcia
David López
80'
P. Maffeo / A. Prats
81'
M. Morlanes / A. Sanchez
81'
81'
Alemao / R. Nteka
Pre-match prediction
33.75%
Mallorca ←
28.28%
X
37.97%
Rayo
we assigned to the actual result (Mallorca) 33.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mallorca
0.91
1.68
+0.77
Rayo
1.33
1.43
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (1.68 – 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal Villarreal 38 72
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Real Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe Getafe 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia Valencia 38 49
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol Espanyol 38 46
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 38 45
13 Sevilla Sevilla 38 43
14 Alaves Alaves 38 43
15 Elche Elche 38 43
16 Levante Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna Osasuna 38 42
18 Mallorca Mallorca 38 42
19 Girona Girona 38 41
20 Oviedo Oviedo 38 29
Lineups
Mallorca Mallorca 4-3-1-2
1 Leo Román Leo Román G 7.60
22 Johan Mojica Johan Mojica D 7.50
5 Omar Mascarell Omar Mascarell D 7.00
27 David López David López D 7.30
23 Pablo Maffeo Pablo Maffeo 81' D 7.00
8 Manu Morlanes Manu Morlanes 81' M 6.60
10 Sergi Darder Sergi Darder M 7.50
12 Samú Costa Samú Costa 1 👟 72' M 7.20
20 Pablo Torre Pablo Torre 1 👟 72' M 7.50
7 V. Muriqi V. Muriqi 2 ⚽ F 7.90
15 Zito Luvumbo Zito Luvumbo 1 👟 62' F 6.90
Bench
17 Jan Virgili Jan Virgili 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.60
30
J. Kalumba F
11 Takuma Asano Takuma Asano 18' F 7.30
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G 6.20
22 Pacha Pacha D 6.90
32 N. Mendy N. Mendy 45' D 5.90
24 Florian Lejeune Florian Lejeune D 6.20
2 Andrei Rațiu Andrei Rațiu D 6.50
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau M 6.60
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín 45' M 6.70
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz M 6.30
18 Álvaro García Álvaro García 77' F 7.30
11 Randy Nteka Randy Nteka 81' F 6.20
12 Ilias Akhomach Ilias Akhomach 67' F 6.70
Bench
9 Alemão Alemão 9' F 6.70
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G
14 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín F
7 Isi Palazón Isi Palazón M
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos 45' F 6.20
5
Luiz Felipe D
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss Pathé Ismaël Ciss 45' M 6.90
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello 13' F 6.60
17 Unai López Unai López M
Best on the pitch
V. Muriqi
V. Muriqi
F · Mallorca
7.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Jan Virgili
Jan Virgili
F · Mallorca
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Leo Román
Leo Román
G · Mallorca
7.60
· 43 pass
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder
M · Mallorca
7.50
· 39 pass
Pablo Torre
Pablo Torre
M · Mallorca
7.50
1 👟
3 shots · 33 pass
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica
D · Mallorca
7.50
1 shots · 32 pass
Mallorca Mallorca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leo Román G 90 7.60 43 38%
Johan Mojica D 90 7.50 1 32 30% 2
Omar Mascarell D 90 7.00 36 29% 1
David López D 90 7.30 48 35% 1 1
Pablo Maffeo D 81 7.00 2 16 14%
Manu Morlanes M 81 6.60 1 31 24% 1
Sergi Darder M 90 7.50 39 33% 2
Samú Costa M 72 7.20 1 2 22 16% 2
Pablo Torre M 72 7.50 1 3 33 27% 1
V. Muriqi F 90 7.90 2 2 18 10% 1
Zito Luvumbo F 62 6.90 1 6 6%
Jan Virgili F 28 7.60 1 1 7 3%
Takuma Asano F 18 7.30 6 3% 3
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dani Cárdenas G 90 6.20 24 14%
Pacha D 90 6.90 3 47 36% 3
N. Mendy D 45 5.90 22 19% 1 1
Florian Lejeune D 90 6.20 1 64 56% 1 1
Andrei Rațiu D 90 6.50 56 45% 7 1
Gerard Gumbau M 90 6.60 1 48 43% 3
Óscar Valentín M 45 6.70 15 13%
Pedro Díaz M 90 6.30 1 47 41% 2
Álvaro García F 77 7.30 15 13%
Randy Nteka F 81 6.20 2 14 13% 1
Ilias Akhomach F 67 6.70 15 14%
Alemão F 9 6.70
Jorge de Frutos F 45 6.20 4 11 9%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss M 45 6.90 28 27% 1
Sergio Camello F 13 6.60 7 7%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Mallorca win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Rayo Vallecano win.