V. Muriqi
(ast. Samu Costa)
36'
V. Muriqi
(ast. Z. Luvumbo)
40'
J. Virgili
(ast. P. Torre)
65'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Mallorca 33%). The final result was Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano. In 1 previous meetings, Mallorca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rayo Vallecano.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
3
1.68
Actual xG
1.43
3
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
7
14
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
23'
Nobel Mendy
32'
Florian Lejeune
⚽V. Muriqi
· ast. Samu Costa
36'
⚽V. Muriqi
· ast. Z. Luvumbo
40'
46'
J. de Frutos
/
N. Mendy
46'
P. Ciss
/
O. Valentin
53'
Randy Nteka
Z. Luvumbo
/ J. Virgili
62'
65'
Andrei Rațiu
⚽J. Virgili
· ast. P. Torre
65'
67'
P. Chavarria
/
I. Akhomach
P. Torre
/ T. Asano
72'
Samu Costa
/ M. Kumbulla
72'
77'
S. Camello
/
A. Garcia
David López
80'
P. Maffeo
/ A. Prats
81'
M. Morlanes
/ A. Sanchez
81'
81'
Alemao
/
R. Nteka
Pre-match prediction
33.75%
Mallorca ←
28.28%
X
37.97%
Rayo
we assigned to the actual result (Mallorca)
33.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
1.68
+0.77
1.33
1.43
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (1.68 – 1.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Leo Román
G
Leo Román
G
22
J. Mojica
D
J. Mojica
D
5
Omar Mascarell
D
Omar Mascarell
D
27
David López
D
David López
D
23
Pablo Maffeo
81'
D
Pablo Maffeo
81'
D
8
Manu Morlanes
81'
M
Manu Morlanes
81'
M
10
Darder
M
Darder
M
12
Samú Costa
1 👟
72'
M
Samú Costa
1 👟
72'
M
20
Pablo Torre
1 👟
72'
M
Pablo Torre
1 👟
72'
M
7
V. Muriqi
2 ⚽
F
V. Muriqi
2 ⚽
F
15
Zito Luvumbo
1 👟
62'
F
Zito Luvumbo
1 👟
62'
F
Bench
17
Jan Virgili
1 ⚽
28'
F
Jan Virgili
1 ⚽
28'
F
30
J. Kalumba
F
11
T. Asano
18'
F
T. Asano
18'
F
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
Dani Cárdenas
G
22
A. Espino
D
A. Espino
D
32
N. Mendy
45'
D
N. Mendy
45'
D
24
F. Lejeune
D
F. Lejeune
D
2
A. Rațiu
D
A. Rațiu
D
15
Gerard Gumbau
M
Gerard Gumbau
M
23
Óscar Valentín
45'
M
Óscar Valentín
45'
M
4
Pedro Díaz
M
18
Álvaro García
77'
F
Álvaro García
77'
F
11
R. Nteka
81'
F
R. Nteka
81'
F
12
Ilias Akhomach
67'
F
Ilias Akhomach
67'
F
Bench
9
Alemão
9'
F
Alemão
9'
F
13
Augusto Batalla
G
Augusto Batalla
G
14
Carlos Martín
F
Carlos Martín
F
7
Isi Palazón
M
Isi Palazón
M
19
Jorge de Frutos
45'
F
Jorge de Frutos
45'
F
5
Luiz Felipe
D
6
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
45'
M
10
Sergio Camello
13'
F
Sergio Camello
13'
F
17
Unai López
M
Best on the pitch
V. Muriqi
F · Mallorca
7.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Jan Virgili
F · Mallorca
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Leo Román
G · Mallorca
7.60
· 43 pass
Darder
M · Mallorca
7.50
· 39 pass
Pablo Torre
M · Mallorca
7.50
1 👟
3 shots
· 33 pass
J. Mojica
D · Mallorca
7.50
1 shots
· 32 pass
Mallorca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Román | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Mojica | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Mascarell | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| David López | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Manu Morlanes | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Darder | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 72 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Muriqi | F | 90 | 7.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Zito Luvumbo | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jan Virgili | F | 28 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Asano | F | 18 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Cárdenas | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Espino | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Mendy | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Lejeune | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 45% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro García | F | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. Nteka | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Mallorca win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Rayo Vallecano win.