Samu Costa
(ast. S. Darder)
49'
67'
(ast. J. Guerra)
U. Sadiq
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mallorca a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Valencia 33%). The final result was Mallorca 1–1 Valencia. In 1 previous meetings, Mallorca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Valencia.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
1.81
Actual xG
1.49
2
Saves
7
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
4
17
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
11'
Renzo Saravia
/
T. Rendall
41'
S. Dimitrievski
⚽Samu Costa
· ast. S. Darder
49'
52'
G. Rodriguez
T. Asano
/ J. Virgili
56'
60'
A. Danjuma
/
L. Beltran
60'
L. Rioja
/
F. Ugrinic
60'
J. Guerra
/
D. Lopez
67'
ast. J. Guerra ·
U. Sadiq⚽
O. Mascarell
/ A. Sanchez
76'
M. Morlanes
/ D. Lopez
76'
P. Torre
/ J. Llabres
85'
90'+5
J. Vazquez
/
L. Ramazani
Pre-match prediction
38.24%
Mallorca
28.34%
X ←
33.43%
Valencia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
1.81
+0.6
1.18
1.49
+0.31
Mallorca dominated by xG (1.81 vs 1.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Leo Román
G
Leo Román
G
22
J. Mojica
D
J. Mojica
D
5
Omar Mascarell
76'
D
Omar Mascarell
76'
D
24
M. Valjent
D
M. Valjent
D
23
Pablo Maffeo
D
Pablo Maffeo
D
8
Manu Morlanes
76'
M
Manu Morlanes
76'
M
10
Darder
1 👟
M
Darder
1 👟
M
12
Samú Costa
1 ⚽
M
Samú Costa
1 ⚽
M
20
Pablo Torre
85'
M
Pablo Torre
85'
M
11
Takuma Asano
56'
F
Takuma Asano
56'
F
7
V. Muriqi
F
V. Muriqi
F
Bench
27
David López
14'
D
David López
14'
D
17
Jan Virgili
34'
F
Jan Virgili
34'
F
30
J. Kalumba
F
1
S. Dimitrievski
G
S. Dimitrievski
G
14
José Gayà
D
José Gayà
D
18
D
5
César Tárrega
D
César Tárrega
D
12
Thierry Correia
11'
D
Thierry Correia
11'
D
17
L. Ramazani
89'
M
L. Ramazani
89'
M
2
G. Rodríguez
M
G. Rodríguez
M
23
F. Ugrinic
60'
M
F. Ugrinic
60'
M
16
Diego López
60'
M
Diego López
60'
M
15
Lucas Beltrán
60'
F
Lucas Beltrán
60'
F
6
Umar Sadiq
1 ⚽
F
Umar Sadiq
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
André Almeida
M
André Almeida
M
9
Hugo Duro
F
Hugo Duro
F
8
Javi Guerra
1 👟
30'
M
Javi Guerra
1 👟
30'
M
11
Luis Rioja
30'
F
Luis Rioja
30'
F
20
Renzo Saravia
79'
D
Renzo Saravia
79'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
8.90
· 35 pass
Samú Costa
M · Mallorca
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 46 pass
Jan Virgili
F · Mallorca
7.90
2 shots
· 7 pass
Darder
M · Mallorca
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 54 pass
Leo Román
G · Mallorca
7.50
· 42 pass
M. Valjent
D · Mallorca
7.50
· 63 pass
Mallorca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Román | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | — | — | — |
| J. Mojica | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Omar Mascarell | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Valjent | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Manu Morlanes | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| Darder | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 54 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 46 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Takuma Asano | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Muriqi | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| David López | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jan Virgili | F | 34 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Valencia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| José Gayà | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| César Tárrega | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Thierry Correia | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Ramazani | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Ugrinic | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego López | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Beltrán | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Guerra | M | 30 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Luis Rioja | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Renzo Saravia | D | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Valencia?
The final score was Mallorca 1–1 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Mallorca vs Valencia?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Mallorca win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Valencia win.