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La Liga · Regular Season - 33 April 21, 2026 21:00
Mallorca
#18 · 39 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Valencia
#11 · 43 pts
Samu Costa (ast. S. Darder) 49'
67' (ast. J. Guerra) U. Sadiq

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mallorca a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Valencia 33%). The final result was Mallorca 1–1 Valencia. In 1 previous meetings, Mallorca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Valencia.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
1.81
Actual xG
1.49
2
Saves
7
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
4
17
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
11'
Renzo Saravia / T. Rendall ↕
41'
S. Dimitrievski
⚽Samu Costa · ast. S. Darder
49'
52'
G. Rodriguez
↕ T. Asano / J. Virgili
56'
60'
A. Danjuma / L. Beltran ↕
60'
L. Rioja / F. Ugrinic ↕
60'
J. Guerra / D. Lopez ↕
67'
ast. J. Guerra · U. Sadiq⚽
↕ O. Mascarell / A. Sanchez
76'
↕ M. Morlanes / D. Lopez
76'
↕ P. Torre / J. Llabres
85'
90'+5
J. Vazquez / L. Ramazani ↕
Pre-match prediction
38.24%
Mallorca
28.34%
X ←
33.43%
Valencia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mallorca
1.21
1.81
+0.6
Valencia
1.18
1.49
+0.31
Mallorca dominated by xG (1.81 vs 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Mallorca Mallorca 4-3-1-2
1 Leo Román Leo Román G 7.50
22 Johan Mojica Johan Mojica D 6.60
5 Omar Mascarell Omar Mascarell 76' D 7.20
24 Martin Valjent Martin Valjent D 7.50
23 Pablo Maffeo Pablo Maffeo D 6.90
8 Manu Morlanes Manu Morlanes 76' M 7.00
10 Sergi Darder Sergi Darder 1 👟 M 7.90
12 Samú Costa Samú Costa 1 ⚽ M 8.00
20 Pablo Torre Pablo Torre 85' M 6.90
11 Takuma Asano Takuma Asano 56' F 6.20
7 V. Muriqi V. Muriqi F 6.90
Bench
27 David López David López 14' D 6.60
17 Jan Virgili Jan Virgili 34' F 7.90
30
J. Kalumba F
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 Stole Dimitrievski Stole Dimitrievski G 8.90
14 José Luis Gayà José Luis Gayà D 6.60
18
D 7.20
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.50
12 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia 11' D 6.70
17 Largie Ramazani Largie Ramazani 89' M 6.90
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez M 6.60
23 Filip Ugrinić Filip Ugrinić 60' M 6.90
16 Diego López Diego López 60' M 6.30
15 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 60' F 6.20
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
10 André Almeida André Almeida M
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro F
8 Javier Guerra Javier Guerra 1 👟 30' M 7.30
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja 30' F 6.70
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia 79' D 6.50
Best on the pitch
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
8.90
· 35 pass
Samú Costa
Samú Costa
M · Mallorca
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 46 pass
Jan Virgili
Jan Virgili
F · Mallorca
7.90
2 shots · 7 pass
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder
M · Mallorca
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 54 pass
Leo Román
Leo Román
G · Mallorca
7.50
· 42 pass
Martin Valjent
Martin Valjent
D · Mallorca
7.50
· 63 pass
Mallorca Mallorca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leo Román G 90 7.50 — — — 42 39% — — —
Johan Mojica D 90 6.60 — — — 50 43% — — —
Omar Mascarell D 76 7.20 — — — 65 57% 3 — —
Martin Valjent D 90 7.50 — — — 63 59% 2 — —
Pablo Maffeo D 90 6.90 — — — 38 30% 2 — —
Manu Morlanes M 76 7.00 — — 1 49 40% 4 — —
Sergi Darder M 90 7.90 — 1 2 54 45% 1 — —
Samú Costa M 90 8.00 1 — 3 46 42% 3 — —
Pablo Torre M 85 6.90 — — 1 40 36% 1 — —
Takuma Asano F 56 6.20 — — 2 8 8% 1 — —
V. Muriqi F 90 6.90 — — 3 20 11% — — —
David López D 14 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Jan Virgili F 34 7.90 — — 2 7 5% — — —
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stole Dimitrievski G 90 8.90 — — — 35 22% — 1 —
José Luis Gayà D 90 6.60 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 38 32% 2 — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.50 — — 1 33 27% — — —
Thierry Correia D 11 6.70 — — — 4 1% — — —
Largie Ramazani M 89 6.90 — — 3 21 14% — — —
Guido Rodríguez M 90 6.60 — — — 42 38% — 1 —
Filip Ugrinić M 60 6.90 — — — 22 18% 3 — —
Diego López M 60 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
L. Beltrán F 60 6.20 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Umar Sadiq F 90 6.90 1 — 2 16 12% 1 — —
Javier Guerra M 30 7.30 — 1 — 12 10% — — —
Luis Rioja F 30 6.70 — — — 13 11% — — —
Renzo Saravia D 79 6.50 — — 1 47 39% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Valencia?
The final score was Mallorca 1–1 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Mallorca vs Valencia?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Mallorca win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Valencia win.