V. Muriqi
45'+2
(pen.)
31'
A. Perez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Mallorca 36%). The final result was Mallorca 1–1 Villarreal. In 1 previous meetings, Mallorca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
1.74
Actual xG
1.13
1
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
4
20
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
31'
(pen.)
A. Perez⚽
⚽V. Muriqi
45'+2
J. Mojica
/ T. Lato
62'
63'
A. Moleiro
/
A. Gonzalez
63'
N. Pepe
/
T. Oluwaseyi
M. Morlanes
/ J. Virgili
70'
M. Morey Bauza
/ M. Calatayud
70'
70'
G. Mikautadze
/
A. Perez
71'
G. Moreno
/
T. Buchanan
Samu Costa
71'
V. Muriqi
73'
75'
D. Parejo
/
S. Comesana
P. Torre
/ D. Lopez
76'
Pre-match prediction
36.19%
Mallorca
23.35%
X ←
40.46%
Villarreal
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.74
+0.26
1.65
1.13
-0.52
Mallorca dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.13).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Leo Román
46'
G
Leo Román
46'
G
22
Johan Mojica
62'
D
Johan Mojica
62'
D
5
Omar Mascarell
46'
D
Omar Mascarell
46'
D
24
Martin Valjent
46'
D
2
Mateu Morey
70'
D
Mateu Morey
70'
D
8
Manu Morlanes
70'
M
Manu Morlanes
70'
M
10
Sergi Darder
46'
M
Sergi Darder
46'
M
12
Samú Costa
46'
M
Samú Costa
46'
M
20
Pablo Torre
76'
M
Pablo Torre
76'
M
7
V. Muriqi
1 ⚽
46'
F
V. Muriqi
1 ⚽
46'
F
15
Zito Luvumbo
46'
F
Zito Luvumbo
46'
F
Bench
9
Abdón Prats
F
Abdón Prats
F
6
Antonio Sánchez
M
Antonio Sánchez
M
28
Cesc Riba
M
Cesc Riba
M
27
David López
19'
D
David López
19'
D
25
Iván Cuéllar
G
Iván Cuéllar
G
17
Jan Virgili
25'
F
Jan Virgili
25'
F
34
Javier Olaizola
D
Javier Olaizola
D
19
Javi Llabrés
F
Javi Llabrés
F
29
Luis Orejuela
D
Luis Orejuela
D
44
Miguel Calatayud
25'
D
Miguel Calatayud
25'
D
11
Takuma Asano
F
Takuma Asano
F
3
Toni Lato
33'
D
Toni Lato
33'
D
25
Arnau Tenas
G
Arnau Tenas
G
23
Sergi Cardona
D
Sergi Cardona
D
12
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
4
Rafa Marín
D
Rafa Marín
D
15
S. Mouriño
D
S. Mouriño
D
11
Alfon González
63'
M
Alfon González
63'
M
16
Thomas Partey
M
Thomas Partey
M
14
Santi Comesaña
75'
M
Santi Comesaña
75'
M
17
T. Buchanan
71'
M
T. Buchanan
71'
M
21
T. Oluwaseyi
63'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
63'
F
22
Ayoze Pérez
1 ⚽
70'
F
Ayoze Pérez
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
3
A. Freeman
D
A. Freeman
D
20
Alberto Moleiro
27'
M
Alberto Moleiro
27'
M
24
Alfonso Pedraza
D
Alfonso Pedraza
D
10
Dani Parejo
15'
M
Dani Parejo
15'
M
7
Gerard Moreno
19'
F
Gerard Moreno
19'
F
9
G. Mikautadze
20'
F
G. Mikautadze
20'
F
2
Logan Costa
D
Logan Costa
D
1
Luiz Júnior
G
Luiz Júnior
G
19
N. Pépé
27'
F
N. Pépé
27'
F
6
Pau Navarro
D
Pau Navarro
D
18
P. Gueye
M
P. Gueye
M
5
Willy Kambwala
D
Willy Kambwala
D
Best on the pitch
Arnau Tenas
G · Villarreal
8.90
· 31 pass
V. Muriqi
F · Mallorca
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Zito Luvumbo
F · Mallorca
8.20
2 shots
· 13 pass
Renato Veiga
D · Villarreal
7.70
· 50 pass
Martin Valjent
D · Mallorca
7.30
· 54 pass
Ayoze Pérez
F · Villarreal
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
Mallorca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Román | G | 46 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Johan Mojica | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Mascarell | D | 46 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Valjent | D | 46 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| Mateu Morey | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Manu Morlanes | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergi Darder | M | 46 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 46 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Muriqi | F | 46 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Zito Luvumbo | F | 46 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| David López | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jan Virgili | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Calatayud | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Toni Lato | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Villarreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Tenas | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mouriño | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Alfon González | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Thomas Partey | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 70 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Dani Parejo | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Pépé | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Villarreal?
The final score was Mallorca 1–1 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Mallorca vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Mallorca win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an Villarreal win.