✗Model wrong — prediction Malta, result Draw
Joseph Mbong
(ast. Ylyas Chouaref)
53'
61'
James Scanlon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Malta a 57% win probability (draw 30%, Gibraltar 12%). The final result was Malta 1–1 Gibraltar.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
1
12
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
Graeme Torrilla
⚽Joseph Mbong
· ast. Ylyas Chouaref
53'
61'
James Scanlon⚽
Ylyas Chouaref
63'
Joseph Mbong
72'
Joseph Mbong
/ Paul Mbong
73'
Alexander·Satariano
/ Paiber Brandon Diego
73'
Teddy Teuma
/ Keyon Ewurum
82'
86'
Han Stevens
/
Nicholas Pozo
Juan Corbalan
/ Andrea Zammit
88'
Kurt Shaw
/ Zach Muscat
88'
Zach Muscat
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
57.02%
Malta
30.73%
X ←
12.24%
Gibraltar
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
—
—
0.54
—
—
Lineups
1
H. Bonello
G
H. Bonello
G
3
R. Camenzuli
D
R. Camenzuli
D
13
E. Pepe
D
E. Pepe
D
5
K. Shaw
88'
D
K. Shaw
88'
D
21
J. Corbalan
88'
D
J. Corbalan
88'
D
23
A. Satariano
73'
M
A. Satariano
73'
M
6
M. Guillaumier
M
M. Guillaumier
M
20
I. Chouaref
1 👟
M
I. Chouaref
1 👟
M
10
T. Teuma
82'
M
T. Teuma
82'
M
7
J. Mbong
1 ⚽
73'
M
J. Mbong
1 ⚽
73'
M
11
I. Cardona
F
I. Cardona
F
Bench
14
A. Zammit
2'
F
A. Zammit
2'
F
18
B. Paiber
17'
M
B. Paiber
17'
M
17
C. Zammit Lonardelli
D
C. Zammit Lonardelli
D
2
J. Borg
D
J. Borg
D
9
J. Grech
F
J. Grech
F
12
J. Sissons
G
J. Sissons
G
19
K. Ewurum
8'
F
K. Ewurum
8'
F
15
M. Beerman
D
M. Beerman
D
8
P. Mbong
17'
F
P. Mbong
17'
F
16
R. Al Tumi
G
R. Al Tumi
G
22
Z. Muscat
2'
D
Z. Muscat
2'
D
23
Jaylan Hankins
G
Jaylan Hankins
G
3
Julian Valarino
D
6
Bernardo Lopes
D
Bernardo Lopes
D
5
Dan Bent
D
2
Ethan Jolley
D
Ethan Jolley
D
11
James Scanlon
1 ⚽
M
22
Graeme Torrilla
M
Graeme Torrilla
M
8
Kian Ronan
M
4
Nicholas Pozo
86'
F
10
T. De Barr
F
T. De Barr
F
7
Carlos Richards
F
Bench
21
Alain Pons
D
1
Bradley Banda
G
9
Dylan Borge
F
20
Ethan Britto
D
Ethan Britto
D
16
Han Stevens
4'
M
18
Jaiden Bartolo
F
19
Leon Mason
F
17
Liam Jessop
F
Best on the pitch
James Scanlon
M · Gibraltar
7.64
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
J. Mbong
M · Malta
7.58
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
I. Chouaref
M · Malta
7.35
1 👟
1 shots
· 54 pass
R. Camenzuli
D · Malta
7.08
3 shots
· 43 pass
Bernardo Lopes
D · Gibraltar
7.07
1 shots
· 37 pass
J. Corbalan
D · Malta
6.88
· 45 pass
Malta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Bonello | G | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Camenzuli | D | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Pepe | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 65% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Shaw | D | 88 | 6.78 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 55% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Corbalan | D | 88 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Satariano | M | 73 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Guillaumier | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Chouaref | M | 90 | 7.35 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 45% | 0 | 1 | — |
| T. Teuma | M | 82 | 6.18 | — | — | 3 | 60 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mbong | M | 73 | 7.58 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Cardona | F | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Zammit | F | 2 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Paiber | M | 17 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Ewurum | F | 8 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Mbong | F | 17 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Muscat | D | 2 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
Gibraltar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylan Hankins | G | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Julian Valarino | D | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Bernardo Lopes | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Dan Bent | D | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| Ethan Jolley | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| James Scanlon | M | 90 | 7.64 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Graeme Torrilla | M | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Kian Ronan | M | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Nicholas Pozo | F | 86 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| T. De Barr | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlos Richards | F | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Han Stevens | M | 4 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Malta vs Gibraltar?
The final score was Malta 1–1 Gibraltar.
What did the model predict before Malta vs Gibraltar?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Malta win, 30% to a draw, and 12% to an Gibraltar win.