Manchester City - Atletico Madrid
Friendlies Clubs
August 09, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Manchester City
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Atletico Madrid
1.4
1.1
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.82%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Manchester City a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Atletico Madrid. Expected goals are 1.4 for Manchester City and 1.1 for Atletico Madrid (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.82% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Manchester City
Atletico Madrid →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Manchester City
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Atletico Madrid
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?
The model gives Manchester City a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Atletico Madrid win.
How many goals are expected in Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?
Expected goals: Manchester City 1.4, Atletico Madrid 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.82%.