M. Guehi
(ast. R. Cherki)
84'
J. Gvardiol
(ast. R. Cherki)
90'+1
26'
(ast. Evanilson)
M. Tavernier
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Bournemouth 31%). The final result was Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bournemouth.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
2.36
Actual xG
0.63
3
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
8
Corners
3
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
26'
ast. Evanilson ·
M. Tavernier⚽
45'+1
Evanilson
R. Lewis
/ M. Nunes
57'
N. O'Reilly
/ R. Cherki
63'
E. Anderson
/ M. Kovacic
63'
75'
D. Jebbison
/
Evanilson
75'
A. Toth
/
J. Kluivert
75'
T. Adams
/
L. Cook
P. Foden
78'
P. Foden
/ J. Grealish
82'
⚽M. Guehi
· ast. R. Cherki
84'
85'
A. Silva
89'
B. Gannon-Doak
/
Rayan
⚽J. Gvardiol
· ast. R. Cherki
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
35.79%
Manchester ←
32.34%
X
31.87%
Bournemouth
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City)
35.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
2.36
+0.43
1.04
0.63
-0.41
Manchester City dominated by xG (2.36 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G. Donnarumma
G
G. Donnarumma
G
24
J. Gvardiol
1 ⚽
D
J. Gvardiol
1 ⚽
D
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
45
A. Khusanov
D
A. Khusanov
D
82
R. Lewis
57'
D
R. Lewis
57'
D
6
M. Guéhi
1 ⚽
M
M. Guéhi
1 ⚽
M
5
E. Anderson
63'
M
E. Anderson
63'
M
42
A. Semenyo
M
A. Semenyo
M
33
N. O'Reilly
63'
M
N. O'Reilly
63'
M
47
P. Foden
82'
M
P. Foden
82'
M
9
E. Haaland
F
E. Haaland
F
Bench
28
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
18
J. Grealish
12'
M
J. Grealish
12'
M
27
Matheus Nunes
37'
M
Matheus Nunes
37'
M
8
M. Kovačić
31'
M
M. Kovačić
31'
M
14
Nico González
M
Nico González
M
7
Omar Marmoush
F
Omar Marmoush
F
21
R. Aït-Nouri
D
R. Aït-Nouri
D
10
R. Cherki
2 👟
31'
M
R. Cherki
2 👟
31'
M
22
Vitor Nunes
D
Vitor Nunes
D
1
Đ. Petrović
G
Đ. Petrović
G
3
A. Truffert
D
A. Truffert
D
14
António Silva
D
António Silva
D
5
J. Hill
D
J. Hill
D
15
A. Smith
D
A. Smith
D
8
A. Scott
M
A. Scott
M
4
L. Cook
75'
M
L. Cook
75'
M
16
M. Tavernier
1 ⚽
M
M. Tavernier
1 ⚽
M
19
J. Kluivert
75'
M
J. Kluivert
75'
M
37
Rayan
89'
M
Rayan
89'
M
9
Evanilson
1 👟
75'
F
Evanilson
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
30
Á. Rodríguez
F
Á. Rodríguez
F
27
A. Tóth
19'
M
A. Tóth
19'
M
18
B. Diakité
D
B. Diakité
D
11
B. Doak
5'
F
B. Doak
5'
F
7
D. Brooks
M
D. Brooks
M
29
D. Jebbison
19'
F
D. Jebbison
19'
F
24
Juanlu Sánchez
M
Juanlu Sánchez
M
12
T. Adams
19'
M
T. Adams
19'
M
40
W. Dennis
G
W. Dennis
G
Best on the pitch
M. Guéhi
M · Manchester
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 58 pass
G. Donnarumma
G · Manchester
8.00
· 18 pass
J. Gvardiol
D · Manchester
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 72 pass
Đ. Petrović
G · Bournemouth
7.60
· 39 pass
M. Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Rúben Dias
D · Manchester
7.20
· 124 pass
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Donnarumma | G | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Gvardiol | D | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 72 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Rúben Dias | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 124 | 108% | — | — | — |
| A. Khusanov | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 90 | 87% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Lewis | D | 57 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | M | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 58 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Foden | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Grealish | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Nunes | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 31 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Bournemouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Đ. Petrović | G | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Truffert | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| António Silva | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Hill | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Smith | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Scott | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Cook | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tavernier | M | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Kluivert | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Rayan | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Evanilson | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Tóth | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Doak | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Adams | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
The final score was Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Manchester City win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Bournemouth win.