Skip to main content
← Premier League
Premier League · Regular Season - 1 August 23, 2026 15:00 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester City
#1 · 9 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Bournemouth
#15 · 3 pts
M. Guehi (ast. R. Cherki) 84'
J. Gvardiol (ast. R. Cherki) 90'+1
26' (ast. Evanilson) M. Tavernier
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Bournemouth 31%). The final result was Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bournemouth.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
2.36
Actual xG
0.63
3
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
8
Corners
3
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
26'
ast. Evanilson · M. Tavernier⚽
45'+1
Evanilson
↕ R. Lewis / M. Nunes
57'
↕ N. O'Reilly / R. Cherki
63'
↕ E. Anderson / M. Kovacic
63'
75'
D. Jebbison / Evanilson ↕
75'
A. Toth / J. Kluivert ↕
75'
T. Adams / L. Cook ↕
P. Foden
78'
↕ P. Foden / J. Grealish
82'
⚽M. Guehi · ast. R. Cherki
84'
85'
A. Silva
89'
B. Gannon-Doak / Rayan ↕
⚽J. Gvardiol · ast. R. Cherki
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
35.79%
Manchester ←
32.34%
X
31.87%
Bournemouth
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 35.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.93
2.36
+0.43
Bournemouth
1.04
0.63
-0.41
Manchester City dominated by xG (2.36 vs 0.63). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 3 9
2 Arsenal Arsenal 3 9
3 Hull City Hull City 4 8
4 Chelsea Chelsea 4 7
5 Brentford Brentford 4 6
6 Liverpool Liverpool 4 6
7 Ipswich Ipswich 4 6
8 Newcastle Newcastle 3 5
9 Everton Everton 3 5
10 Leeds Leeds 3 5
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 5
12 Brighton Brighton 3 4
13 Manchester United Manchester United 3 4
14 Sunderland Sunderland 3 4
15 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 3
16 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 3
17 Fulham Fulham 4 1
18 Tottenham Tottenham 3 1
19 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 1
20 Coventry Coventry 3 0
Lineups
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-3-1
1 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 8.00
24 J. Gvardiol J. Gvardiol 1 ⚽ D 7.70
3 Rúben Dias Rúben Dias D 7.20
45 A. Khusanov A. Khusanov D 7.00
82 R. Lewis R. Lewis 57' D 6.00
6 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi 1 ⚽ M 8.20
5 E. Anderson E. Anderson 63' M 6.90
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo M 7.00
33 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly 63' M 6.90
47 P. Foden P. Foden 82' M 6.60
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland F 6.90
Bench
28 G. Rulli G. Rulli G
18 J. Grealish J. Grealish 12' M 6.70
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes 37' M 6.70
8 M. Kovačić M. Kovačić 31' M 6.70
14 Nico González Nico González M
7 Omar Marmoush Omar Marmoush F
21 R. Aït-Nouri R. Aït-Nouri D
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 2 👟 31' M 7.20
22 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D
Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
1 Đ. Petrović Đ. Petrović G 7.60
3 A. Truffert A. Truffert D 6.70
14 António Silva António Silva D 6.70
5 J. Hill J. Hill D 6.50
15 A. Smith A. Smith D 6.00
8 A. Scott A. Scott M 7.00
4 L. Cook L. Cook 75' M 6.30
16 M. Tavernier M. Tavernier 1 ⚽ M 7.30
19 J. Kluivert J. Kluivert 75' M 7.20
37 Rayan Rayan 89' M 6.30
9 Evanilson Evanilson 1 👟 75' F 6.60
Bench
30 Á. Rodríguez Á. Rodríguez F
27 A. Tóth A. Tóth 19' M 6.20
18 B. Diakité B. Diakité D
11 B. Doak B. Doak 5' F
7 D. Brooks D. Brooks M
29 D. Jebbison D. Jebbison 19' F 6.90
24 Juanlu Sánchez Juanlu Sánchez M
12 T. Adams T. Adams 19' M 6.20
40 W. Dennis W. Dennis G
Best on the pitch
M. Guéhi
M. Guéhi
M · Manchester
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 58 pass
G. Donnarumma
G. Donnarumma
G · Manchester
8.00
· 18 pass
J. Gvardiol
J. Gvardiol
D · Manchester
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 72 pass
Đ. Petrović
Đ. Petrović
G · Bournemouth
7.60
· 39 pass
M. Tavernier
M. Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Rúben Dias
Rúben Dias
D · Manchester
7.20
· 124 pass
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 94 8.00 — — — 18 15% — — —
J. Gvardiol D 94 7.70 1 — 1 72 62% 2 — —
Rúben Dias D 94 7.20 — — — 124 108% — — —
A. Khusanov D 94 7.00 — — — 90 87% 2 — —
R. Lewis D 57 6.00 — — 1 25 23% — — —
M. Guéhi M 94 8.20 1 — 2 58 55% 3 — —
E. Anderson M 63 6.90 — — — 57 50% 2 — —
A. Semenyo M 94 7.00 — — 1 35 31% 1 — —
N. O'Reilly M 63 6.90 — — 1 21 19% 1 — —
P. Foden M 82 6.60 — — — 53 42% 3 1 —
E. Haaland F 94 6.90 — — 4 15 10% — — —
J. Grealish M 12 6.70 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Matheus Nunes M 37 6.70 — — — 22 19% — — —
M. Kovačić M 31 6.70 — — — 27 27% — — —
R. Cherki M 31 7.20 — 2 — 12 11% — — —
Bournemouth Bournemouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Đ. Petrović G 94 7.60 — — — 39 22% — — —
A. Truffert D 94 6.70 — — — 27 24% 2 — —
António Silva D 94 6.70 — — — 38 35% — 1 —
J. Hill D 94 6.50 — — — 44 37% 1 — —
A. Smith D 94 6.00 — — — 16 12% — — —
A. Scott M 94 7.00 — — — 45 37% 4 — —
L. Cook M 75 6.30 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
M. Tavernier M 94 7.30 1 — 2 26 23% 2 — —
J. Kluivert M 75 7.20 — — 1 12 7% 3 — —
Rayan M 89 6.30 — — 1 15 8% — — —
Evanilson F 75 6.60 — 1 — 12 10% 1 1 —
A. Tóth M 19 6.20 — — — 12 11% — — —
B. Doak F 5 — — — — 1 1% — — —
D. Jebbison F 19 6.90 — — 1 5 5% — — —
T. Adams M 19 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
The final score was Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Manchester City win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Bournemouth win.