Premier League · Regular Season - 36 May 09, 2026 18:30 Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City

#1 · 9 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Brentford

#5 · 6 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City

J. Doku 60'

E. Haaland 75'

O. Marmoush (ast. E. Haaland) 90'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Brentford 17%). The final result was Manchester City 3–0 Brentford. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Brentford.

Match statistics

17

Total shots

3

10

Shots on target

2

2.98

Actual xG

0.24

2

Saves

7

59%

Possession

41%

10

Corners

2

14

Tackles

23

3

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

B. Silva

36'

↕ T. Reijnders / P. Foden

60'

↕ R. Cherki / O. Marmoush

60'

⚽J. Doku

60'

62'

V. Janelt / A. Hickey ↕

69'

D. Ouattara / M. Damsgaard ↕

N. O'Reilly

74'

⚽E. Haaland

75'

79'

J. Henderson / Y. Yarmolyuk ↕

80'

K. Ajer

88'

J. Henderson

M. Nunes

88'

↕ J. Doku / Savinho

90'+1

⚽O. Marmoush · ast. E. Haaland

90'+2

O. Marmoush

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

66.14%

Manchester ←

16.77%

X

17.09%

Brentford

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 66.14% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Manchester

2.55

2.98

+0.43

Brentford

1.29

0.24

-1.05

Manchester City dominated by xG (2.98 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	3	9
2	Arsenal	3	9
3	Hull City	4	8
4	Chelsea	4	7
5	Brentford	4	6
6	Liverpool	4	6
7	Ipswich	4	6
8	Newcastle	3	5
9	Everton	3	5
10	Leeds	3	5
11	Nottingham Forest	4	5
12	Brighton	3	4
13	Manchester United	3	4
14	Sunderland	3	4
15	Bournemouth	4	3
16	Crystal Palace	4	3
17	Fulham	4	1
18	Tottenham	3	1
19	Aston Villa	4	1
20	Coventry	3	0

Lineups

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

25 G. Donnarumma G 7.20

33 N. O'Reilly D 6.20

6 N. Aké D 6.60

15 M. Guéhi D 7.50

27 Matheus Nunes D 7.20

20 Bernardo Silva M 7.30

4 T. Reijnders 60' M 6.90

11 J. Doku 1 ⚽ M 10.00

10 R. Cherki 60' M 6.30

42 A. Semenyo M 8.30

9 E. Haaland 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 6.90

Bench

8 M. Kovačić M

14 Nico González M

7 Omar Marmoush 1 ⚽ 36' F 7.60

47 P. Foden 36' M 6.70

21 R. Aït-Nouri D

Brentford 4-4-2

1 C. Kelleher G 9.50

23 K. Lewis-Potter D 6.20

22 N. Collins D 5.90

20 K. Ajer D 6.70

33 M. Kayode D 6.20

24 M. Damsgaard 68' M 6.60

2 A. Hickey 61' M 7.00

8 Mathias Jensen M 6.20

18 Y. Yarmolyuk 79' M 7.20

9 Thiago F 6.20

7 K. Schade F 6.20

Bench

19 D. Ouattara 28' F 7.30

6 Jordan Henderson 17' M 6.20

4 Sepp van den Berg D

Best on the pitch

J. Doku

M · Manchester

10.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 57 pass

C. Kelleher

G · Brentford

9.50

· 31 pass

A. Semenyo

M · Manchester

8.30

1 shots · 32 pass

Omar Marmoush

F · Manchester

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

M. Guéhi

D · Manchester

7.50

· 44 pass

Bernardo Silva

M · Manchester

7.30

2 shots · 74 pass

Manchester City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Donnarumma	G	96	7.20	—	—	—	19	17%	—	—	—
N. O'Reilly	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	39	32%	1	1	—
N. Aké	D	96	6.60	—	—	2	60	51%	—	—	—
M. Guéhi	D	96	7.50	—	—	—	44	40%	2	—	—
Matheus Nunes	D	96	7.20	—	—	—	58	51%	—	1	—
Bernardo Silva	M	96	7.30	—	—	2	74	68%	6	1	—
T. Reijnders	M	60	6.90	—	—	1	27	25%	—	—	—
J. Doku	M	90	10.00	1	—	2	57	44%	2	—	—
R. Cherki	M	60	6.30	—	—	1	29	22%	1	—	—
A. Semenyo	M	96	8.30	—	—	1	32	28%	—	—	—
E. Haaland	F	96	6.90	1	1	5	7	4%	—	—	—
Omar Marmoush	F	36	7.60	1	—	1	2	2%	1	—	—
P. Foden	M	36	6.70	—	—	2	12	11%	1	—	—

Brentford — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Kelleher	G	96	9.50	—	—	—	31	18%	—	—	—
K. Lewis-Potter	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	27	25%	2	—	—
N. Collins	D	96	5.90	—	—	—	41	35%	1	—	—
K. Ajer	D	96	6.70	—	—	—	28	25%	1	1	—
M. Kayode	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	19	15%	2	—	—
M. Damsgaard	M	68	6.60	—	—	—	27	18%	6	—	—
A. Hickey	M	61	7.00	—	—	1	8	5%	1	—	—
Mathias Jensen	M	96	6.20	—	—	—	52	35%	2	—	—
Y. Yarmolyuk	M	79	7.20	—	—	—	16	14%	5	—	—
Thiago	F	96	6.20	—	—	2	13	10%	2	—	—
K. Schade	F	96	6.20	—	—	—	14	9%	1	—	—
D. Ouattara	F	28	7.30	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
Jordan Henderson	M	17	6.20	—	—	—	12	8%	—	1	—