Premier League · Regular Season - 36 May 09, 2026 18:30

Manchester City

#2 · 77 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Brentford

#8 · 51 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City

J. Doku 60'

E. Haaland 75'

O. Marmoush (ast. E. Haaland) 90'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Brentford 17%). The final result was Manchester City 3–0 Brentford. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Brentford.

Match statistics

17

Total shots

3

10

Shots on target

2

2.98

Actual xG

0.24

2

Saves

7

59%

Possession

41%

10

Corners

2

14

Tackles

23

3

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

B. Silva

36'

↕ T. Reijnders / P. Foden

60'

↕ R. Cherki / O. Marmoush

60'

⚽J. Doku

60'

62'

V. Janelt / A. Hickey ↕

69'

D. Ouattara / M. Damsgaard ↕

N. O'Reilly

74'

⚽E. Haaland

75'

79'

J. Henderson / Y. Yarmolyuk ↕

80'

K. Ajer

88'

J. Henderson

M. Nunes

88'

↕ J. Doku / Savinho

90'+1

⚽O. Marmoush · ast. E. Haaland

90'+2

O. Marmoush

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

66.14%

Manchester ←

16.77%

X

17.09%

Brentford

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 66.14% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Manchester

2.55

2.98

+0.43

Brentford

1.29

0.24

-1.05

Manchester City dominated by xG (2.98 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	36	79
2	Manchester City	36	77
3	Manchester United	36	65
4	Liverpool	36	59
5	Aston Villa	36	59
6	Bournemouth	36	55
7	Brighton	36	53
8	Brentford	36	51
9	Chelsea	36	49
10	Everton	36	49
11	Fulham	36	48
12	Sunderland	36	48
13	Newcastle	36	46
14	Leeds	36	44
15	Crystal Palace	36	44
16	Nottingham Forest	36	43
17	Tottenham	36	38
18	West Ham	36	36
19	Burnley	36	21
20	Wolves	36	18

Lineups

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

25 Gianluigi Donnarumma G 7.20

33

Nico O'Reilly D 6.20

6 Nathan Aké D 6.60

15 M. Guéhi D 7.50

27 Matheus Nunes D 7.20

20 Bernardo Silva M 7.30

4 Tijjani Reijnders 60' M 6.90

11 Jérémy Doku 1 ⚽ M 10.00

10 Rayan Cherki 60' M 6.30

42 Antoine Semenyo M 8.30

9 Erling Haaland 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 6.90

Bench

8 Mateo Kovačić M

14

Nico M

7 Omar Marmoush 1 ⚽ 36' F 7.60

47 Phil Foden 36' M 6.70

21 Rayan Aït-Nouri D

Brentford 4-4-2

1

C. Kelleher G 9.50

23

K. Lewis-Potter D 6.20

22

N. Collins D 5.90

20

K. Ajer D 6.70

33

M. Kayode D 6.20

24 M. Damsgaard 68' M 6.60

2

A. Hickey 61' M 7.00

8

M. Jensen M 6.20

18

Y. Yarmolyuk 79' M 7.20

9 Thiago F 6.20

7

K. Schade F 6.20

Bench

19

D. Ouattara 28' F 7.30

6

J. Henderson 17' M 6.20

4

S. van den Berg D

Best on the pitch

Jérémy Doku

M · Manchester

10.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 57 pass

C. Kelleher

G · Brentford

9.50

· 31 pass

Antoine Semenyo

M · Manchester

8.30

1 shots · 32 pass

Omar Marmoush

F · Manchester

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

M. Guéhi

D · Manchester

7.50

· 44 pass

Bernardo Silva

M · Manchester

7.30

2 shots · 74 pass

Manchester City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Gianluigi Donnarumma	G	96	7.20	—	—	—	19	17%	—	—	—
Nico O'Reilly	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	39	32%	1	1	—
Nathan Aké	D	96	6.60	—	—	2	60	51%	—	—	—
M. Guéhi	D	96	7.50	—	—	—	44	40%	2	—	—
Matheus Nunes	D	96	7.20	—	—	—	58	51%	—	1	—
Bernardo Silva	M	96	7.30	—	—	2	74	68%	6	1	—
Tijjani Reijnders	M	60	6.90	—	—	1	27	25%	—	—	—
Jérémy Doku	M	90	10.00	1	—	2	57	44%	2	—	—
Rayan Cherki	M	60	6.30	—	—	1	29	22%	1	—	—
Antoine Semenyo	M	96	8.30	—	—	1	32	28%	—	—	—
Erling Haaland	F	96	6.90	1	1	5	7	4%	—	—	—
Omar Marmoush	F	36	7.60	1	—	1	2	2%	1	—	—
Phil Foden	M	36	6.70	—	—	2	12	11%	1	—	—

Brentford — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Kelleher	G	96	9.50	—	—	—	31	18%	—	—	—
K. Lewis-Potter	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	27	25%	2	—	—
N. Collins	D	96	5.90	—	—	—	41	35%	1	—	—
K. Ajer	D	96	6.70	—	—	—	28	25%	1	1	—
M. Kayode	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	19	15%	2	—	—
M. Damsgaard	M	68	6.60	—	—	—	27	18%	6	—	—
A. Hickey	M	61	7.00	—	—	1	8	5%	1	—	—
M. Jensen	M	96	6.20	—	—	—	52	35%	2	—	—
Y. Yarmolyuk	M	79	7.20	—	—	—	16	14%	5	—	—
Thiago	F	96	6.20	—	—	2	13	10%	2	—	—
K. Schade	F	96	6.20	—	—	—	14	9%	1	—	—
D. Ouattara	F	28	7.30	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
J. Henderson	M	17	6.20	—	—	—	12	8%	—	1	—