Manchester City - Napoli
Champions League
November 24, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.85%
Win
Manchester City
35.19%
Draw
31.96%
Win
Napoli
0.67
0.68
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.31%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
35%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
67%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Manchester City a 32% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 31% for Napoli. Expected goals are 0.7 for Manchester City and 0.7 for Napoli (total 1.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.31% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Napoli.
Season Stats
6W
1D
4L
2W
2D
5L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.0
1.3
Conceded
1.8
7.1
Shots OT
3.6
6.2
Corners
5.4
59%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
78%
55%
O 2.5
33%
45%
BTTS
44%
36%
Clean Sht
22%
ℹ
Based on the last 11 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
23%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
3W
0D
2L
· at home
0W
1D
3L
· away
1.8
gls/g
0.8
1.0
Conceded
2.8
60%
Win %
0%
60%
Win or Draw
25%
100%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
25%
20%
O 3.5
25%
40%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Manchester City
Napoli →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25.9% | 17.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Manchester City
Attack
57
Defence
73
Form
73
Napoli
Attack
40
Defence
61
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
18 Sep 2025
2–0
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Manchester City vs Napoli?
The model gives Manchester City a 32% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 31% for an Napoli win.
How many goals are expected in Manchester City vs Napoli?
Expected goals: Manchester City 0.7, Napoli 0.7 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Manchester City vs Napoli?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.31%.