✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City
Floyd Samba
(ast. Allan Andrade Elias)
29'
Rayan Cherki
(ast. Ayyoub Bouaddi)
32'
Allan Andrade Elias
(ast. Rayan Aït-Nouri)
48'
Floyd Samba
(ast. Rayan Aït-Nouri)
54'
Ryan McAidoo
(ast. Nico O'Reilly)
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Norwich 20%). The final result was Manchester City 5–0 Norwich.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
0
0
Saves
1
63%
Possession
37%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
31
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Floyd Samba
· ast. Allan Andrade Elias
29'
30'
Kellen Fisher
⚽Rayan Cherki
· ast. Ayyoub Bouaddi
32'
Rayan Cherki
/ Ryan McAidoo
45'
45'
Paris Maghoma
/
Papa Amadou Diallo
⚽Allan Andrade Elias
· ast. Rayan Aït-Nouri
48'
⚽Floyd Samba
· ast. Rayan Aït-Nouri
54'
62'
Anthony Musaba
/
Ante Crnac
Allan Andrade Elias
/ Kaden Braithwaite
71'
71'
Mohamed Toure
/
Anis Ben Slimane
71'
Ruairi McConville
/
Bruno Alves
85'
Oscar Schwartau
/
Mathias Kvistgaarden
⚽Ryan McAidoo
· ast. Nico O'Reilly
90'
Pre-match prediction
60.17%
Manchester ←
19.17%
X
20.65%
Norwich
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City)
60.17%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.93
—
—
2.20
—
—
Lineups
28
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
33
N. O'Reilly
1 👟
D
N. O'Reilly
1 👟
D
22
Vitor Nunes
D
Vitor Nunes
D
45
A. Khusanov
D
A. Khusanov
D
82
R. Lewis
D
R. Lewis
D
8
M. Kovačić
M
M. Kovačić
M
32
A. Bouaddi
1 👟
M
A. Bouaddi
1 👟
M
21
R. Aït-Nouri
2 👟
M
R. Aït-Nouri
2 👟
M
10
R. Cherki
1 ⚽
45'
M
R. Cherki
1 ⚽
45'
M
37
Allan
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
Allan
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
75
F. Samba
2 ⚽
F
F. Samba
2 ⚽
F
Bench
42
A. Semenyo
F
A. Semenyo
F
5
E. Anderson
M
E. Anderson
M
17
E. Fernández
M
E. Fernández
M
1
G. Donnarumma
G
G. Donnarumma
G
7
I. Ndiaye
F
I. Ndiaye
F
61
K. Braithwaite
19'
D
K. Braithwaite
19'
D
27
Matheus Nunes
M
Matheus Nunes
M
6
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
56
R. McAidoo
1 ⚽
45'
F
R. McAidoo
1 ⚽
45'
F
32
D. Grimshaw
G
D. Grimshaw
G
13
D. Yongwa
D
D. Yongwa
D
28
Bruno Alves
71'
D
Bruno Alves
71'
D
6
H. Darling
D
H. Darling
D
35
K. Fisher
D
K. Fisher
D
16
Jacob Wright
M
Jacob Wright
M
26
S. Field
M
S. Field
M
19
P. Diallo
45'
M
P. Diallo
45'
M
20
A. Ben Slimane
71'
M
A. Ben Slimane
71'
M
17
A. Crnac
62'
M
A. Crnac
62'
M
30
M. Kvistgaarden
85'
F
M. Kvistgaarden
85'
F
Bench
49
A. Musaba
28'
F
A. Musaba
28'
F
14
B. Chrisene
D
B. Chrisene
D
3
J. Stacey
D
J. Stacey
D
21
M. Touré
19'
F
M. Touré
19'
F
29
O. Schwartau
5'
F
O. Schwartau
5'
F
25
P. Maghoma
45'
M
P. Maghoma
45'
M
7
P. Mattsson
M
P. Mattsson
M
15
Ruairi McConville
19'
D
Ruairi McConville
19'
D
1
V. Kovačević
G
V. Kovačević
G
Best on the pitch
F. Samba
F · Manchester
8.98
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
R. Aït-Nouri
M · Manchester
8.60
2 👟
2 shots
· 69 pass
Allan
M · Manchester
8.54
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
R. Cherki
M · Manchester
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
A. Bouaddi
M · Manchester
7.70
1 👟
· 103 pass
R. McAidoo
F · Manchester
7.57
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rulli | G | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 90 | 7.43 | — | 1 | 1 | 55 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitor Nunes | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 149 | 147% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Khusanov | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 118 | 112% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Lewis | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 94 | 88% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 103 | 98% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Aït-Nouri | M | 90 | 8.60 | — | 2 | 2 | 69 | 64% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 71 | 8.54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Samba | F | 90 | 8.98 | 2 | — | 4 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Braithwaite | D | 19 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| R. McAidoo | F | 45 | 7.57 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Grimshaw | G | 90 | 5.66 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Yongwa | D | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 34% | 9 | — | — |
| Bruno Alves | D | 71 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Darling | D | 90 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 90 | 5.68 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Wright | M | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Field | M | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Diallo | M | 45 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ben Slimane | M | 71 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Crnac | M | 62 | 5.94 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 85 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Musaba | F | 28 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Schwartau | F | 5 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Maghoma | M | 45 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Ruairi McConville | D | 19 | 5.46 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Norwich?
The final score was Manchester City 5–0 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Norwich?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Manchester City win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an Norwich win.