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Manchester City - Sporting CP

Champions League January 27, 2027 21:00
Manchester City
#8 · 3 pts
vs
Sporting CP
#7 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.03%
Win
Manchester City
32.23%
Draw
38.74%
Win
Sporting CP
0.6
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.55%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 32%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 71%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 38% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Manchester City. Expected goals are 0.6 for Manchester City and 1.1 for Sporting CP (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.55% probability.

Season Stats

Manchester City
6W 1D 4L
Sporting CP
7W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.9
1.3
Conceded
1.2
7.1
Shots OT
5.1
6.2
Corners
4.3
59%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
85%
55%
O 2.5
77%
45%
BTTS
62%
36%
Clean Sht
23%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
Manchester City
3W 0D 2L · at home
Sporting CP
1W 2D 3L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.8
60%
Win %
17%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
83%
40%
O 2.5
67%
20%
O 3.5
33%
40%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
17%
20%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Manchester City Sporting CP →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.6% 20.1% 11.4% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.0% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Manchester City Manchester City
W FC Porto 0–2
L Real Madrid 1–2
L Real Madrid 3–0
W Galatasaray 2–0
L Bodo/Glimt 3–1
Sporting CP Sporting CP
W Galatasaray 3–1
D Arsenal 0–0
L Arsenal 0–1
W Bodo/Glimt 5–0
L Bodo/Glimt 3–0

Playing profile

Manchester City Manchester City
Attack
46
Defence
65
Form
52
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Attack
65
Defence
84
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Manchester City vs Sporting CP?
The model gives Manchester City a 29% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 38% for an Sporting CP win.
How many goals are expected in Manchester City vs Sporting CP?
Expected goals: Manchester City 0.6, Sporting CP 1.1 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Manchester City vs Sporting CP?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.55%.