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Manchester City - Sporting CP

Champions League January 27, 2027 21:00
Manchester City
#10 · 6 pts
vs
Sporting CP
#12 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.03%
Win
Manchester City
32.23%
Draw
38.74%
Win
Sporting CP
0.6
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.55%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 32%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 71%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 38% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Manchester City. Expected goals are 0.6 for Manchester City and 1.1 for Sporting CP (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.55% probability.

Season Stats

Manchester City
7W 1D 5L
Sporting CP
8W 2D 5L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.9
1.5
Conceded
1.3
7.2
Shots OT
5.0
6.7
Corners
4.4
59%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
87%
62%
O 2.5
73%
54%
BTTS
60%
31%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
36%
O 3.5
57%
BTTS
Manchester City
4W 0D 3L · at home
Sporting CP
2W 2D 3L · away
2.3
gls/g
1.1
1.4
Conceded
1.6
57%
Win %
29%
57%
Win or Draw
57%
100%
O 1.5
86%
57%
O 2.5
57%
43%
O 3.5
29%
57%
BTTS
57%
29%
Clean Sht
29%
14%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Manchester City Sporting CP →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.6% 20.1% 11.4% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.0% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Manchester City Manchester City
W AEK Athens FC 5–1
L Paris Saint Germain 2–4
W FC Porto 0–2
L Real Madrid 1–2
L Real Madrid 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Sporting CP Sporting CP
L Lask Linz 2–3
W Lens 0–2
W Galatasaray 3–1
D Arsenal 0–0
L Arsenal 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Manchester City Manchester City
Attack
65
Defence
56
Form
64
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Attack
50
Defence
64
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Manchester City vs Sporting CP?
The model gives Manchester City a 29% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 38% for an Sporting CP win.
How many goals are expected in Manchester City vs Sporting CP?
Expected goals: Manchester City 0.6, Sporting CP 1.1 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Manchester City vs Sporting CP?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.55%.