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#1 · 15 pts
5 – 3
Final score
#14 · 4 pts
Enzo Fernández 9'
Rayan Cherki (ast. Antoine Semenyo) 29'
Antoine Semenyo (ast. Marc Guehi) 43'
Antoine Semenyo 57'
Erling Haaland (ast. Josko Gvardiol) 81'
12' (ast. Enzo Le Fée) Brian Brobbey
33' (ast. Thomas Meunier) Brian Brobbey
59' (ast. Nilson Angulo) Brian Brobbey
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Sunderland 25%). The final result was Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sunderland.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
17
6
Shots on target
9
4
Saves
1
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
5
6
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
8'
Dayann Methalie
⚽Enzo Fernández
9'
12'
ast. Enzo Le Fée · Brian Brobbey⚽
⚽Rayan Cherki · ast. Antoine Semenyo
29'
33'
ast. Thomas Meunier · Brian Brobbey⚽
⚽Antoine Semenyo · ast. Marc Guehi
43'
⚽Antoine Semenyo
57'
59'
ast. Nilson Angulo · Brian Brobbey⚽
60'
Malick Fofana / Nilson Angulo ↕
68'
Wilson Isidor / Noah Sadiki ↕
↕ Iliman Ndiaye / Jeremy Doku
75'
79'
Trai Hume / Thomas Meunier ↕
⚽Erling Haaland · ast. Josko Gvardiol
81'
83'
↕ Rayan Cherki / Nico O'Reilly
85'
Pre-match prediction
46.75%
Manchester ←
27.9%
X
25.35%
Sunderland
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 46.75% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.74
—
—
Sunderland
0.80
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-3-1
1 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 6.17
24 J. Gvardiol J. Gvardiol 1 👟 D 6.07
6 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi 1 👟 D 6.69
3 Rúben Dias Rúben Dias D 6.06
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes D 6.30
5 E. Anderson E. Anderson M 6.35
17 E. Fernández E. Fernández 1 ⚽ M 7.14
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.01
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.00
7 I. Ndiaye I. Ndiaye 75' M 6.64
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland 1 ⚽ F 7.42
Bench
45
Abdukodir Khusanov D 0.00
32 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi M 0.00
37 Allan Allan F 0.00
28 G. Rulli G. Rulli G 0.00
11 J. Doku J. Doku 15' F 6.83
8 M. Kovačić M. Kovačić M 0.00
33 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly 5' D 5.67
21 R. Aït-Nouri R. Aït-Nouri D 0.00
82 R. Lewis R. Lewis D 0.00
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs R. Roefs G 5.57
6 D. Methalie D. Methalie D 5.72
5 D. Ballard D. Ballard D 6.03
4 K. Danso K. Danso D 5.77
20 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele D 6.20
27
N. Sadiki 68' M 5.91
34 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka M 7.05
10 Nilson Angulo Nilson Angulo 1 👟 60' M 6.20
28 E. Le Fée E. Le Fée 1 👟 M 7.70
12 T. Meunier T. Meunier 1 👟 79' M 7.10
9 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey 3 ⚽ F 9.67
Bench
11 C. Rigg C. Rigg M 0.00
7 C. Talbi C. Talbi F 0.00
29 Jules Ahoka Jules Ahoka M 0.00
13 L. O'Nien L. O'Nien M 0.00
31 M. Ellborg M. Ellborg G 0.00
39 M. Fofana M. Fofana 30' F 6.64
15 O. Alderete O. Alderete D 0.00
32 T. Hume T. Hume 11' D 5.66
18 W. Isidor W. Isidor 22' F 6.31
Best on the pitch
B. Brobbey
B. Brobbey
F · Sunderland
9.67
3 ⚽
5 shots · 18 pass
A. Semenyo
A. Semenyo
M · Manchester
9.01
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
R. Cherki
R. Cherki
M · Manchester
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 66 pass
E. Le Fée
E. Le Fée
M · Sunderland
7.70
1 👟
· 27 pass
E. Haaland
E. Haaland
F · Manchester
7.42
1 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
E. Fernández
E. Fernández
M · Manchester
7.14
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 90 6.17 — — 0 24 9% 0 — —
J. Gvardiol D 90 6.07 — 1 0 25 20% 0 — —
M. Guéhi D 90 6.69 — 1 1 57 54% 0 — —
Rúben Dias D 90 6.06 — — 1 31 27% 0 — —
Matheus Nunes D 90 6.30 — — 0 58 51% 1 — —
E. Anderson M 90 6.35 — — 1 72 62% 2 — —
E. Fernández M 90 7.14 1 — 1 54 44% 0 — —
A. Semenyo M 90 9.01 2 1 2 29 29% 2 — —
R. Cherki M 85 8.00 1 — 2 66 59% 0 — —
I. Ndiaye M 75 6.64 — — 2 33 32% 0 — —
E. Haaland F 90 7.42 1 — 4 13 9% 0 — —
J. Doku F 15 6.83 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
N. O'Reilly D 5 5.67 — — 1 4 3% 1 — —
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Roefs G 90 5.57 — — 0 43 29% 0 — —
D. Methalie D 90 5.72 — — 1 39 35% 1 1 —
D. Ballard D 90 6.03 — — 2 34 26% 4 — —
K. Danso D 90 5.77 — — 1 60 49% 0 — —
N. Mukiele D 90 6.20 — — 1 35 28% 4 — —
N. Sadiki M 68 5.91 — — 1 31 26% 0 — —
G. Xhaka M 90 7.05 — — 0 47 42% 3 — —
Nilson Angulo M 60 6.20 — 1 2 12 11% 0 — —
E. Le Fée M 90 7.70 — 1 0 27 21% 1 — —
T. Meunier M 79 7.10 — 1 0 23 21% 2 — —
B. Brobbey F 90 9.67 3 — 5 18 15% 0 — —
M. Fofana F 30 6.64 — — 3 8 5% 2 — —
T. Hume D 11 5.66 — — 1 5 5% 1 — —
W. Isidor F 22 6.31 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Sunderland?
The final score was Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Manchester City win, 27% to a draw, and 25% to an Sunderland win.