AC Milan - Manchester United
Friendlies Clubs
August 15, 2026 16:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.99%
Win
AC Milan
32.45%
Draw
34.56%
Win
Manchester United
1.38
2.12
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(8.74%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
32%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
67%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Manchester United a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for AC Milan. Expected goals are 1.4 for AC Milan and 2.1 for Manchester United (total 3.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.74% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
0L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.5
2.0
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ AC Milan
Manchester United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
AC Milan
Attack
50
Defence
50
Form
49
Manchester United
Attack
51
Defence
88
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AC Milan vs Manchester United?
The model gives AC Milan a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Manchester United win.
How many goals are expected in AC Milan vs Manchester United?
Expected goals: AC Milan 1.4, Manchester United 2.1 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in AC Milan vs Manchester United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.74%.