Manchester United - Bayern München
Champions League
January 20, 2027 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.1%
Win
Manchester United
30.99%
Draw
35.91%
Win
Bayern München
0.98
1.14
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.93%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
31%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
67%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayern München a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Manchester United. Expected goals are 1.0 for Manchester United and 1.1 for Bayern München (total 2.1), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.93% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
12W
1D
2L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
3.2
0.0
Conceded
1.3
10.0
Shots OT
8.3
7.0
Corners
5.5
58%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
87%
0%
BTTS
80%
100%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
79%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
5W
0D
2L
· away
4.0
gls/g
3.1
0.0
Conceded
1.9
100%
Win %
71%
100%
Win or Draw
71%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
57%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Manchester United
Bayern München →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.0% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Manchester United
Attack
52
Defence
58
Form
50
Bayern München
Attack
66
Defence
72
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Manchester United vs Bayern München?
The model gives Manchester United a 33% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 35% for an Bayern München win.
How many goals are expected in Manchester United vs Bayern München?
Expected goals: Manchester United 1.0, Bayern München 1.1 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Manchester United vs Bayern München?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.93%.