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Manchester United - Bayern München

Champions League January 20, 2027 21:00
Manchester United
#21 · 3 pts
vs
Bayern München
#14 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.1%
Win
Manchester United
30.99%
Draw
35.91%
Win
Bayern München
0.98
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.93%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 31%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 67%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayern München a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Manchester United. Expected goals are 1.0 for Manchester United and 1.1 for Bayern München (total 2.1), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.93% probability.

Season Stats

Manchester United
1W 0D 2L
Bayern München
10W 3D 2L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
3.0
2.0
Conceded
1.5
6.0
Shots OT
7.9
5.0
Corners
5.9
48%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
87%
33%
BTTS
80%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
82%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Manchester United
1W 0D 0L · at home
Bayern München
5W 1D 2L · away
4.0
gls/g
3.1
0.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
63%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
63%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Manchester United Bayern München →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0% 13.7% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Manchester United Manchester United
L Como 4–1
L Atletico Madrid 2–0
W Sabah FA 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Bayern München Bayern München
D Arsenal 2–2
D Viking 3–3
W Bodo/Glimt 5–0
D Paris Saint Germain 1–1
L Paris Saint Germain 5–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Manchester United Manchester United
Attack
31
Defence
51
Form
25
Bayern München Bayern München
Attack
84
Defence
67
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Manchester United vs Bayern München?
The model gives Manchester United a 33% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 35% for an Bayern München win.
How many goals are expected in Manchester United vs Bayern München?
Expected goals: Manchester United 1.0, Bayern München 1.1 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Manchester United vs Bayern München?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.93%.