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Premier League · Regular Season - 8 October 25, 2026 15:00 Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United
#16 · 7 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Bournemouth
#13 · 9 pts
38' (ast. Justin Kluivert) Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
43' (ast. Adrien Truffert) Marcus Tavernier
71' (ast. Lewis Cook) Francisco Evanilson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Bournemouth 31%). The final result was Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Bournemouth.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
1.04
Actual xG
2.21
1
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
4
16
Tackles
26
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Andrey Santos
22'
27'
Tyler Adams
Ayden Heaven
37'
38'
ast. Justin Kluivert · Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha⚽
Youri Tielemans
40'
43'
ast. Adrien Truffert · Marcus Tavernier⚽
Harry Maguire
45'+3
↕ Youri Tielemans / Matheus Cunha
45'
63'
Ben Gannon-Doak / Justin Kluivert ↕
↕ Ayden Heaven / Lisandro Martínez
65'
71'
ast. Lewis Cook · Francisco Evanilson⚽
↕ Carlos Baleba / Joshua Zirkzee
72'
75'
Ryan Christie / Lewis Cook ↕
↕ Amad Diallo / Shea Lacey
78'
87'
Amine Adli / Marcus Tavernier ↕
87'
Eli Kroupi / Francisco Evanilson ↕
87'
Bafode Diakite / Adam Smith ↕
Pre-match prediction
39.7%
Manchester
28.55%
X
31.75%
Bournemouth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth) 31.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.52
1.04
-0.48
Bournemouth
1.18
2.21
+1.03
Bournemouth dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.04). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Manchester United Manchester United 4-2-3-1
1 S. Lammens S. Lammens G 5.84
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot D 5.74
26 A. Heaven A. Heaven 65' D 6.15
5 H. Maguire H. Maguire D 6.07
15 L. Yoro L. Yoro D 6.88
20 C. Baleba C. Baleba 72' M 6.16
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M 6.50
7 M. Mount M. Mount M 6.27
18 Y. Tielemans Y. Tielemans 45' M 5.27
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo 78' M 6.33
19 B. Mbeumo B. Mbeumo F 6.48
Bench
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes M 0.00
11 J. Zirkzee J. Zirkzee 18' F 6.37
12 K. Darlow K. Darlow G 0.00
6 Lisandro Martínez Lisandro Martínez 25' D 6.06
10 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha 45' F 6.62
4 M. de Ligt M. de Ligt D 0.00
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui D 0.00
31 S. Lacey S. Lacey 12' F 6.44
39 T. Fletcher T. Fletcher M 0.00
Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
1 Đ. Petrović Đ. Petrović G 6.55
3 A. Truffert A. Truffert 1 👟 D 6.80
14 António Silva António Silva D 7.54
5 J. Hill J. Hill D 7.08
15 A. Smith A. Smith 87' D 6.98
4 L. Cook L. Cook 1 👟 75' M 7.11
12 T. Adams T. Adams M 6.61
16 M. Tavernier M. Tavernier 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.20
19 J. Kluivert J. Kluivert 1 👟 63' M 7.70
37 Rayan Rayan 1 ⚽ M 7.50
9 Evanilson Evanilson 1 ⚽ 87' F 8.11
Bench
21 A. Adli A. Adli 3' F 6.43
30 Á. Rodríguez Á. Rodríguez F 0.00
18 B. Diakité B. Diakité 3' D 7.03
11 B. Doak B. Doak 27' F 6.46
7 D. Brooks D. Brooks M 0.00
22 E. Kroupi E. Kroupi 3' F 6.24
6 J. Soler J. Soler D 0.00
20 M. Di Gregorio M. Di Gregorio G 0.00
10 R. Christie R. Christie 15' M 7.37
Best on the pitch
M. Tavernier
M. Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Evanilson
Evanilson
F · Bournemouth
8.11
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
J. Kluivert
J. Kluivert
M · Bournemouth
7.70
1 👟
· 16 pass
António Silva
António Silva
D · Bournemouth
7.54
· 52 pass
Rayan
Rayan
M · Bournemouth
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots · 28 pass
R. Christie
R. Christie
M · Bournemouth
7.37
· 13 pass
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Lammens G 90 5.84 — — 0 36 27% 0 — —
Diogo Dalot D 90 5.74 — — 1 55 36% 3 — —
A. Heaven D 65 6.15 — — 0 60 51% 1 1 —
H. Maguire D 90 6.07 — — 0 82 71% 0 1 —
L. Yoro D 90 6.88 — — 1 69 62% 2 — —
C. Baleba M 72 6.16 — — 1 48 42% 1 — —
Andrey Santos M 90 6.50 — — 1 73 66% 4 1 —
M. Mount M 90 6.27 — — 3 55 45% 2 — —
Y. Tielemans M 45 5.27 — — 0 16 13% 0 1 —
A. Diallo M 78 6.33 — — 1 31 27% 0 — —
B. Mbeumo F 90 6.48 — — 2 28 20% 0 — —
J. Zirkzee F 18 6.37 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
Lisandro Martínez D 25 6.06 — — 1 19 18% 0 — —
Matheus Cunha F 45 6.62 — — 2 28 22% 2 — —
S. Lacey F 12 6.44 — — 2 11 7% 1 — —
Bournemouth Bournemouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Đ. Petrović G 90 6.55 — — 0 33 16% 0 — —
A. Truffert D 90 6.80 — 1 0 36 22% 2 — —
António Silva D 90 7.54 — — 0 52 40% 2 — —
J. Hill D 90 7.08 — — 0 53 38% 7 — —
A. Smith D 87 6.98 — — 0 26 20% 0 — —
L. Cook M 75 7.11 — 1 0 25 17% 1 — —
T. Adams M 90 6.61 — — 0 38 33% 2 1 —
M. Tavernier M 87 8.20 1 — 1 18 14% 1 — —
J. Kluivert M 63 7.70 — 1 0 16 14% 0 — —
Rayan M 90 7.50 1 — 5 28 21% 2 — —
Evanilson F 87 8.11 1 — 4 17 13% 1 — —
A. Adli F 3 6.43 — — 0 3 0% 0 — —
B. Diakité D 3 7.03 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
B. Doak F 27 6.46 — — 0 7 3% 1 — —
E. Kroupi F 3 6.24 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
R. Christie M 15 7.37 — — 0 13 11% 5 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
The final score was Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Manchester United win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an Bournemouth win.