Manchester United - Brighton
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
14.6°C
💨 15 km/h
🌧️ 21%
· Manchester
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.14%
Win
Manchester United
24.0%
Draw
39.86%
Win
Brighton
3.3
3.78
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–2
(6.55%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
24%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
60%
X2
64%
12
76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
71%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Brighton a 39% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Manchester United. Expected goals are 3.3 for Manchester United and 3.8 for Brighton (total 7.1), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.55% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brighton.
Season Stats
0W
1D
0L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
4.0
2.0
Conceded
0.7
9.0
Shots OT
9.0
4.0
Corners
4.3
70%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Manchester United
Brighton →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Manchester United
Attack
54
Defence
60
Form
61
Brighton
Attack
62
Defence
75
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Manchester United vs Brighton?
The model gives Manchester United a 36% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 39% for an Brighton win.
How many goals are expected in Manchester United vs Brighton?
Expected goals: Manchester United 3.3, Brighton 3.8 (total 7.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Manchester United vs Brighton?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.55%.