B. Fernandes
(ast. M. Cunha)
40'
J. Greaves
56'
(og)
B. Fernandes
61'
(pen.)
B. Fernandes
68'
B. Mbeumo
(ast. B. Fernandes)
82'
29'
(ast. I. Fatawu)
L. Davis
90'+1
(ast. J. Enciso)
C. Akpom
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Ipswich 33%). The final result was Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
8
12
Shots on target
5
4.57
Actual xG
2.01
3
Saves
7
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
4
21
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
29'
ast. I. Fatawu ·
L. Davis⚽
33'
S. Lukic
37'
I. Fatawu
⚽B. Fernandes
· ast. M. Cunha
40'
46'
C. Akpom
/
Emersonn
⚽J. Greaves
(og)
56'
60'
J. Greaves
⚽B. Fernandes
(pen.)
61'
62'
E. Palacios
/
M. Nunez
⚽B. Fernandes
68'
73'
D. Furlong
/
D. Maeda
73'
A. Ouattara
/
S. Lukic
L. Shaw
/ N. Mazraoui
73'
D. Dalot
/ L. Yoro
74'
K. Mainoo
/ Andrey Santos
80'
M. Rashford
/ P. Dorgu
80'
M. Cunha
/ B. Sesko
80'
⚽B. Mbeumo
· ast. B. Fernandes
82'
83'
K. McAteer
/
I. Fatawu
90'+1
ast. J. Enciso ·
C. Akpom⚽
B. Mbeumo
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
35.34%
Manchester ←
31.39%
X
33.27%
Ipswich
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United)
35.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.84
4.57
+3.73
1.93
2.01
+0.08
Manchester United dominated by xG (4.57 vs 2.01).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Lammens
G
S. Lammens
G
23
L. Shaw
73'
D
L. Shaw
73'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
5
H. Maguire
D
H. Maguire
D
2
Diogo Dalot
74'
D
Diogo Dalot
74'
D
37
K. Mainoo
80'
M
K. Mainoo
80'
M
18
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
9
M. Rashford
80'
M
M. Rashford
80'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
3 ⚽
1 👟
M
Bruno Fernandes
3 ⚽
1 👟
M
19
B. Mbeumo
1 ⚽
M
10
Matheus Cunha
1 👟
80'
F
Matheus Cunha
1 👟
80'
F
Bench
26
A. Heaven
D
A. Heaven
D
17
Andrey Santos
18'
M
Andrey Santos
18'
M
30
B. Šeško
18'
F
B. Šeško
18'
F
11
J. Zirkzee
F
J. Zirkzee
F
12
K. Darlow
G
K. Darlow
G
15
L. Yoro
24'
D
L. Yoro
24'
D
3
N. Mazraoui
25'
D
N. Mazraoui
25'
D
13
P. Dorgu
18'
D
P. Dorgu
18'
D
31
S. Lacey
F
S. Lacey
F
37
K. Scherpen
G
K. Scherpen
G
3
L. Davis
1 ⚽
D
L. Davis
1 ⚽
D
24
J. Greaves
1 ⚽
D
J. Greaves
1 ⚽
D
6
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
26
D. O'Shea
D
D. O'Shea
D
32
M. Núñez
62'
M
M. Núñez
62'
M
23
S. Lukić
73'
M
S. Lukić
73'
M
38
Daizen Maeda
73'
M
Daizen Maeda
73'
M
10
J. Enciso
1 👟
M
J. Enciso
1 👟
M
7
A. Fatawu
1 👟
83'
M
19
Emersonn
45'
F
Emersonn
45'
F
Bench
42
A. Ouattara
25'
D
A. Ouattara
25'
D
29
C. Akpom
1 ⚽
53'
F
C. Akpom
1 ⚽
53'
F
4
C. Kipré
D
C. Kipré
D
28
C. Walton
G
C. Walton
G
2
D. Furlong
25'
D
D. Furlong
25'
D
25
E. Palacios
36'
M
E. Palacios
36'
M
47
J. Clarke
F
J. Clarke
F
20
K. McAteer
15'
M
K. McAteer
15'
M
8
S. Egeli
F
S. Egeli
F
Best on the pitch
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 63 pass
K. Scherpen
G · Ipswich
8.60
· 35 pass
B. Mbeumo
M · Manchester
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Y. Tielemans
M · Manchester
7.90
2 shots
· 70 pass
K. Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.90
· 51 pass
S. Lammens
G · Manchester
7.70
· 19 pass
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens | G | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Shaw | D | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 78% | — | — | — |
| H. Maguire | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| K. Mainoo | M | 80 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Rashford | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 31 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 98 | 10.00 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 63 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mbeumo | M | 98 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Cunha | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Andrey Santos | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Šeško | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Yoro | D | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| N. Mazraoui | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| P. Dorgu | D | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Scherpen | G | 98 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Davis | D | 98 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Greaves | D | 98 | 4.90 | 1 | — | — | 45 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Diop | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D. O'Shea | D | 98 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lukić | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Daizen Maeda | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 3 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fatawu | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Emersonn | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Ouattara | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Akpom | F | 53 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Furlong | D | 25 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| E. Palacios | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| K. McAteer | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Ipswich?
The final score was Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Manchester United win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Ipswich win.