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#12 · 5 pts
5 – 2
Final score
#11 · 6 pts
B. Fernandes (ast. M. Cunha) 40'
J. Greaves 56' (og)
B. Fernandes 61' (pen.)
B. Fernandes 68'
B. Mbeumo (ast. B. Fernandes) 82'
29' (ast. I. Fatawu) L. Davis
90'+1 (ast. J. Enciso) C. Akpom
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Ipswich 33%). The final result was Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
8
12
Shots on target
5
4.57
Actual xG
2.01
3
Saves
7
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
4
21
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
29'
ast. I. Fatawu · L. Davis⚽
33'
S. Lukic
37'
I. Fatawu
⚽B. Fernandes · ast. M. Cunha
40'
46'
C. Akpom / Emersonn ↕
⚽J. Greaves (og)
56'
60'
J. Greaves
⚽B. Fernandes (pen.)
61'
62'
E. Palacios / M. Nunez ↕
⚽B. Fernandes
68'
73'
D. Furlong / D. Maeda ↕
73'
A. Ouattara / S. Lukic ↕
↕ L. Shaw / N. Mazraoui
73'
↕ D. Dalot / L. Yoro
74'
↕ K. Mainoo / Andrey Santos
80'
↕ M. Rashford / P. Dorgu
80'
↕ M. Cunha / B. Sesko
80'
⚽B. Mbeumo · ast. B. Fernandes
82'
83'
K. McAteer / I. Fatawu ↕
90'+1
ast. J. Enciso · C. Akpom⚽
B. Mbeumo
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
35.34%
Manchester ←
31.39%
X
33.27%
Ipswich
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 35.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
0.84
4.57
+3.73
Ipswich
1.93
2.01
+0.08
Manchester United dominated by xG (4.57 vs 2.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
1 S. Lammens S. Lammens G 7.70
23 L. Shaw L. Shaw 73' D 7.00
6 Lisandro Martínez Lisandro Martínez D 6.30
5 H. Maguire H. Maguire D 6.70
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot 74' D 6.90
37 K. Mainoo K. Mainoo 80' M 7.90
18 Y. Tielemans Y. Tielemans M 7.90
9 M. Rashford M. Rashford 80' M 6.90
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes 3 ⚽ 1 👟 M 10.00
19
B. Mbeumo 1 ⚽ M 8.00
10 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha 1 👟 80' F 7.00
Bench
26 A. Heaven A. Heaven D
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos 18' M 6.70
30 B. Šeško B. Šeško 18' F 6.70
11 J. Zirkzee J. Zirkzee F
12 K. Darlow K. Darlow G
15 L. Yoro L. Yoro 24' D 6.20
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui 25' D 6.20
13 P. Dorgu P. Dorgu 18' D 7.00
31 S. Lacey S. Lacey F
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
37 K. Scherpen K. Scherpen G 8.60
3 L. Davis L. Davis 1 ⚽ D 6.30
24 J. Greaves J. Greaves 1 ⚽ D 4.90
6 I. Diop I. Diop D 7.20
26 D. O'Shea D. O'Shea D 4.90
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez 62' M 6.00
23 S. Lukić S. Lukić 73' M 6.70
38 Daizen Maeda Daizen Maeda 73' M 6.30
10 J. Enciso J. Enciso 1 👟 M 7.00
7
A. Fatawu 1 👟 83' M 6.50
19 Emersonn Emersonn 45' F 6.30
Bench
42 A. Ouattara A. Ouattara 25' D 6.20
29 C. Akpom C. Akpom 1 ⚽ 53' F 7.20
4 C. Kipré C. Kipré D
28 C. Walton C. Walton G
2 D. Furlong D. Furlong 25' D 6.00
25 E. Palacios E. Palacios 36' M 6.30
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke F
20 K. McAteer K. McAteer 15' M 6.30
8 S. Egeli S. Egeli F
Best on the pitch
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 63 pass
K. Scherpen
K. Scherpen
G · Ipswich
8.60
· 35 pass
B. Mbeumo
M · Manchester
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
Y. Tielemans
Y. Tielemans
M · Manchester
7.90
2 shots · 70 pass
K. Mainoo
K. Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.90
· 51 pass
S. Lammens
S. Lammens
G · Manchester
7.70
· 19 pass
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Lammens G 98 7.70 — — — 19 17% — — —
L. Shaw D 73 7.00 — — — 45 40% 4 — —
Lisandro Martínez D 98 6.30 — — 1 87 78% — — —
H. Maguire D 98 6.70 — — 1 41 38% 1 — —
Diogo Dalot D 74 6.90 — — 3 29 26% — — —
K. Mainoo M 80 7.90 — — — 51 46% 3 — —
Y. Tielemans M 98 7.90 — — 2 70 64% 2 — —
M. Rashford M 80 6.90 — — 4 31 24% 3 — —
Bruno Fernandes M 98 10.00 3 1 4 63 54% 1 — —
B. Mbeumo M 98 8.00 1 — 2 25 23% 3 1 —
Matheus Cunha F 80 7.00 — 1 2 21 20% — — —
Andrey Santos M 18 6.70 — — — 14 13% 3 — —
B. Šeško F 18 6.70 — — — 7 5% — — —
L. Yoro D 24 6.20 — — — 17 16% — — —
N. Mazraoui D 25 6.20 — — — 20 19% — — —
P. Dorgu D 18 7.00 — — 2 6 5% 1 — —
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Scherpen G 98 8.60 — — — 35 22% — — —
L. Davis D 98 6.30 1 — 2 21 16% — — —
J. Greaves D 98 4.90 1 — — 45 43% 1 1 —
I. Diop D 98 7.20 — — — 42 42% — — —
D. O'Shea D 98 4.90 — — 1 32 28% — — —
M. Núñez M 62 6.00 — — — 28 22% 1 — —
S. Lukić M 73 6.70 — — — 38 32% 3 1 —
Daizen Maeda M 73 6.30 — — 1 11 10% 1 — —
J. Enciso M 98 7.00 — 1 3 25 21% 1 — —
A. Fatawu M 83 6.50 — 1 — 15 10% 1 1 —
Emersonn F 45 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
A. Ouattara D 25 6.20 — — — 12 11% — — —
C. Akpom F 53 7.20 1 — 1 6 4% — — —
D. Furlong D 25 6.00 — — — 12 9% — — —
E. Palacios M 36 6.30 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
K. McAteer M 15 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Ipswich?
The final score was Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Manchester United win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Ipswich win.