Leeds - Manchester United
Friendlies Clubs
August 12, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Leeds
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Manchester United
0.99
1.7
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.82%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leeds a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Manchester United. Expected goals are 1.0 for Leeds and 1.7 for Manchester United (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.82% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Leeds have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Manchester United.
Score Matrix
↕ Leeds
Manchester United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Leeds
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Manchester United
Attack
51
Defence
88
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leeds vs Manchester United?
The model gives Leeds a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Manchester United win.
How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Manchester United?
Expected goals: Leeds 1.0, Manchester United 1.7 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Leeds vs Manchester United?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.82%.