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Premier League · Regular Season - 4 September 13, 2026 17:30 Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United
#12 · 5 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Manchester City
#1 · 15 pts
60' Erling Haaland
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Manchester United 32%). The final result was Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester City.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
7
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
23'
Phil Foden
45'+1
Vincenzo Maresca
45'
Iliman Ndiaye / Rayan Cherki ↕
60'
Erling Haaland⚽
60'
↕ Youri Tielemans / Benjamin Šeško
67'
79'
Josko Gvardiol
80'
Enzo Fernández
Harry Maguire
81'
82'
Nico O'Reilly / Enzo Fernández ↕
↕ Marcus Rashford / Joshua Zirkzee
83'
Pre-match prediction
32.75%
Manchester
30.54%
X
36.71%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 36.71% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.45
—
—
Manchester
1.83
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Manchester United Manchester United 4-2-3-1
1 S. Lammens S. Lammens G 6.56
13 P. Dorgu P. Dorgu D 6.92
6 Lisandro Martínez Lisandro Martínez D 6.80
5 H. Maguire H. Maguire D 6.45
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot D 6.22
37 K. Mainoo K. Mainoo M 7.20
18 Y. Tielemans Y. Tielemans 67' M 6.58
9 M. Rashford M. Rashford 83' M 6.38
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes M 7.17
19
B. Mbeumo M 6.12
10 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha F 6.26
Bench
26 A. Heaven A. Heaven D 0.00
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M 0.00
30 B. Šeško B. Šeško 23' F 6.40
11 J. Zirkzee J. Zirkzee 7' F 6.34
12 K. Darlow K. Darlow G 0.00
15 L. Yoro L. Yoro D 0.00
7 M. Mount M. Mount M 0.00
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui D 0.00
31 S. Lacey S. Lacey F 0.00
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-3-1
1 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 6.82
24 J. Gvardiol J. Gvardiol D 6.88
3 Rúben Dias Rúben Dias D 7.31
6 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi D 6.85
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes D 7.19
5 E. Anderson E. Anderson M 6.66
17 E. Fernández E. Fernández 82' M 6.48
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo M 6.22
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 45' M 6.63
47 P. Foden P. Foden 23' M 5.69
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland 1 ⚽ F 7.73
Bench
45
Abdukodir Khusanov D 0.00
32 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi M 0.00
37 Allan Allan F 0.00
28 G. Rulli G. Rulli G 0.00
7 I. Ndiaye I. Ndiaye 45' F 6.91
8 M. Kovačić M. Kovačić M 0.00
33 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly 8' D 6.28
82 R. Lewis R. Lewis D 0.00
22 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 0.00
Best on the pitch
E. Haaland
E. Haaland
F · Manchester
7.73
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Rúben Dias
Rúben Dias
D · Manchester
7.31
· 48 pass
K. Mainoo
K. Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.20
1 shots · 67 pass
Matheus Nunes
Matheus Nunes
D · Manchester
7.19
· 37 pass
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
7.17
1 shots · 57 pass
P. Dorgu
P. Dorgu
D · Manchester
6.92
· 40 pass
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Lammens G 90 6.56 — — 0 15 12% 0 — —
P. Dorgu D 90 6.92 — — 0 40 36% 6 — —
Lisandro Martínez D 90 6.80 — — 1 61 53% 3 — —
H. Maguire D 90 6.45 — — 2 58 50% 1 1 —
Diogo Dalot D 90 6.22 — — 1 38 32% 1 — —
K. Mainoo M 90 7.20 — — 1 67 65% 0 — —
Y. Tielemans M 67 6.58 — — 0 43 38% 2 — —
M. Rashford M 83 6.38 — — 3 28 23% 1 — —
Bruno Fernandes M 90 7.17 — — 1 57 50% 2 — —
B. Mbeumo M 90 6.12 — — 3 26 19% 1 — —
Matheus Cunha F 90 6.26 — — 3 28 23% 1 — —
B. Šeško F 23 6.40 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
J. Zirkzee F 7 6.34 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 90 6.82 — — 0 42 25% 0 — —
J. Gvardiol D 90 6.88 — — 1 33 30% 4 1 —
Rúben Dias D 90 7.31 — — 0 48 41% 0 — —
M. Guéhi D 90 6.85 — — 0 53 48% 0 — —
Matheus Nunes D 90 7.19 — — 0 37 34% 2 — —
E. Anderson M 90 6.66 — — 0 52 45% 3 — —
E. Fernández M 82 6.48 — — 2 31 25% 2 1 —
A. Semenyo M 90 6.22 — — 0 29 21% 1 — —
R. Cherki M 45 6.63 — — 1 27 24% 0 — —
P. Foden M 23 5.69 — — 0 8 8% 0 — 1
E. Haaland F 90 7.73 1 — 2 18 11% 0 — —
I. Ndiaye F 45 6.91 — — 0 14 11% 1 — —
N. O'Reilly D 8 6.28 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Manchester City?
The final score was Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Manchester United win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an Manchester City win.