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Premier League · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 13:30 Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United
#12 · 5 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Nottingham Forest
#13 · 5 pts
L. Shaw 5'
M. Cunha 55'
B. Mbeumo (ast. B. Fernandes) 76'
53' (ast. E. Anderson) Morato
78' (ast. E. Anderson) M. Gibbs-White
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 49% win probability (draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 27%). The final result was Manchester United 3–2 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
4.19
Actual xG
1.75
2
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
6
15
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Shaw
5'
53'
ast. E. Anderson · Morato⚽
⚽M. Cunha
55'
70'
D. Bakwa / O. Hutchinson ↕
70'
T. Awoniyi / C. Wood ↕
70'
I. Sangare / N. Dominguez ↕
⚽B. Mbeumo · ast. B. Fernandes
76'
78'
ast. E. Anderson · M. Gibbs-White⚽
Casemiro
78'
↕ B. Mbeumo / J. Zirkzee
80'
↕ M. Cunha / P. Dorgu
80'
↕ Casemiro / M. Mount
81'
84'
J. McAtee / Igor Jesus ↕
84'
Cunha / L. Netz ↕
L. Shaw
90'+3
90'+4
E. Anderson
Pre-match prediction
49.66%
Manchester ←
22.53%
X
27.8%
Nottingham
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 49.66% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.92
4.19
+2.27
Nottingham
1.52
1.75
+0.23
Manchester United dominated by xG (4.19 vs 1.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Manchester United Manchester United 4-2-3-1
31 S. Lammens S. Lammens G 7.20
23 L. Shaw L. Shaw 1 ⚽ D 7.20
6 Lisandro Martínez Lisandro Martínez D 7.50
5 H. Maguire H. Maguire D 6.90
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot D 6.90
37 K. Mainoo K. Mainoo M 6.90
18 Casemiro Casemiro 81' M 7.20
10 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha 1 ⚽ 80' M 8.30
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes 1 👟 M 8.70
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo M 6.30
19 B. Mbeumo B. Mbeumo 1 ⚽ 80' F 6.90
Bench
1 A. Bayındır A. Bayındır G
26 A. Heaven A. Heaven D
11 J. Zirkzee J. Zirkzee 19' F 6.30
15 L. Yoro L. Yoro D
7 M. Mount M. Mount 18' M 7.00
25 M. Ugarte M. Ugarte M
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui D
13 P. Dorgu P. Dorgu 19' D 6.90
12 Tyrell Malacia Tyrell Malacia D
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4-4-2
26 M. Sels M. Sels G 6.30
25 L. Netz L. Netz 84' D 5.90
4 Morato Morato 1 ⚽ D 7.30
31 N. Milenković N. Milenković D 6.70
3 N. Williams N. Williams D 6.90
10 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White 1 ⚽ M 7.90
8 E. Anderson E. Anderson 2 👟 M 9.30
16 N. Domínguez N. Domínguez 70' M 7.20
21 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson 70' M 6.30
11 C. Wood C. Wood 70' F 6.20
19 Igor Jesus Igor Jesus 84' F 6.60
Bench
29 D. Bakwa D. Bakwa 29' F 6.60
6 I. Sangaré I. Sangaré 29' M 6.60
23 Jair Jair 15' D 7.00
24 J. McAtee J. McAtee 15' M 7.20
13 John John G
22 R. Yates R. Yates M
27 S. Ortega S. Ortega G
9 T. Awoniyi T. Awoniyi 29' F 6.50
44 Z. Abbott Z. Abbott D
Best on the pitch
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
M · Nottingham
9.30
2 👟
· 76 pass
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
8.70
1 👟
3 shots · 59 pass
Matheus Cunha
Matheus Cunha
M · Manchester
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 34 pass
Lisandro Martínez
Lisandro Martínez
D · Manchester
7.50
· 45 pass
Morato
Morato
D · Nottingham
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Lammens G 99 7.20 — — — 23 18% — — —
L. Shaw D 99 7.20 1 — 1 30 27% — 1 —
Lisandro Martínez D 99 7.50 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
H. Maguire D 99 6.90 — — — 40 36% 2 — —
Diogo Dalot D 99 6.90 — — 1 37 33% 4 — —
K. Mainoo M 99 6.90 — — — 53 50% — — —
Casemiro M 81 7.20 — — 1 53 48% 2 1 —
Matheus Cunha M 80 8.30 1 — 1 32 27% 1 — —
Bruno Fernandes M 99 8.70 — 1 3 59 48% 2 — —
A. Diallo M 99 6.30 — — 2 20 17% 1 — —
B. Mbeumo F 80 6.90 1 — 4 17 15% — — —
J. Zirkzee F 19 6.30 — — 2 7 5% — — —
M. Mount M 18 7.00 — — 1 5 5% 1 — —
P. Dorgu D 19 6.90 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Sels G 99 6.30 — — — 26 18% — — —
L. Netz D 84 5.90 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
Morato D 99 7.30 1 — 1 38 33% 2 — —
N. Milenković D 99 6.70 — — 1 51 46% 1 — —
N. Williams D 99 6.90 — — — 41 35% 3 — —
M. Gibbs-White M 99 7.90 1 — 3 34 29% 1 — —
E. Anderson M 99 9.30 — 2 — 76 68% 3 1 —
N. Domínguez M 70 7.20 — — 1 48 46% 4 — —
Omari Hutchinson M 70 6.30 — — — 25 20% — — —
C. Wood F 70 6.20 — — 1 18 8% — — —
Igor Jesus F 84 6.60 — — — 22 13% 1 — —
D. Bakwa F 29 6.60 — — — 11 9% — — —
I. Sangaré M 29 6.60 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
Jair D 15 7.00 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
J. McAtee M 15 7.20 — — — 12 10% 3 — —
T. Awoniyi F 29 6.50 — — 1 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Manchester United 3–2 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Manchester United win, 22% to a draw, and 27% to an Nottingham Forest win.