L. Shaw
5'
M. Cunha
55'
B. Mbeumo
(ast. B. Fernandes)
76'
53'
(ast. E. Anderson)
Morato
78'
(ast. E. Anderson)
M. Gibbs-White
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 49% win probability (draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 27%). The final result was Manchester United 3–2 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
4.19
Actual xG
1.75
2
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
6
15
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Shaw
5'
53'
ast. E. Anderson ·
Morato⚽
⚽M. Cunha
55'
70'
D. Bakwa
/
O. Hutchinson
70'
T. Awoniyi
/
C. Wood
70'
I. Sangare
/
N. Dominguez
⚽B. Mbeumo
· ast. B. Fernandes
76'
78'
ast. E. Anderson ·
M. Gibbs-White⚽
Casemiro
78'
B. Mbeumo
/ J. Zirkzee
80'
M. Cunha
/ P. Dorgu
80'
Casemiro
/ M. Mount
81'
84'
J. McAtee
/
Igor Jesus
84'
Cunha
/
L. Netz
L. Shaw
90'+3
90'+4
E. Anderson
Pre-match prediction
49.66%
Manchester ←
22.53%
X
27.8%
Nottingham
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United)
49.66%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
4.19
+2.27
1.52
1.75
+0.23
Manchester United dominated by xG (4.19 vs 1.75).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Senne Lammens
G
Senne Lammens
G
23
L. Shaw
1 ⚽
D
L. Shaw
1 ⚽
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
5
Harry Maguire
D
Harry Maguire
D
2
Diogo Dalot
D
Diogo Dalot
D
37
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
18
Casemiro
81'
M
Casemiro
81'
M
10
Matheus Cunha
1 ⚽
80'
M
Matheus Cunha
1 ⚽
80'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
1 👟
M
Bruno Fernandes
1 👟
M
16
A. Diallo
M
A. Diallo
M
19
B. Mbeumo
1 ⚽
80'
F
B. Mbeumo
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
1
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
26
Ayden Heaven
D
Ayden Heaven
D
11
Joshua Zirkzee
19'
F
Joshua Zirkzee
19'
F
15
Leny Yoro
D
Leny Yoro
D
7
Mason Mount
18'
M
Mason Mount
18'
M
25
M. Ugarte
M
M. Ugarte
M
3
Noussair Mazraoui
D
Noussair Mazraoui
D
13
Patrick Dorgu
19'
D
Patrick Dorgu
19'
D
12
Tyrell Malacia
D
Tyrell Malacia
D
26
Matz Sels
G
Matz Sels
G
25
Luca Netz
84'
D
Luca Netz
84'
D
4
Morato
1 ⚽
D
Morato
1 ⚽
D
31
N. Milenković
D
N. Milenković
D
3
N. Williams
D
N. Williams
D
10
M. Gibbs-White
1 ⚽
M
M. Gibbs-White
1 ⚽
M
8
Elliot Anderson
2 👟
M
Elliot Anderson
2 👟
M
16
Nicolás Domínguez
70'
M
Nicolás Domínguez
70'
M
21
Omari Hutchinson
70'
M
Omari Hutchinson
70'
M
11
C. Wood
70'
F
C. Wood
70'
F
19
Igor Jesus
84'
F
Igor Jesus
84'
F
Bench
29
Dilane Bakwa
29'
F
Dilane Bakwa
29'
F
6
Ibrahim Sangaré
29'
M
Ibrahim Sangaré
29'
M
23
Jair
15'
D
Jair
15'
D
24
James McAtee
15'
M
James McAtee
15'
M
13
John Victor
G
John Victor
G
22
Ryan Yates
M
Ryan Yates
M
27
Stefan Ortega
G
Stefan Ortega
G
9
Taiwo Awoniyi
29'
F
Taiwo Awoniyi
29'
F
44
Zach Abbott
D
Zach Abbott
D
Best on the pitch
Elliot Anderson
M · Nottingham
9.30
2 👟
· 76 pass
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
8.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 59 pass
Matheus Cunha
M · Manchester
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 34 pass
Lisandro Martínez
D · Manchester
7.50
· 45 pass
Morato
D · Nottingham
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senne Lammens | G | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Shaw | D | 99 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Harry Maguire | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Kobbie Mainoo | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Casemiro | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Cunha | M | 80 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 99 | 8.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 59 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Diallo | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mbeumo | F | 80 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Zirkzee | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Mason Mount | M | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick Dorgu | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matz Sels | G | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Luca Netz | D | 84 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Morato | D | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Milenković | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Williams | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Gibbs-White | M | 99 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 99 | 9.30 | — | 2 | — | 76 | 68% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Domínguez | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| Omari Hutchinson | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Wood | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Dilane Bakwa | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jair | D | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| James McAtee | M | 15 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Manchester United 3–2 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Manchester United win, 22% to a draw, and 27% to an Nottingham Forest win.