Manchester United - RB Leipzig
Champions League
December 08, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.47%
Win
Manchester United
32.68%
Draw
32.84%
Win
RB Leipzig
0.89
0.88
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.28%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
66%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Manchester United a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for RB Leipzig. Expected goals are 0.9 for Manchester United and 0.9 for RB Leipzig (total 1.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.28% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
1.0
0.0
Conceded
4.0
10.0
Shots OT
4.0
7.0
Corners
5.0
58%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Manchester United
RB Leipzig →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.1% | 15.0% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Manchester United
Attack
53
Defence
54
Form
47
RB Leipzig
Attack
47
Defence
52
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?
The model gives Manchester United a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an RB Leipzig win.
How many goals are expected in Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?
Expected goals: Manchester United 0.9, RB Leipzig 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.28%.