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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 October 10, 2026 18:30 Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United
#16 · 7 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Tottenham
#14 · 9 pts
Bryan Mbeumo (ast. Matheus Cunha) 73'
90'+2 (ast. Sandro Tonali) Dominic Solanke
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Tottenham 26%). The final result was Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tottenham.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
3
0.85
Actual xG
1.62
2
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
4
29
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
4'
Conor Gallagher
↕ Amad Diallo / Joshua Zirkzee
59'
↕ Leny Yoro / Diogo Dalot
59'
↕ Youri Tielemans / Carlos Baleba
59'
66'
Rodrigo Bentancur / Lucas Bergvall ↕
66'
Omar Marmoush / Mohammed Kudus ↕
⚽Bryan Mbeumo · ast. Matheus Cunha
73'
74'
James Maddison / Conor Gallagher ↕
74'
Micky van de Ven / Destiny Udogie ↕
78'
Rodrigo Bentancur
78'
Jan Paul van Hecke
Luke Shaw
78'
Bruno Fernandes
84'
Lisandro Martínez
87'
89'
Mateus Fernandes / Marcos Senesi ↕
90'+2
ast. Sandro Tonali · Dominic Solanke⚽
↕ Matheus Cunha / Marcus Rashford
90'+5
↕ Luke Shaw / Ayden Heaven
90'+5
Diogo Dalot
90'+6
90'+8
Archie Gray
Pre-match prediction
44.69%
Manchester
28.78%
X ←
26.53%
Tottenham
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.70
0.85
-0.85
Tottenham
0.82
1.62
+0.8
Tottenham dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.85). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Manchester United Manchester United 4-2-3-1
1 S. Lammens S. Lammens G 6.26
23 L. Shaw L. Shaw D 6.21
6 Lisandro Martínez Lisandro Martínez D 6.73
5 H. Maguire H. Maguire D 7.50
15 L. Yoro L. Yoro 59' D 7.10
37 K. Mainoo K. Mainoo M 6.59
18 Y. Tielemans Y. Tielemans 59' M 6.59
10 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha 1 👟 M 6.99
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes M 6.46
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo 59' M 6.80
19 B. Mbeumo B. Mbeumo 1 ⚽ F 8.08
Bench
26 A. Heaven A. Heaven 1' D 0.00
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M 0.00
20 C. Baleba C. Baleba 31' M 7.20
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot 31' D 6.68
11 J. Zirkzee J. Zirkzee 31' F 6.90
12 K. Darlow K. Darlow G 0.00
7 M. Mount M. Mount M 0.00
9 M. Rashford M. Rashford 1' F 0.00
31 S. Lacey S. Lacey F 0.00
Tottenham Tottenham 4-2-3-1
31 A. Kinský A. Kinský G 6.53
13 D. Udogie D. Udogie 74' D 6.89
5 M. Senesi M. Senesi 89' D 6.98
6 J. van Hecke J. van Hecke D 6.27
14 A. Gray A. Gray D 6.66
16 S. Tonali S. Tonali 1 👟 M 7.70
15 L. Bergvall L. Bergvall 66' M 6.58
17 Sávio Sávio M 6.72
8 C. Gallagher C. Gallagher 74' M 6.47
20 M. Kudus M. Kudus 66' M 6.06
19 D. Solanke D. Solanke 1 ⚽ F 7.61
Bench
33 B. Davies B. Davies D 0.00
10 J. Maddison J. Maddison 16' M 6.80
18 Mateus Fernandes Mateus Fernandes 1' M 6.33
39 M. Dúbravka M. Dúbravka G 0.00
11 M. Tel M. Tel F 0.00
37 M. van de Ven M. van de Ven 16' D 6.44
22 Omar Marmoush Omar Marmoush 24' F 6.61
30 R. Bentancur R. Bentancur 12' M 5.56
4 T. Adarabioyo T. Adarabioyo D 0.00
Best on the pitch
B. Mbeumo
B. Mbeumo
F · Manchester
8.08
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
S. Tonali
S. Tonali
M · Tottenham
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 61 pass
D. Solanke
D. Solanke
F · Tottenham
7.61
1 ⚽
4 shots · 14 pass
H. Maguire
H. Maguire
D · Manchester
7.50
3 shots · 44 pass
C. Baleba
C. Baleba
M · Manchester
7.20
2 shots · 18 pass
L. Yoro
L. Yoro
D · Manchester
7.10
· 24 pass
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Lammens G 90 6.26 — — 0 26 14% 0 — —
L. Shaw D 95 6.21 — — 0 44 31% 3 1 —
Lisandro Martínez D 90 6.73 — — 0 74 67% 2 1 —
H. Maguire D 90 7.50 — — 3 44 38% 1 — —
L. Yoro D 59 7.10 — — 0 24 21% 3 — —
K. Mainoo M 90 6.59 — — 0 70 65% 5 — —
Y. Tielemans M 59 6.59 — — 0 25 20% 5 — —
Matheus Cunha M 95 6.99 — 1 1 33 28% 4 — —
Bruno Fernandes M 90 6.46 — — 1 45 36% 1 1 —
A. Diallo M 59 6.80 — — 2 12 10% 1 — —
B. Mbeumo F 90 8.08 1 — 2 18 16% 0 — —
A. Heaven D 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
C. Baleba M 31 7.20 — — 2 18 16% 2 — —
Diogo Dalot D 31 6.68 — — 0 10 10% 1 1 —
J. Zirkzee F 31 6.90 — — 1 18 13% 0 — —
M. Rashford F 1 0.00 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Tottenham Tottenham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Kinský G 90 6.53 — — 0 40 27% 0 — —
D. Udogie D 74 6.89 — — 0 26 24% 1 — —
M. Senesi D 89 6.98 — — 0 74 64% 1 — —
J. van Hecke D 90 6.27 — — 0 71 59% 0 1 —
A. Gray D 90 6.66 — — 0 29 26% 3 1 —
S. Tonali M 90 7.70 — 1 1 61 52% 1 — —
L. Bergvall M 66 6.58 — — 1 23 20% 2 — —
Sávio M 90 6.72 — — 2 29 22% 0 — —
C. Gallagher M 74 6.47 — — 2 43 39% 2 1 —
M. Kudus M 66 6.06 — — 2 16 13% 1 — —
D. Solanke F 90 7.61 1 — 4 14 11% 0 — —
J. Maddison M 16 6.80 — — 0 13 11% 3 — —
Mateus Fernandes M 1 6.33 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
M. van de Ven D 16 6.44 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
Omar Marmoush F 24 6.61 — — 0 4 4% 2 — —
R. Bentancur M 12 5.56 — — 0 1 0% 0 — 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Tottenham?
The final score was Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Tottenham?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Manchester United win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Tottenham win.