Mansfield Town - Derby
Friendlies Clubs
July 31, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.48%
Win
Mansfield Town
30.18%
Draw
30.34%
Win
Derby
3.76
1.17
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.95%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
30%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
61%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mansfield Town a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Derby. Expected goals are 3.8 for Mansfield Town and 1.2 for Derby (total 4.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.95% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
0D
2L
Averages per game
3.5
Goals
1.3
2.0
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Mansfield Town
Derby →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Mansfield Town
Attack
88
Defence
52
Form
67
Derby
Attack
33
Defence
58
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Derby?
The model gives Mansfield Town a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Derby win.
How many goals are expected in Mansfield Town vs Derby?
Expected goals: Mansfield Town 3.8, Derby 1.2 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Mansfield Town vs Derby?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.95%.