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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mansfield Town a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Derby 30%). The final result was Mansfield Town 1–3 Derby.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
39.46%
Mansfield
30.19%
X
30.35%
Derby ←
we assigned to the actual result (Derby) 30.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mansfield
3.76
Derby
1.17
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Derby?
The final score was Mansfield Town 1–3 Derby.
What did the model predict before Mansfield Town vs Derby?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Mansfield Town win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Derby win.