League One
· Regular Season - 1
August 15, 2026 16:00
R. Oates
(ast. L. Akins)
26'
L. Reed
(ast. R. Hendry)
74'
49'
(ast. R. Gotts)
J. Senior
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mansfield Town a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Doncaster 32%). The final result was Mansfield Town 2–1 Doncaster. In 2 previous meetings, Mansfield Town have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Doncaster.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
4
1.12
Actual xG
1.11
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
1
Match Events
⚽R. Oates
· ast. L. Akins
26'
46'
B. Hanlan
/
I. Hutchinson
49'
ast. R. Gotts ·
J. Senior⚽
56'
S. Grehan
S. McLaughlin
/ O. Dodgson
64'
J. Russell
/ R. Hendry
64'
65'
H. Clifton
/
R. Gotts
⚽L. Reed
· ast. R. Hendry
74'
79'
H. Adelakun
/
S. Grehan
F. Blake-Tracy
82'
L. Thompson
86'
L. Reed
/ E. Hewitt
90'+1
90'
J. Thomas
/
G. Broadbent
M. Smith
/ N. Moriah-Welsh
90'
R. Oates
/ G. Maris
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.22%
Mansfield ←
32.86%
X
32.92%
Doncaster
we assigned to the actual result (Mansfield Town)
34.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
1.12
-0.03
0.65
1.11
+0.46
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 1.11).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Doncaster?
The final score was Mansfield Town 2–1 Doncaster.
What did the model predict before Mansfield Town vs Doncaster?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Mansfield Town win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Doncaster win.