1'
(ast. Jari Vandeputte)
Federico Bonazzoli
80'
(ast. Dachi Lordkipanidze)
Marco Nasti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Cremonese 26%). The final result was Mantova 0–2 Cremonese.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
5
1.97
Actual xG
1.32
3
Saves
8
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
2
6
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
1'
ast. Jari Vandeputte ·
Federico Bonazzoli⚽
13'
Sebastiano Luperto
/
Alessandro Vogliacco
24'
Simone Lottici Tessadri
Ettore Gliozzi
/ Rares Ilie
45'
Stefano Cella
52'
Tommaso Del Lungo
/ Filippo Vesentini
57'
61'
Marco Nasti
/
Giuseppe Pezzella
64'
Tommaso Berti
65'
Tommaso Barbieri
Alessio Castellini
66'
Davide Bragantini
/ matteo spinacce
71'
Francesco Ruocco
/ Vanja Vlahovic
72'
74'
Manuel De Luca
/
Federico Bonazzoli
74'
Dachi Lordkipanidze
/
Jari Vandeputte
Rachid Kouda
/ Lorenzo Ignacchiti
79'
80'
ast. Dachi Lordkipanidze ·
Marco Nasti⚽
84'
Tommaso Barbieri
Simone Trimboli
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
44.8%
Mantova
28.3%
X
26.9%
Cremonese ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cremonese)
26.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
1.97
+0.34
0.91
1.32
+0.41
Mantova dominated by xG (1.97 vs 1.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
F. Bardi
G
F. Bardi
G
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia
D
F. Benaissa-Yahia
D
27
A. Castellini
D
A. Castellini
D
5
B. Tomašević
D
B. Tomašević
D
58
D
29
S. Cella
M
S. Cella
M
19
F. Ruocco
72'
M
F. Ruocco
72'
M
80
R. Kouda
79'
M
R. Kouda
79'
M
21
S. Trimboli
M
S. Trimboli
M
30
D. Bragantini
71'
M
D. Bragantini
71'
M
9
E. Gliozzi
45'
F
E. Gliozzi
45'
F
Bench
13
A. Meroni
D
A. Meroni
D
10
D. Wieser
M
D. Wieser
M
75
E. Košpo
D
E. Košpo
D
77
F. Vesentini
33'
M
F. Vesentini
33'
M
11
I. Cajazzo
M
I. Cajazzo
M
6
J. Mboyo
M
J. Mboyo
M
1
L. Gemello
G
L. Gemello
G
25
L. Ignacchiti
11'
M
L. Ignacchiti
11'
M
7
M. Spinaccè
19'
F
M. Spinaccè
19'
F
17
N. Radaelli
D
N. Radaelli
D
8
R. Ilie
45'
M
R. Ilie
45'
M
99
V. Vlahović
18'
F
V. Vlahović
18'
F
1
A. Fulignati
G
A. Fulignati
G
3
G. Pezzella
61'
D
G. Pezzella
61'
D
38
A. Vogliacco
13'
D
A. Vogliacco
13'
D
6
F. Baschirotto
D
F. Baschirotto
D
4
T. Barbieri
84'
D
T. Barbieri
84'
D
8
Simone Lottici Tessadri
M
Simone Lottici Tessadri
M
2
M. Thorsby
M
M. Thorsby
M
27
J. Vandeputte
1 👟
74'
M
J. Vandeputte
1 👟
74'
M
14
T. Berti
M
T. Berti
M
71
S. Elia
M
S. Elia
M
90
F. Bonazzoli
1 ⚽
74'
F
F. Bonazzoli
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
33
A. Grassi
M
A. Grassi
M
17
A. Lickūnas
F
A. Lickūnas
F
25
D. Lordkipanidze
1 👟
16'
M
D. Lordkipanidze
1 👟
16'
M
7
D. Stückler
F
D. Stückler
F
22
F. Agazzi
G
F. Agazzi
G
13
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
9
M. De Luca
16'
F
M. De Luca
16'
F
11
M. Đurić
F
M. Đurić
F
12
M. Festa
G
M. Festa
G
19
M. Nasti
1 ⚽
29'
F
M. Nasti
1 ⚽
29'
F
5
S. Luperto
77'
D
S. Luperto
77'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Fulignati
G · Cremonese
8.50
· 63 pass
F. Bonazzoli
F · Cremonese
8.01
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
M. Nasti
F · Cremonese
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.20
2 shots
· 97 pass
A. Castellini
D · Mantova
7.13
3 shots
· 81 pass
J. Vandeputte
M · Cremonese
7.04
1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
Mantova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bardi | G | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Castellini | D | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 3 | 81 | 75% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Tomašević | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| S. Cella | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 92 | 83% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Ruocco | M | 72 | 6.69 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Kouda | M | 79 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Trimboli | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 97 | 87% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Bragantini | M | 71 | 6.36 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Gliozzi | F | 45 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Vesentini | M | 33 | 5.80 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ignacchiti | M | 11 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Spinaccè | F | 19 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Ilie | M | 45 | 6.82 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Vlahović | F | 18 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fulignati | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Pezzella | D | 61 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Vogliacco | D | 13 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Baschirotto | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Barbieri | D | 84 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Simone Lottici Tessadri | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 32% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Thorsby | M | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Vandeputte | M | 74 | 7.04 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Berti | M | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Elia | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 74 | 8.01 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lordkipanidze | M | 16 | 6.83 | — | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. De Luca | F | 16 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Nasti | F | 29 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Luperto | D | 77 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mantova vs Cremonese?
The final score was Mantova 0–2 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Mantova vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Mantova win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Cremonese win.