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Serie B · Regular Season - 2 August 30, 2026 19:00 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Mantova
#3 · 7 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Empoli
#10 · 6 pts
F. Ruocco (ast. A. Castellini) 58'
V. Vlahovic (ast. S. Cella) 61'
F. Benaissa-Yahia (ast. V. Vlahovic) 90'
51' (ast. M. Egan) E. Saporiti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Empoli 32%). The final result was Mantova 3–1 Empoli. In 2 previous meetings, Mantova have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Empoli.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
1.14
Actual xG
0.43
1
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
6
11
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
23'
G. Yepes
A. Castellini
42'
49'
K. Zedadka
51'
ast. M. Egan · E. Saporiti⚽
F. Bardi
51'
55'
G. Pagliuca
55'
L. Belardinelli / K. Zedadka ↕
↕ E. Gliozzi / V. Vlahovic
55'
↕ R. Ilie / I. Cajazzo
56'
↕ L. Ignacchiti / R. Kouda
56'
57'
M. Curto
⚽F. Ruocco · ast. A. Castellini
58'
⚽V. Vlahovic · ast. S. Cella
61'
72'
B. Popov / F. Di Stefano ↕
72'
L. Deli / G. Yepes ↕
74'
L. Belardinelli
↕ F. Ruocco / J. Longonda
78'
↕ B. Tomasevic / E. Kospo
83'
86'
L. Deli
86'
R. Berizzi / N. Corrado ↕
86'
A. Orlandi / E. Saporiti ↕
90'+3
L. Magnino
⚽F. Benaissa-Yahia · ast. V. Vlahovic
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.42%
Mantova ←
32.62%
X
32.97%
Empoli
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 34.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mantova
1.17
1.14
-0.03
Empoli
1.23
0.43
-0.8
Mantova dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.43). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
22 F. Bardi F. Bardi G 6.60
27 A. Castellini A. Castellini 1 👟 D 7.00
29 S. Cella S. Cella 1 👟 D 6.70
5 B. Tomašević B. Tomašević 83' D 6.90
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia F. Benaissa-Yahia 1 ⚽ M 6.30
25 L. Ignacchiti L. Ignacchiti 56' M 6.90
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli M 7.20
41 Jonathan Silva Jonathan Silva M 7.20
19 F. Ruocco F. Ruocco 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.60
8 R. Ilie R. Ilie 56' F 6.50
9 E. Gliozzi E. Gliozzi 55' F 6.30
Bench
33 Cristian Marai Cristian Marai D
10 D. Wieser D. Wieser M
75 E. Košpo E. Košpo 7' D
71 Federico Chinetti Federico Chinetti F
20 F. Paoletti F. Paoletti M
11 I. Cajazzo I. Cajazzo 34' M 6.30
6 J. Mboyo J. Mboyo 12' M 6.30
1 L. Gemello L. Gemello G
12 M. Gasparini M. Gasparini G
80 R. Kouda R. Kouda 34' M 6.90
18 Sambaly Keïta Sambaly Keïta M
99 V. Vlahović V. Vlahović 1 ⚽ 1 👟 35' F 7.90
Empoli Empoli 3-4-2-1
12 J. Seghetti J. Seghetti G 6.90
33 C. Cauz C. Cauz D 6.70
25 M. Curto M. Curto D 6.00
8 L. Magnino L. Magnino D 6.20
91 N. Corrado N. Corrado 86' M 6.60
98 K. Zedadka K. Zedadka 55' M 6.70
21 Gerard Yepes Gerard Yepes 72' M 6.70
35 M. Egan M. Egan 1 👟 M 6.90
20 F. Distefano F. Distefano 72' F 6.90
10 E. Saporiti E. Saporiti 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.70
11 S. Shpendi S. Shpendi F 6.50
Bench
45 Andrea Orlandi Andrea Orlandi 4' M
77 B. Popov B. Popov 18' F 6.20
39 E. Biondini E. Biondini M
13 Emiliano Filippis Emiliano Filippis G
28 G. Indragoli G. Indragoli D
57 L. Belardinelli L. Belardinelli 35' M 6.20
44 L. Deli L. Deli 18' M 6.30
29 Lorenzo Tosto Lorenzo Tosto D
38 Mattia Huqi Mattia Huqi M
1 S. Perisan S. Perisan G
6 S. Romagnoli S. Romagnoli D
Best on the pitch
V. Vlahović
V. Vlahović
F · Mantova
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 5 pass
E. Saporiti
E. Saporiti
F · Empoli
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
F. Ruocco
F. Ruocco
F · Mantova
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
S. Trimboli
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.20
· 36 pass
Jonathan Silva
Jonathan Silva
M · Mantova
7.20
· 36 pass
A. Castellini
A. Castellini
D · Mantova
7.00
1 👟
2 shots · 53 pass
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Bardi G 90 6.60 — — — 38 24% — 1 —
A. Castellini D 90 7.00 — 1 2 53 42% 1 1 —
S. Cella D 90 6.70 — 1 — 29 26% 2 — —
B. Tomašević D 83 6.90 — — — 33 27% 3 — —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 90 6.30 1 — 1 37 30% 2 — —
L. Ignacchiti M 56 6.90 — — — 25 18% — — —
S. Trimboli M 90 7.20 — — — 36 29% — — —
Jonathan Silva M 90 7.20 — — — 36 30% 2 — —
F. Ruocco F 78 7.60 1 — 1 13 9% — — —
R. Ilie F 56 6.50 — — 2 12 8% 1 — —
E. Gliozzi F 55 6.30 — — 2 11 7% — — —
E. Košpo D 7 — — — — 4 3% — — —
I. Cajazzo M 34 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Mboyo M 12 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
R. Kouda M 34 6.90 — — 1 5 5% — — —
V. Vlahović F 35 7.90 1 1 2 5 4% — — —
Empoli Empoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Seghetti G 90 6.90 — — — 47 30% — — —
C. Cauz D 90 6.70 — — — 54 48% 2 — —
M. Curto D 90 6.00 — — — 53 44% 1 1 —
L. Magnino D 90 6.20 — — 1 34 33% 1 — —
N. Corrado M 86 6.60 — — — 23 14% — — —
K. Zedadka M 55 6.70 — — — 28 24% 1 1 —
Gerard Yepes M 72 6.70 — — — 44 41% 3 1 —
M. Egan M 90 6.90 — 1 — 18 13% 1 — —
F. Distefano F 72 6.90 — — — 20 17% — — —
E. Saporiti F 86 7.70 1 — 2 18 12% — — —
S. Shpendi F 90 6.50 — — 1 17 10% — — —
Andrea Orlandi M 4 — — — — — — — — —
B. Popov F 18 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
L. Belardinelli M 35 6.20 — — — 15 7% 1 1 —
L. Deli M 18 6.30 — — — 12 9% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mantova vs Empoli?
The final score was Mantova 3–1 Empoli.
What did the model predict before Mantova vs Empoli?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Mantova win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Empoli win.