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Serie B · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 17:15 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Mantova
#4 · 17 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Palermo
#1 · 22 pts
62' Jacopo Segre
86' (ast. Dominic Vavassori) Hernani
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Palermo 35%). The final result was Mantova 0–2 Palermo. In 3 previous meetings, Mantova have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
5
1.92
Actual xG
2.00
3
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
3
8
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
21'
Mattia Bani
↕ Rares Ilie / Lorenzo Ignacchiti
55'
62'
Jacopo Segre⚽
66'
Nahuel Estévez / Filippo·Ranocchia ↕
↕ Francesco Ruocco / Ettore Gliozzi
74'
↕ Rachid Kouda / Ismael Cajazzo
74'
77'
Hernani / Dennis Johnsen ↕
77'
Alessandro Gabrielloni / Joel Pohjanpalo ↕
↕ Tommaso Del Lungo / Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo
84'
84'
Patryk Peda / Jacopo Segre ↕
84'
Luca Mazzitelli / Antonio Palumbo ↕
86'
ast. Dominic Vavassori · Hernani⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.26%
Mantova
28.24%
X
35.5%
Palermo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 35.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mantova
1.93
1.92
-0.01
Palermo
1.82
2.00
+0.18
xG dominance was balanced (1.92 – 2.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
22 F. Bardi F. Bardi G 5.87
27 A. Castellini A. Castellini D 6.74
29 S. Cella S. Cella D 7.01
5 B. Tomašević B. Tomašević D 7.33
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia F. Benaissa-Yahia M 6.58
80 R. Kouda R. Kouda 74' M 6.45
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli M 6.32
58
84' M 6.09
8 R. Ilie R. Ilie 55' M 6.17
30 D. Bragantini D. Bragantini M 6.91
19 F. Ruocco F. Ruocco 74' F 6.75
Bench
10 D. Wieser D. Wieser M 0.00
9 E. Gliozzi E. Gliozzi 16' F 6.55
75 E. Košpo E. Košpo D 0.00
77 F. Vesentini F. Vesentini M 0.00
11 I. Cajazzo I. Cajazzo 16' M 6.14
6 J. Mboyo J. Mboyo 6' M 6.04
1 L. Gemello L. Gemello G 0.00
25 L. Ignacchiti L. Ignacchiti 35' M 6.26
12 M. Gasparini M. Gasparini G 0.00
17 N. Radaelli N. Radaelli D 0.00
18 S. Keita S. Keita M 0.00
Palermo Palermo 4-2-3-1
1 M. Perin M. Perin G 7.07
3 T. Augello T. Augello D 7.33
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni D 6.96
13 M. Bani M. Bani D 7.34
84 T. Cassandro T. Cassandro D 7.66
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia 66' M 6.49
8 J. Segre J. Segre 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.20
17 D. Johnsen D. Johnsen 77' M 6.43
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 84' M 6.61
9 D. Vavassori D. Vavassori 1 👟 M 8.00
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 77' F 6.41
Bench
33 A. Bozzolan A. Bozzolan D 0.00
99 A. Gabrielloni A. Gabrielloni 13' F 6.35
6 C. Gomes C. Gomes M 0.00
11 E. Gyasi E. Gyasi D 0.00
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani D 0.00
23 Hernani Hernani 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.66
36 L. Mazzitelli L. Mazzitelli 6' M 6.77
14 M. Fortin M. Fortin G 0.00
12 M. Nespola M. Nespola G 0.00
24 N. Estévez N. Estévez 24' M 6.81
29 P. Peda P. Peda 6' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
J. Segre
J. Segre
M · Palermo
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
D. Vavassori
D. Vavassori
M · Palermo
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 22 pass
Hernani
Hernani
M · Palermo
7.66
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
T. Cassandro
T. Cassandro
D · Palermo
7.66
1 shots · 29 pass
M. Bani
M. Bani
D · Palermo
7.34
· 40 pass
B. Tomašević
B. Tomašević
D · Mantova
7.33
1 shots · 55 pass
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Bardi G 90 5.87 — — 0 20 12% 0 — —
A. Castellini D 90 6.74 — — 0 58 47% 0 — —
S. Cella D 90 7.01 — — 0 47 39% 2 — —
B. Tomašević D 90 7.33 — — 1 55 50% 1 — —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 90 6.58 — — 0 51 45% 1 — —
R. Kouda M 74 6.45 — — 2 36 30% 0 — —
S. Trimboli M 90 6.32 — — 0 60 50% 1 — —
M 84 6.09 — — 1 47 39% 1 — —
R. Ilie M 55 6.17 — — 3 12 11% 1 — —
D. Bragantini M 90 6.91 — — 3 47 35% 1 — —
F. Ruocco F 74 6.75 — — 3 23 18% 0 — —
E. Gliozzi F 16 6.55 — — 2 4 3% 0 — —
I. Cajazzo M 16 6.14 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
J. Mboyo M 6 6.04 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
L. Ignacchiti M 35 6.26 — — 0 32 26% 0 — —
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Perin G 90 7.07 — — 0 53 30% 0 — —
T. Augello D 90 7.33 — — 0 51 43% 4 — —
P. Ceccaroni D 90 6.96 — — 0 48 40% 0 — —
M. Bani D 90 7.34 — — 0 40 37% 2 1 —
T. Cassandro D 90 7.66 — — 1 29 26% 3 — —
F. Ranocchia M 66 6.49 — — 1 34 23% 4 — —
J. Segre M 84 8.20 1 — 3 15 12% 1 — —
D. Johnsen M 77 6.43 — — 2 20 9% 2 — —
A. Palumbo M 84 6.61 — — 3 30 23% 1 — —
D. Vavassori M 90 8.00 — 1 1 22 18% 0 — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 77 6.41 — — 1 19 16% 0 — —
A. Gabrielloni F 13 6.35 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
Hernani M 13 7.66 1 — 1 5 4% 1 — —
L. Mazzitelli M 6 6.77 — — 0 7 2% 0 — —
N. Estévez M 24 6.81 — — 0 17 13% 2 — —
P. Peda D 6 7.00 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mantova vs Palermo?
The final score was Mantova 0–2 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Mantova vs Palermo?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Mantova win, 28% to a draw, and 35% to an Palermo win.