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← Serie B

Mantova - Sampdoria

Serie B September 13, 2026 17:15 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Mantova
#3 · 7 pts
vs
Sampdoria
#19 · 1 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 26.7°C 💨 5 km/h · Mantova
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.66%
Win
Mantova
31.35%
Draw
29.99%
Win
Sampdoria
1.52
Expected xG
0.94

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.83%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mantova a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Sampdoria. Expected goals are 1.5 for Mantova and 0.9 for Sampdoria (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.83% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Mantova have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sampdoria.

Season Stats

Mantova
8W 3D 4L
Sampdoria
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.7
1.3
Conceded
1.3
4.5
Shots OT
3.8
3.7
Corners
5.7
52%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
67%
60%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Mantova
7W 1D 2L · at home
Sampdoria
2W 3D 5L · away
1.9
gls/g
0.8
1.3
Conceded
1.5
70%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
50%
30%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Mantova Sampdoria →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 8.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Mantova Mantova
D Cesena 1–1
W Empoli 3–1
W Carrarese 1–2
L Frosinone 5–0
W Monza 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Sampdoria Sampdoria
L Palermo 3–1
L Juve Stabia 1–2
D Cesena 1–1
L Reggiana 1–0
W Sudtirol 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Mantova Mantova
Attack
29
Defence
45
Form
42
Sampdoria Sampdoria
Attack
23
Defence
46
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Mantova
0
Draw
0
Sampdoria
21 Feb 2026 Serie B 2–1
2 Nov 2025 Serie B 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Cesena Cesena 4 6
9 Pisa Pisa 4 6
10 Avellino Avellino 3 6
11 Empoli Empoli 4 6
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Cremonese Cremonese 4 4
16 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mantova vs Sampdoria?
The model gives Mantova a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 29% for an Sampdoria win.
How many goals are expected in Mantova vs Sampdoria?
Expected goals: Mantova 1.5, Sampdoria 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Mantova vs Sampdoria?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.83%.