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Mara Sugar - Mombasa Elite

Premier League September 04, 2026 14:00
Mara Sugar
#16 · 0 pts
vs
Mombasa Elite
#15 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Mara Sugar
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Mombasa Elite
0.38
Expected xG
1.37

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.66%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mara Sugar a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Mombasa Elite. Expected goals are 0.4 for Mara Sugar and 1.4 for Mombasa Elite (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Mara Sugar Mombasa Elite →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.3% 23.8% 16.4% 7.5% 2.6% 0.7%
1 6.6% 9.0% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
L Murang'a SEAL 2–1
D GOR Mahia 0–0
L Mathare United 0–1
W Shabana 1–0
L AFC Leopards 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
No data available

Playing profile

Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
Attack
9
Defence
44
Form
27
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mathare United Mathare United 0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0 0
3 Tusker Tusker 0 0
4 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 0 0
5 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 0 0
6 KCB KCB 0 0
7 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 0 0
8 Bandari Bandari 0 0
9 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0 0
10 Police Police 0 0
11 Migori Youth Migori Youth 0 0
12 Shabana Shabana 0 0
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0 0
14 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 0 0
15 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 0 0
16 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 0 0
17 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0 0
18 3K 3K 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
The model gives Mara Sugar a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Mombasa Elite win.
How many goals are expected in Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
Expected goals: Mara Sugar 0.4, Mombasa Elite 1.4 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.