Maria da Fonte - Uniao Nogueirense
Taça de Portugal
August 30, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Maria da Fonte
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Uniao Nogueirense
0.32
0.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.1%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Maria da Fonte a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Uniao Nogueirense. Expected goals are 0.3 for Maria da Fonte and 0.5 for Uniao Nogueirense (total 0.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.1% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.5
2.0
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Maria da Fonte
Uniao Nogueirense →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44.2% | 22.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 13.9% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 2 | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Maria da Fonte
Attack
3
Defence
50
Form
27
Uniao Nogueirense
Attack
11
Defence
86
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Maria da Fonte vs Uniao Nogueirense?
The model gives Maria da Fonte a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Uniao Nogueirense win.
How many goals are expected in Maria da Fonte vs Uniao Nogueirense?
Expected goals: Maria da Fonte 0.3, Uniao Nogueirense 0.5 (total 0.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Maria da Fonte vs Uniao Nogueirense?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.